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Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index - September 2017

IM Research
By IM Research
6 years ago
Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index - September 2017

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  1. FINANCIAL SERVICES STATISTICS AND FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX September 2017 Statistics Department Real Sector Data Division CONTENTS 1 MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY 2 FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX 3 FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3 .1 Business situation for the last three months 3.2 Demand for services (turnover) for the last three months 3.3 Demand for services (turnover) for the next three months 3.4 Employment for the last three months 3.5 Employment for the next three months 3.6 Operating income for the last three months (*) 3.7 Operating income for the next three months (*) 3.8 Operating expenses for the last three months (*) 3.9 Operating expenses for the next three months (*) 3.10 Profitability for the last three months (*) 3.11 Profitability for the next three months (*) 3.12 Capital expenditure for the last three months (*) 3.13 Capital expenditure for the next three months (*) 3.14 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.15 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.16 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.17 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.18 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the next three months (*) 3.19 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the next three months (*) (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). www.tcmb.gov.tr
  2. Statistics Department 1 . MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY PARTICIPANTS Contents RESPONSES 160 140 120 143 141 143 141 142 142 143 148 151 145 148 150 2016-11 2016-12 2017-01 2017-02 2017-03 2017-04 2017-05 2017-06 2017-07 2017-08 2017-09 60 140 2016-10 80 2016-09 100 40 20 0 RESPONSES BY SECTORS (SEPTEMBER 2017) Participants Responses Response Rate (%) Banks 49 49 100.0 Insurance Companies 22 22 100.0 Brokerage Companies 23 23 100.0 Factoring Companies 36 36 100.0 Leasing Companies 13 13 100.0 Financing Companies 7 7 100.0 150 150 100.0 Total 2
  3. Statistics Department 2 . FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX (FSCI) Contents 2016 January 2013 - September 2017 Arithmetic Mean Maximum Minimum September October 2017 November December January February March April May June July August September 166.0 Financial Services Confidence I ndex 169.9 187.3 140.7 167.4 161.9 158.4 157.8 166.5 165.1 165.8 178.0 178.4 177.4 166.4 171.6 Business Situation (Last 3 Months) 166.0 188.1 115.7 162.0 155.9 153.9 152.6 177.0 152.2 163.8 187.1 177.1 171.8 158.1 179.6 159.1 Demand For Services (Last 3 Months) 169.7 193.5 126.1 174.8 156.3 149.8 164.9 159.6 183.1 172.8 187.8 179.7 189.7 179.0 169.9 158.7 Demand For Services (Next 3 Months) 174.1 192.6 153.5 165.5 173.4 171.6 155.8 162.8 159.9 160.9 159.0 178.5 170.7 162.2 165.4 180.1 Financial Services Confidence Index Index 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 2017-09 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 100 3
  4. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.1 Business Situation for the Last Three Months 1.9 77.0 60 50 57.0 38.2 4.8 52.2 64.4 35.0 0.6 63.8 40 2017-04 87.5 12.1 0.4 87.1 30 2017-05 78.2 20.7 1.1 77.1 20 2017-06 72.7 26.4 0.9 71.8 10 2017-07 59.1 39.9 1.0 58.1 0 2017-08 80.3 19.0 0.7 79.6 2017-09 60.2 38.7 1.1 59.1 2013-01 2017-02 2017-03 2017-09 19.2 2017-07 78.9 2017-04 2017-01 70 2017-01 52.6 2016-10 4.0 2016-07 39.4 2016-04 56.6 2016-01 2016-12 80 2015-10 53.9 2015-07 2.3 2015-04 41.5 2015-01 56.2 2014-10 2016-11 90 2014-07 55.9 2014-04 5.7 2014-01 32.7 2013-10 61.6 100 2013-07 2016-10 Business Situation for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-04 2016-09 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 63.1 35.8 1.1 62.0 Months Improved 3.2 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Last Three Months 2016-09 Remained Unchanged 76.2 22.4 1.4 74.8 2016-10 71.5 13.3 15.2 56.3 2016-11 59.4 31.0 9.6 49.8 2016-12 75.8 13.3 10.9 64.9 2017-01 70.4 18.8 10.8 59.6 2017-02 87.7 7.7 4.6 83.1 2017-03 74.7 23.4 1.9 72.8 40 2017-04 89.0 9.8 1.2 87.8 30 Demand For Services for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 20.9 10.2 58.7 2017-07 2017-09 68.9 2017-07 2017-09 2017-09 2017-04 69.9 2017-04 9.7 2017-01 10.7 2017-01 79.6 2016-10 0 2017-08 2016-07 79.0 2016-04 1.8 2016-01 17.4 2015-10 80.8 2015-07 10 2017-07 2015-04 20 89.7 2015-01 79.7 1.4 2014-10 1.8 7.5 2014-07 16.7 2014-04 81.5 91.1 2013-01 2017-05 2017-06 2014-01 50 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Decreased 2013-04 Months Increased 3.3 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Next Three Months 2016-09 Remain Unchanged 75.8 13.9 10.3 65.5 2016-10 73.7 26.0 0.3 73.4 90 2016-11 73.4 24.8 1.8 71.6 80 2016-12 58.4 39.0 2.6 55.8 70 2017-01 66.6 29.6 3.8 62.8 60 2017-02 69.3 21.3 9.4 59.9 50 Balance (%) Demand For Services for the Next Three Months 20 2017-06 72.0 26.7 1.3 70.7 10 2017-07 71.9 18.4 9.7 62.2 0 2017-08 74.6 16.2 9.2 65.4 2017-09 81.2 17.7 1.1 80.1 2016-10 78.5 2016-07 1.2 2016-04 19.1 2016-01 79.7 2015-10 30 2017-05 2015-07 40 2015-04 60.9 59.0 2015-01 0.7 2.5 2014-10 37.7 36.0 2014-07 61.6 61.5 2014-04 2017-03 2017-04 2014-01 100 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Decrease 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 4
  5. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.4 Employment for the Last Three Months 2016-09 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 33.2 33.8 33.0 0.2 2016-10 26.3 44.1 29.6 -3.3 2016-11 28.8 33.9 37.3 -8.5 70 2016-12 30.0 32.9 37.1 -7.1 60 2017-01 30.1 22.6 47.3 -17.2 50 2017-02 26.7 48.2 25.1 1.6 2017-03 22.5 48.3 29.2 -6.7 2017-04 20.6 57.5 21.9 -1.3 2017-05 24.5 67.1 8.4 16.1 2017-06 46.5 45.4 8.1 38.4 2017-07 35.6 58.1 6.3 29.3 2017-08 29.8 46.0 24.2 5.6 2017-09 28.6 37.4 34.0 -5.4 Employment for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 40 30 20 10 0 -10 2017-07 2017-09 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 -20 2013-01 Months Increased 3.5 Employment for the Next Three Months 2016-09 Remain Decrease Balance Unchanged 27.2 48.4 24.4 2.8 2016-10 31.7 43.8 24.5 7.2 90 2016-11 27.8 50.7 21.5 6.3 80 2016-12 34.1 63.8 2.1 32.0 70 2017-01 45.1 53.0 1.9 43.2 60 2017-02 46.8 51.0 2.2 44.6 50 2017-03 53.4 36.2 10.4 43.0 40 2017-04 39.4 49.3 11.3 28.1 30 2017-05 37.5 52.1 10.4 27.1 20 2017-06 37.8 50.6 11.6 26.2 10 2017-07 38.0 51.2 10.8 27.2 2017-08 40.1 48.5 11.4 28.7 0 2017-09 40.6 48.0 11.4 29.2 Employment for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2017-07 2017-09 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 100 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 5
  6. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.6 Operating Income for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-… 29.3 2017-… 12.4 2017-… 45.9 2016-… 41.7 2016-… 87.6 2017-07 2016-… 61.5 1.7 2016-… 10.0 9.0 2015-… 18.5 89.3 2015-… 71.5 2017-04 2015-… 2017-01 2015-… 16.9 2014-… 85.2 30.9 2014-… 2.8 21.3 2014-… 9.2 47.8 2014-… 88.0 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-… 2016-07 Operating Income for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-… Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-… Increased 2013-… Months 3.7 Operating Income for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-04 2017-07 2017-04 2017-07 32.4 2017-01 10.3 2017-01 47.0 2016-10 42.7 2016-10 53.6 2017-07 2016-07 53.6 2.4 2016-04 2.4 41.6 2016-01 41.6 56.0 2015-10 56.0 2017-04 2015-07 2017-01 2015-04 48.1 2015-01 44.3 1.9 2014-10 9.5 48.1 2014-07 36.7 50.0 2014-04 53.8 2016-10 Operating Income for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 2013-04 Months 3.8 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months (*) 63.8 13.2 23.0 40.8 2016-07 -3.6 2017-07 2016-04 80.4 38.8 2016-01 1.6 26.0 2015-10 16.4 35.2 2015-07 82.0 2017-04 2015-04 2017-01 2015-01 14.6 2014-10 15.4 26.9 2014-07 25.9 31.6 2014-04 33.0 41.5 2014-01 41.2 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-10 2016-07 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months 3.9 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months (*) 1.5 53.7 2017-07 48.8 41.1 10.1 38.7 2016-10 43.3 2016-07 55.2 2016-04 30.1 2017-04 2016-01 10.7 2015-10 48.5 2015-07 40.8 2015-04 65.0 2017-01 2015-01 50.4 0.2 2014-10 11.1 34.6 2014-07 27.4 65.2 2014-04 61.5 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 2016-07 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 6
  7. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.10 Profitability for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 7.4 2016-10 28.5 2016-07 35.6 2016-04 35.9 2016-01 92.3 2017-07 2015-10 23.6 0.7 2015-07 22.8 6.3 2015-04 30.8 93.0 2015-01 46.4 2017-04 2014-10 2017-01 2014-07 85.3 23.1 2014-04 1.4 28.8 2014-01 11.9 19.3 2013-10 86.7 51.9 Profitability for the Last Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-07 2016-07 2016-10 Balance (%) 2013-04 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-01 Months Increased 3.11 Profitability for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-04 2017-07 2017-04 2017-07 46.9 2017-01 1.9 2017-01 49.3 2016-10 48.8 2016-10 32.8 2017-07 2016-10 13.1 2016-07 41.0 2016-07 45.9 2016-07 71.7 2017-04 2016-04 33.5 0.9 2016-01 10.7 26.5 2015-10 45.1 72.6 2015-07 44.2 2017-01 2015-04 2016-10 2015-01 37.2 2014-10 9.5 2014-07 43.8 2014-04 46.7 Profitability for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 2013-04 Months 3.12 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months (*) 60.9 11.4 16.3 2016-04 27.7 2016-01 25.0 2017-07 2015-10 44.0 12.0 2015-07 10.1 51.0 2015-04 35.8 37.0 2015-01 54.1 2017-04 2014-10 2017-01 2014-07 52.5 32.5 2014-04 0.5 10.1 2014-01 46.5 47.3 2013-10 53.0 42.6 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-01 2016-07 2016-10 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Months Increased 3.13 Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-04 41.6 57.0 1.4 40.2 2017-07 42.1 57.0 0.9 41.2 2016-04 16.9 2016-01 12.7 2015-10 57.7 2015-07 29.6 2015-04 2017-01 2015-01 40.4 40.0 2014-10 1.6 1.4 2014-07 56.4 57.2 2014-04 42.0 41.4 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 2016-07 2016-10 Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 7
  8. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.14 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months (*) 0.3 42.7 2017-07 56.7 2017-04 43.0 2017-01 47.7 2017-07 2016-10 0.4 2016-07 51.5 2016-04 48.1 2016-01 50.8 2017-04 2015-10 0.2 2015-07 48.8 2015-04 51.0 2015-01 35.1 2017-01 2014-10 48.3 1.9 2014-07 1.9 61.1 2014-04 47.9 37.0 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months 2014-01 50.2 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2013-10 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 3.15 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 19.8 2017-07 0.0 2017-04 80.2 2017-01 19.8 2016-10 2017-07 2016-07 8.8 2016-04 0.3 2016-01 90.6 2015-10 9.1 2015-07 7.8 2017-04 2015-04 3.1 1.0 2015-01 88.0 90.2 2013-01 8.9 8.8 2014-10 5.8 2016-10 2017-01 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-07 7.0 2014-04 1.9 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months 2014-01 89.2 Balance (%) 2013-10 8.9 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 2016-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 3.16 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 9.0 19.8 2016-10 0.3 0.0 2016-07 90.4 80.2 2016-04 9.3 19.8 2013-01 2017-04 2017-07 2016-01 7.8 2015-10 6.0 2015-07 2.9 1.0 2015-04 88.2 90.2 2015-01 8.9 8.8 2014-10 2016-10 2017-01 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-07 6.9 2014-04 1.8 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months 2014-01 89.5 Balance (%) 2013-10 8.7 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 2016-07 Improved 2013-04 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 8
  9. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.17 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-07 41.5 2017-04 0.3 2017-01 57.9 2016-10 41.8 2016-07 2017-07 2016-04 40.1 32.0 2016-01 1.1 0.1 2015-10 57.7 67.8 2015-07 41.2 32.1 2013-01 2017-01 2017-04 2015-04 43.3 38.2 2015-01 0.0 0.0 2014-10 56.7 61.8 2014-07 43.3 38.2 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months 2014-04 2016-07 2016-10 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-07 Improve 2013-04 Months 3.18 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 10.3 89.7 0.0 10.3 2017-07 2017-07 2017-04 8.9 2017-01 0.2 2016-10 90.7 2016-07 9.1 2016-04 8.0 2017-04 2016-01 1.1 2015-10 89.8 2015-07 9.1 2015-04 9.5 2017-01 2015-01 20.4 0.0 2014-10 0.0 90.5 2014-07 79.6 9.5 2014-04 20.4 2013-01 2016-07 2016-10 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-07 Improve 2013-04 Months 3.19 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 10.1 2017-07 0.0 2017-04 89.9 2017-01 10.1 2016-10 8.9 2017-07 2016-07 9.8 0.2 2016-04 1.1 90.7 2016-01 88.0 9.1 2015-10 10.9 2017-04 2015-07 2017-01 2015-04 9.4 2015-01 20.3 0.0 2014-10 0.0 90.6 2014-07 79.7 9.4 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months 2014-04 20.3 2013-01 2016-07 2016-10 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-07 Improve 2013-04 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 9