Pakistan: Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) - 9 August

Transcription

1. Annexure-III Government of Pakistan Statistics Division Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Subject : Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended on 09-08-2018. The weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 covering 17 urban centres and 53 essential items for all income groups/quintiles and combined has been computed. 2. For the week ended on August 09, 2018, the SPI and percentage changes by income groups/quintiles and combined are given below: SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 Income Group (Quintile) SPI for week ended on 09-08-18 02-08-18 10-08-17 % change over 02-08-18 10-08-17 Q1 (Upto Rs. 8000) 217.55 217.37 209.86 0.08 3.66 Q2 (Rs. 8001-12000) 225.89 225.79 217.80 0.04 3.71 Q3 (Rs. 12001-18000) 227.67 227.61 219.17 0.03 3.88 Q4 (Rs. 18001-35000) 232.66 232.67 223.45 0.00 4.12 Q5 (Above Rs. 35000) 231.65 231.73 220.49 -0.03 5.06 229.55 229.55 219.92 0.00 4.38 Combined 3. The trend of weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 during the last 10 weeks as compared to the respective previous as well as corresponding weeks of last year is as under: Week ended on SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 % change over % change over SPI for lowest Combined Pr. Week Cor. Week income group Pr. Week Cor. Week SPI 07-06-2018 208.68 0.19 -0.35 223.91 0.21 1.51 13-06-2018 213.16 2.15 1.96 227.74 1.71 3.59 21-06-2018 216.31 1.48 3.20 230.09 1.03 4.36 28-06-2018 216.83 0.24 2.93 230.25 0.07 4.02 05-07-2018 216.33 -0.23 3.33 230.11 -0.06 4.64 12-07-2018 215.86 -0.22 3.36 228.78 -0.58 4.25 19-07-2018 216.03 0.08 3.58 228.68 -0.04 4.41 26-07-2018 216.76 0.34 4.07 229.16 0.21 4.76 02-08-2018 217.37 0.28 4.34 229.55 0.17 4.91 09-08-2018 217.55 0.08 3.66 229.55 0.00 4.38 4. A statement showing citywise prices of essential items pertaining to 17 urban centres is placed at Appendix-A.
2. 5 . The comparative changes in prices i.e. increase, decrease and unchanged for the week ended on 09-08-2018 over previous and corresponding weeks ended on 02-08-2018 and 10-08-2017 repectively are as follows: Sr. Items Units 1 i. Prices in Rs. On 09.08.18 02.08.18 %change col. 3 over 02.08.18 10.08.17 Weight of income group in % Lowest Combined 2 3 4 5 6 7 Average prices of the following 17 items registered INCREASE. Impact of income group in % points Lowest Combined 8 9 10 1 Tomatoes 1 kg 83.65 70.53 18.60 66.97 1.1881 1.1768 0.2516 0.2360 2 LPG Cylinder, 11kg Each 1447.35 1368.82 5.74 28.02 0.2835 0.2712 0.0152 0.0138 3 Cooked Beef, Average Hotel Plate 114.09 112.48 1.43 22.01 0.0965 0.3596 0.0021 0.0076 4 Match Box, Regular Each 2.35 2.32 1.29 6.33 0.1329 0.1183 0.0020 0.0017 5 Eggs Hen, Farm Dozen 96.86 96.27 0.61 -0.12 0.6588 1.1923 0.0036 0.0062 6 Cooked Daal, Average Hotel Plate 61.75 61.38 0.60 8.45 0.2085 0.4413 0.0017 0.0035 7 Gur, Average Quality 1 kg 82.08 81.60 0.59 -3.66 0.1879 0.0576 0.0013 0.0004 8 Pulse Gram, Washed 1 kg 116.14 115.46 0.59 -5.46 0.8699 0.6180 0.0061 0.0041 9 Soap, LifeBuoy Each 40.12 39.89 0.58 -3.67 0.3491 0.3539 0.0021 0.0020 10 Red Chilly Powder, Loose 1 kg 340.28 338.64 0.48 30.47 0.6191 0.4447 0.0032 0.0021 11 Rice Irri-6 (Punjab/Sindh) 1 kg 53.78 53.62 0.30 7.78 0.5103 0.1934 0.0013 0.0005 12 Pulse Masoor, Washed 1 kg 113.21 112.92 0.26 -7.77 0.5529 0.4892 0.0010 0.0009 13 Wheat Flour, Bag 10 kg 386.02 385.14 0.23 6.92 17.4548 10.9014 0.0387 0.0229 14 Wheat 10 kg 332.50 331.84 0.20 4.22 1.6049 0.9101 0.0029 0.0016 15 Garlic 1 kg 122.69 122.53 0.13 -37.12 0.3990 0.3599 0.0006 0.0005 16 Vegetable Ghee, Loose/Pouch, (SN) 1 kg 150.14 149.96 0.12 3.40 4.8228 2.7110 0.0037 0.0020 17 Sugar, Refined 1 kg 55.77 55.71 0.11 -7.88 3.7994 2.7340 0.0038 0.0026 TOTAL ii. 33.7384 23.3327 0.3409 0.3082 Average prices of the following 7 items registered DECREASE. 1 Chicken Farm, Broiler, Live 1 kg 125.48 137.59 -8.80 -14.95 2.4935 3.5588 -0.1666 -0.2251 2 Bananas Dozen 75.05 76.83 -2.32 -3.70 0.9748 1.3930 -0.0225 -0.0305 3 Onions 1 kg 43.30 44.06 -1.72 5.28 1.7622 1.4179 -0.0378 -0.0288 4 Potatoes 1 kg 33.21 33.72 -1.51 -10.94 1.6735 1.2501 -0.0258 -0.0182 5 Pulse Mash, Washed 1 kg 146.94 148.05 -0.75 -21.45 0.6088 0.5492 -0.0044 -0.0037 6 Pulse Moong, Washed 1 kg 113.54 114.13 -0.52 -8.24 0.8244 0.6114 -0.0042 -0.0030 7 Mustard Oil, Average Quality 1 kg 187.61 187.67 -0.03 2.64 0.1668 0.2492 0.0000 -0.0001 TOTAL iii. 8.5040 9.0296 -0.2614 -0.3095 Average prices of the following 29 items remained UNCHANGED 1 Rice Basmati Broken, (AQ) 1 kg 75.57 75.57 0.00 8.31 2.6713 1.9032 0.0000 0.0000 2 Bread Plain, Medium Size Each 42.56 42.56 0.00 3.50 0.2055 1.2284 0.0000 0.0000 3 Beef With Bone, Average quality 1 kg 373.53 373.53 0.00 9.34 3.9344 4.2660 0.0000 0.0000 4 Mutton, Average Quality 1 kg 781.32 781.32 0.00 10.55 0.3616 2.0953 0.0000 0.0000 5 Milk, Fresh, Unboiled 1 Ltr 85.46 85.46 0.00 4.33 17.0616 16.8368 0.0000 0.0000 6 Curd (Dahi) 1 kg 101.97 101.97 0.00 4.29 0.9482 1.3491 0.0000 0.0000 7 Powdered Milk, Nido, Polybag 400 gm 385.12 385.12 0.00 3.28 0.0752 0.1235 0.0000 0.0000 8 Cooking Oil, Tin, (SN) 2.5 Ltr 479.47 479.47 0.00 1.95 1.3472 2.2953 0.0000 0.0000 9 Vegetable Ghee, Tin, (SN) 2.5 kg 473.65 473.65 0.00 2.18 4.8228 2.7110 0.0000 0.0000 10 Salt Powder, Loose, Lahori 1 kg 11.59 11.59 0.00 8.22 0.1937 0.1636 0.0000 0.0000 11 Tea, Lipton Yellow Label, Packet 200 gm 203.39 203.39 0.00 2.98 2.2005 2.1456 0.0000 0.0000 12 Tea Prepared, Average Hotel Cup 21.57 21.57 0.00 2.52 0.4048 0.7913 0.0000 0.0000 13 Cigarettes, K-2, 20's Packet 51.18 51.18 0.00 0.83 0.8822 1.5930 0.0000 0.0000 14 Long Cloth, 57", Gul Ahmed/Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 231.81 231.81 0.00 9.19 1.9718 1.8511 0.0000 0.0000 15 Shirting, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 178.63 178.63 0.00 5.54 0.5195 0.6499 0.0000 0.0000 16 Lawn Printed, Gul Ahmed / Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 287.59 287.59 0.00 12.44 1.4477 1.4684 0.0000 0.0000 17 Georgette, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 132.08 132.08 0.00 5.34 0.4174 0.6340 0.0000 0.0000 18 Gents Sandal, Bata Pair 699.00 699.00 0.00 0.00 0.3910 0.4931 0.0000 0.0000 19 Gents Chappal Spng, Bata Pair 199.00 199.00 0.00 11.12 0.2702 0.2649 0.0000 0.0000 20 Ladies Sandal, Bata Pair 599.00 599.00 0.00 19.23 0.6773 0.8130 0.0000 0.0000 21 Electricity Charges, Upto 50 Units Unit 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 9.3636 11.5128 0.0000 0.0000 22 Gas Charges, Upto 3.3719 MMBTU MMBTU 128.70 128.70 0.00 0.00 3.2199 4.1239 0.0000 0.0000 23 Kerosene Oil 1 Ltr 122.37 122.37 0.00 55.13 0.0415 0.0150 0.0000 0.0000 24 Firewood Whole 40 kg 626.25 626.25 0.00 2.82 2.5384 0.5960 0.0000 0.0000 25 Electric Bulb, Energy Saver, 14 W Each 171.18 171.18 0.00 2.02 0.2003 0.2369 0.0000 0.0000 26 Washing Soap, 200-250 g, (SN) Cake 27.79 27.79 0.00 7.26 0.9514 0.7716 0.0000 0.0000 27 Petrol, Super 1 Ltr 96.22 96.22 0.00 36.93 0.4649 5.1188 0.0000 0.0000 28 Hi Speed Diesel (HSD) 1 Ltr 113.92 113.92 0.00 45.55 0.0090 0.2767 0.0000 0.0000 29 Telephone Local Call Charges, 3 Minutes P/Call 3.94 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.1647 1.3095 0.0000 0.0000 TOTAL 57.7576 67.6377 0.0000 0.0000
3. 6 . Monthly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) PERIOD Percentage change over previous month Percentage Change over corresponding month of previous year 2017-18 July 208.76 -0.45 -0.40 August 209.88 0.54 -0.09 September 214.35 2.13 1.92 October 216.20 0.86 2.12 November 216.93 0.34 2.13 December 215.47 -0.67 2.24 January 213.22 -1.04 1.99 February 210.63 -1.21 0.54 March 209.37 -0.60 -1.82 April 210.31 0.45 -0.47 May* 210.00 -0.15 0.28 June 213.74 1.78 1.92 1.17 3.58 Percentage change over previous quarter Percentage Change over corresponding quarter of previous year 2018-19 July 216.24 * SPI includes 5 weeks. 7. Quarterly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) PERIOD 2016-17 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 209.99 1.94 1.89 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 211.62 0.77 0.81 3rd quarter (Jan-Mar) 210.61 -0.48 1.55 4th quarter (Apr-Jun) 210.15 -0.22 2.02 2017-18 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 211.00 0.40 0.48 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 216.20 2.47 2.17 3rd quarter(Jan-Mar) 211.07 -2.37 0.22 4th quarter(Apr-Jun) 211.35 0.13 0.57 Percentage change over previous Half year Percentage Change over corresponding Half year of previous year 8. Half yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) 2016-17 1st half (Jul-Dec) 210.80 1.99 1.35 2nd half (Jan-June) 210.38 -0.20 1.78 2017-18 1st half (Jul-Dec) 213.60 1.53 1.33 2nd half (Jan-June) 211.21 -1.12 0.40 Page 3
4. Yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 2007-08=100 9. Period July to June SPI (Q1) Percentage Change over Previous Year 2008-09 121.14 21.14 2009-10 136.80 12.93 2010-11 159.47 16.57 2011-12 170.77 7.08 2012-13 184.04 7.77 2013-14 201.15 9.30 2014-15 204.66 1.74 2015-16 207.35 1.31 2016-17 210.59 1.56 2017-18 212.44 0.88 Consumer Price Index (CPI) with base 2007-08=100 by income groups 10. Combined Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Combined Q1 PERIOD 228.80 224.62 228.31 228.41 230.50 229.15 5.83 INDEX NUMBER PERIOD Q3 Q4 Q5 5.53 6.50 PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2017-18 OVER 2016-17 INDEX NUMBER 2018-19 (JUL) Q2 4.71 4.89 5.12 PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS MONTH JUL, 16 210.08 211.23 213.48 212.64 213.40 207.61 1.34 1.87 1.65 1.55 1.43 1.14 AUG,16 209.46 210.52 212.75 211.89 212.64 207.09 -0.30 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.25 SEP,16 209.88 210.90 213.11 212.24 213.01 207.56 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.23 OCT,16 211.57 212.69 214.88 214.01 214.72 209.21 0.81 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.80 0.79 NOV,16 212.01 213.21 215.37 214.47 215.18 209.63 0.21 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.20 DEC, 16 210.57 210.69 213.16 212.51 213.50 208.70 -0.68 -1.18 -1.03 -0.91 -0.78 -0.44 JAN,17 210.94 210.39 213.03 212.50 213.64 209.45 0.18 -0.14 -0.06 0.00 0.07 0.36 FEB, 17 211.54 210.80 213.52 213.05 214.26 210.09 0.28 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.31 Mar,17 213.32 212.79 215.54 215.06 216.23 211.66 0.84 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.75 Apr,17 216.30 215.46 218.35 217.97 219.25 214.70 1.40 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.44 May,17 216.33 214.88 217.96 217.71 219.15 215.02 0.01 -0.27 -0.18 -0.12 -0.05 0.15 June, 17 215.45 213.80 216.94 216.60 217.97 214.37 -0.41 -0.50 -0.47 -0.51 -0.54 -0.30 July, 17 216.19 214.52 217.67 217.28 218.43 215.17 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.21 0.37 August, 17 216.61 215.47 218.41 217.88 218.88 215.41 0.19 0.44 0.34 0.28 0.21 0.11 Sep, 17 217.98 217.99 220.44 219.65 220.39 216.36 0.63 1.17 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.44 Oct, 17 219.61 219.48 221.92 221.11 222.08 218.13 0.75 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.77 0.82 Nov, 17 220.42 219.97 222.48 221.77 222.85 219.09 0.37 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.44 Dec, 17 220.20 219.18 221.92 221.30 222.54 219.10 -0.10 -0.36 -0.25 -0.21 -0.14 0.00 Jan,18 220.27 217.98 221.09 220.75 222.33 219.77 0.03 -0.55 -0.37 -0.25 -0.09 0.31 Feb,18 219.58 216.40 219.79 219.65 221.48 219.49 -0.31 -0.72 -0.59 -0.50 -0.38 -0.13 Mar,18 220.25 215.93 219.66 219.76 221.92 220.68 0.31 -0.22 -0.06 0.05 0.20 0.54 Apr, 18 224.25 219.49 223.43 223.65 225.90 224.81 1.82 1.65 1.72 1.77 1.79 1.87 May,18 225.40 220.40 224.48 224.79 227.10 225.99 0.51 0.41 0.47 0.51 0.53 0.52 June, 18 226.68 221.93 225.96 226.23 228.50 227.10 0.57 0.69 0.66 0.64 0.62 0.49 July, 18 228.80 224.62 228.31 228.41 230.50 229.15 0.94 1.21 1.04 0.96 0.88 0.90 11. A review of the current average prices of Cement collected for the week ended on 09.08.2018 shows a decrease of 0.32% over previous week and an increase of 5.15% over corresponding week of the last year. Average retail prices of Fertilizers and Cement are given at Appendix-B. Member Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Dated: 09.08.2018 U.O.NO.PBS.PS.SPI-0708(01)/2011- Page 4