Indonesia: Markets Evening Update - 29 March

Transcription

1. 29 March 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,144.6 5,002.7 -696.6 -63.1 6,846.3 H-1 7,088.3 5,945.2 -854.0 -315.4 6,922.7 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,697 736 2,575 1,133 1,049 1,215 1,823 500 905 1 year return -8.6% 24.8% 5.6% 29.6% -5.1% -18.1% 20.2% -0.8% 1.1% 1.1% -0.9% -1.1% -1.4% -0.8% -2.1% -1.3% -0.6% -0.6% 5.0% 6.8% -10.0% -0.7% -11.4% -12.1% 14.3% 1.0% -1.8% Pada perdagangan akhir bulan Maret ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak bervariasi. Melemahnya indeks global serta harga komoditas berhasil memberikan katalis negatif untuk IHSG di awal perdagangan. Kemudian indeks berbalik menguat dipicu oleh aksi beli investor asing pada saham lapis pertama seiring dengan aktivitas window dressing di akhir kuartal satu tahun 2018. IHSG ditutup naik 48 poin (+0,78%) di level 6.189. Sektor aneka industri dan industri dasar yang masing-masing bertambah +29 poin (+2,40%) dan +12 poin (+1,70%) menjadi penopang pergerakan indes hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -2 poin (-0,01%) di level 13.766. Sedangkan investor asing berhasil membukukan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 0,6B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 1 year return 6,141 3,383 1,858 1,785 2,419 32,969 30,023 21,031 5,899 83,874 23,848 2,955 7,045 9.8% 6.2% 6.1% 13.3% 11.6% 11.6% 23.1% 9.4% -0.2% 28.0% 15.4% -6.2% -4.5% 1 day return YT D return -1.1% -1.6% -0.2% -1.0% -1.3% -0.6% -2.5% -1.3% -0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 0.6% -3.4% -0.6% 3.4% 1.8% -2.1% -3.2% 0.3% -6.5% -4.4% 9.8% -3.5% -7.0% -8.4% Top Gainer Ticker GGRM Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) 72.475 1.575 INKP 11.000 500 NIKL 4.800 920 INTP 16.000 475 SMAR 4.630 530 SMMA 8.600 400 POOL JEC C 4.600 5.500 520 500 GDYR AALI 1.915 13.475 285 225 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.24 0.058 0.031 13,742 IDR 1,803.0 795.2 423.0 +/- Daily % chg 0.42% -2.08% -3.85% 0.11 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.68 13.82 4.25% 3.18% 1.75 2.20% 1.10% (0.07) 1.50% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 64.4 625.1 1.74 13,081 20,965 1,325.1 96.7 146.5 3.5 9.9 6,633.5 33.1% -10.7% -43.7% 31.8% 4.5% 5.7% 19.7% -7.0% 2.7% 3.4% 13.4% +/-0.9 -3.4 0.0 133.0 20.0 -20.0 -0.3 8.1 0.0 0.0 27.0 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot SMGR 38,6 38.241 UNTR 53,5 16.743 KLBF 34,4 231.037 BMRI 49,6 65.427 ADRO 21,3 100.315 BBC A 44,0 19.305 PGAS 17,8 75.576 HMSP 25,1 63.009 ASII 14,5 19.820 INTP 10,3 6.354 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) -1.33% -0.53% 0.00% 1.03% 0.10% -1.49% -0.26% 5.84% 0.00% -0.35% 0.41% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,300 1,585 815 1,345 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 34.25% 57.73% 59.51% 11.52% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 16,000 4,100 10,350 15,000 375 11,500 -6.25% -90.85% 11.11% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,070 2,610 2,470 1,680 515 414 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 30.43% 80.08% 33.60% 72.62% 45.63% 49.76% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,275 7,200 49,525 3,980 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 12.39% 34.72% 17.72% 3.02% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,500 8,000 2,090 3,660 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 23.33% 35.00% 14.83% 104.92% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,580 2,300 1,150 6,150 2,100 1,580 34.28% -8.70% 37.39% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,475 1,295 1,975 18,500 1,900 2,100 37.29% 46.72% 6.33% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 216 378 1,780 1,175 480 905 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 94.44% 11.11% 34.83% 15.32% 195.83% 48.07% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,750 3,600 2,520 7,200 5,120 4,670 51.58% 42.22% 85.32% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,580 5,575 4,550 6,400 27.09% 14.80% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,130 32,000 2,790 2,900 40,000 4,500 36.15% 25.00% 61.29% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,950 9,900 -9.59% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 550 172 288 585 835 825 270 380 655 1,350 50.00% 56.98% 31.94% 11.97% 61.68% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.