Indonesia: Markets Evening Update - 26 March

Transcription

1. 26 March 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 7,554.4 6,124.4 -1,060.0 39.1 6,924.2 H-1 7,801.0 6,760.7 127.0 -1.2 6,972.6 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,662 733 2,601 1,152 1,070 1,238 1,823 502 916 -8.9% 26.3% 7.6% 31.1% -2.0% -14.2% 22.1% -0.9% 1.2% Penutupan 1 year return 6,211 3,421 1,865 1,794 2,417 32,597 30,309 20,618 5,929 84,377 23,533 2,913 6,922 11.6% 8.9% 6.8% 14.0% 11.4% 10.8% 24.4% 7.0% 2.3% 32.1% 14.3% -6.8% -5.7% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.6% -0.7% -1.1% -0.3% -0.7% -1.1% -0.7% -0.9% -0.6% 2.8% 6.3% -9.1% 1.0% -9.6% -10.4% 14.3% 1.3% -0.6% Di perdagangan awal pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan melanjutkan pelemahannya di sepanjang perdagangan seiring dengan berkembangnya kekhawatiran akan terjadinya perang dagang antara Amerika dengan China yang menjadi sentimen negatif di pasar. IHSG ditutup terkoreksi -10 poin (-0,17%) di level 6.200. Sektor infrastruktur dan konsumsi yang masing-masing berkurang -5 poin (-0,60%) dan -14 poin (-0,55%) mencatatkan pelemahan terbesar untuk indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +44 poin (+0,32%) di level 13.738. Sedangkan investor asing tercatat melakukan aksi jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 989,2B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return YT D return -0.7% -2.0% -0.6% -0.2% -3.2% -1.2% -2.5% -4.5% -1.9% -0.5% -1.8% -1.0% -0.4% -2.3% 0.5% 3.8% 2.3% -2.5% -4.3% 1.3% -10.3% -4.4% 10.4% -4.8% -8.3% -10.0% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) BBNI 9.150 425 GGRM 70.300 700 INKP 11.475 250 UNVR 50.350 625 MAPI 7.800 250 BBC A 23.275 525 SMBR PTRO 3.700 2.370 240 240 BRAM RDTX 7.125 5.100 450 400 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.10 0.058 0.033 13,755 IDR 1,795.0 799.1 459.0 +/- Daily % chg -1.84% -4.08% -30.77% -0.49 0.00 -0.01 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.70 13.79 4.25% 3.18% 1.75 2.20% 1.10% (0.06) 1.50% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 65.8 620.1 1.74 12,902 20,845 1,347.3 96.8 146.5 3.5 10.0 6,617.8 40.1% -12.4% -43.7% 29.4% 2.7% 8.3% 19.5% -7.0% 3.8% 2.6% 14.1% +/1.6 -5.6 0.0 -244.0 -70.0 18.2 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 -34.8 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBNI 41,6 45.882 TLKM 222,7 618.253 SMGR 18,8 19.069 BBRI 177,7 494.508 PBSA 14,2 85.183 BBC A 126,3 54.213 PGAS 11,0 45.394 ASII 109,3 151.192 DOID 7,7 80.087 UNVR 76,5 15.178 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 2.54% -0.90% 0.00% -1.86% -0.33% 1.37% 0.05% 5.84% 0.29% 0.33% -0.52% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,225 1,595 825 1,275 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 35.64% 56.74% 57.58% 17.65% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMBR SELL SELL SELL 17,150 3,700 9,850 15,000 375 11,500 -12.54% -89.86% 16.75% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,150 2,750 2,520 1,705 525 426 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 25.58% 70.91% 30.95% 70.09% 42.86% 45.54% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,550 7,200 50,350 4,080 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 8.77% 34.72% 15.79% 0.49% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat KLBF SILO MIKA HOLD HOLD HOLD 1,400 8,100 2,150 1,850 10,800 2,400 32.14% 33.33% 11.63% JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,480 2,430 1,160 6,150 2,100 1,580 37.28% -13.58% 36.21% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,800 1,310 1,755 18,500 1,900 2,100 34.06% 45.04% 19.66% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 218 380 1,760 1,135 478 905 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 92.66% 10.53% 36.36% 19.38% 197.07% 48.07% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,950 3,590 2,520 7,200 5,120 4,670 45.45% 42.62% 85.32% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,550 5,600 4,550 6,400 28.17% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,030 32,000 2,830 2,900 40,000 4,500 42.86% 25.00% 59.01% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,900 9,900 -9.17% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 535 174 286 585 840 825 270 380 655 1,350 54.21% 55.17% 32.87% 11.97% 60.71% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.