Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 4 April

Transcription

1. 4 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,178.9 4,877.7 -384.2 42.9 6,944.7 H-1 5,896.6 4,397.0 -243.8 -23.7 6,957.5 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,700 743 2,603 1,139 1,069 1,295 1,858 511 918 -9.0% 23.6% 5.9% 29.9% -4.7% -12.4% 17.5% 1.4% 0.3% Penutupan 1 year return 6,229 3,412 1,851 1,765 2,442 33,371 30,180 21,292 5,859 84,623 24,033 2,954 7,030 10.2% 7.3% 5.9% 11.5% 13.0% 11.6% 24.4% 13.2% -0.6% 28.7% 16.2% -6.4% -4.0% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.5% -0.1% -0.8% -0.1% -0.3% 1.2% -0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 5.1% 7.8% -9.0% -0.1% -9.7% -6.2% 16.6% 3.2% -0.4% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return YT D return -0.2% -0.5% -0.4% -1.0% -0.1% 0.3% 0.3% -0.5% -0.2% -0.1% 1.6% -0.4% -0.4% -2.0% 0.3% 3.0% 0.7% -1.1% -2.0% 0.9% -6.2% -5.2% 10.8% -2.8% -7.0% -8.6% Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.66 0.059 0.033 13,753 Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Top Gainer Ticker POOL-W 1,833.3 810.4 455.8 Last (Rp) Change(-) 700 GGRM 72.000 1.600 INTP 16.600 400 ITMG 26.300 675 STTP 4.400 320 UNVR 49.550 550 PNSE EXC L 1.070 2.540 200 180 BBNI SMGR 8.275 10.650 350 250 Daily +/% 0.28 0.00 0.00 chg 1.06% 2.13% 3.85% Top Foreign Buy Ticker Latest Interest Inflation 5.70 13.63 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.20% 1.10% (0.07) 1.50% Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 63.5 630.2 1.74 13,419 21,252 1,332.8 92.0 146.5 3.6 10.1 6,762.3 Ticker 4.000 Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) 26.4% -8.5% -43.7% 37.1% 5.8% 6.1% 2.8% -7.0% 4.3% 10.0% 18.0% +/0.5 -5.7 0.0 165.5 77.0 -8.4 -0.3 8.1 0.0 0.0 83.0 NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BMRI 40,0 51.998 BBRI 123,1 BBC A 34,0 14.425 BBNI 59,4 70.738 KLBF 31,6 204.369 BBTN 42,1 119.289 INTP 21,9 13.109 HMSP 31,7 78.306 SRIL 21,9 635.082 ADRO 29,5 141.402 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Source : IPOT IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Mengawali perdagangan hari ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak dengan dibuka menguat merespon sentimen positif dari kenaikan indeks bursa global, harga komoditas minyak mentah, nikel dan timah. Kemudian pasar berbalik arah setelah adanya aksi balasan dari China yang mengumumkan secara resmi terkait pengenaan tarif 106 barang impor Amerika termasuk kacang kedelai, mobil, bahan kimia dan pesawat terbang sebesar 25 persen. Langkah itu mempercepat ketegangan perang dagang antara Amerika dengan China. IHSG ditutup melemah -72 poin (-1,15%) di level 6.157. Sektor tambang dan keuangan yang masing-masing berkurang -39 poin (-2,14%) dan -20 poin (-1,78%) menjadi penekan utama penurunan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan turun -2 poin (-0,01%) di level 13.766. Selain itu investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 109,4B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) 0.79% -0.90% 0.00% 1.25% 0.36% -0.63% -0.27% 5.84% 0.55% 0.05% 1.24% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report 349.883
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,575 1,575 790 1,325 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 29.37% 58.73% 64.56% 13.21% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 16,600 3,500 10,650 15,000 375 11,500 -9.64% -89.29% 7.98% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,110 2,670 2,520 1,690 510 418 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 27.96% 76.03% 30.95% 71.60% 47.06% 48.33% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,150 7,200 49,550 4,010 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 14.11% 34.72% 17.66% 2.24% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,560 8,000 2,060 3,550 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 18.59% 35.00% 16.50% 111.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,540 2,310 1,160 6,150 2,100 1,580 35.46% -9.09% 36.21% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,800 1,300 1,950 18,500 1,900 2,100 34.06% 46.15% 7.69% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 222 382 1,720 1,160 476 890 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 89.19% 9.95% 39.53% 16.81% 198.32% 50.56% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,870 3,600 2,540 7,200 5,120 4,670 47.84% 42.22% 83.86% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,400 5,600 4,550 6,400 33.82% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,040 32,000 2,980 2,900 40,000 4,500 42.16% 25.00% 51.01% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,975 9,900 -9.79% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 565 169 286 585 835 750 270 380 655 1,350 32.74% 59.76% 32.87% 11.97% 61.68% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.