Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 2 May

Transcription

1. 2 May 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 5,918.9 5,904.5 -566.8 74.4 6,683.3 H-1 5,516.5 6,531.8 -358.4 278.2 6,599.3 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,626 788 2,445 1,068 1,057 1,238 1,790 477 916 1 year return -11.6% 29.2% 0.5% 19.7% -7.6% -17.8% 17.0% -5.6% -0.8% -0.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% -0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 14.3% -14.6% -6.4% -10.7% -10.4% 12.3% -3.7% -0.6% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 5,995 3,614 1,870 1,780 2,515 35,160 30,808 22,508 6,100 86,116 24,099 3,085 7,520 1 year return 5.4% 13.8% 5.8% 13.6% 14.1% 17.5% 25.2% 15.7% 2.2% 31.7% 15.0% -3.5% 3.7% 1 day return YT D return 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% -5.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% -1.3% -0.7% 12.7% -2.5% -2.9% -2.2% Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.17 0.059 0.035 13,893 Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Top Gainer Ticker 1,887.4 816.4 483.2 Last (Rp) Change(-) 11.900 1.900 UNTR 33.250 850 BBC A 22.900 800 RDTX 5.200 650 GGRM 69.950 625 INAF 5.075 625 INKP ITMG 13.675 24.100 475 450 MKPI NIKL 22.500 4.310 500 490 Daily +/% -0.08 0.00 0.00 chg -0.29% -3.92% -3.33% Top Foreign Buy Ticker Latest Interest Inflation 5.76 13.86 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.40% 1.30% (0.08) 1.10% Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 67.3 601.4 1.74 13,597 21,340 1,303.9 102.1 146.5 3.8 10.2 6,707.3 Ticker DSSA Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.09) 37.7% -5.8% -31.5% 44.6% 6.8% 3.9% 28.5% -7.0% 6.2% 8.8% 17.5% +/-1.3 -5.1 0.0 3.8 25.0 -11.4 2.7 8.1 0.0 0.0 -62.8 NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBC A 111,6 49.555 UNTR 132,9 39.837 BMRI 48,7 68.354 ADRO 110,3 612.610 PTBA 47,6 140.422 BBRI 51,2 159.551 ASII 44,9 61.322 TLKM 33,2 86.814 ERAA 17,2 98.984 HMSP 30,9 88.711 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Source : IPOT IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Indeks harga saham gabungan di perdagangan awal bulan Mei begerak bervariasi. Mayoritas pergerakan indeks berada di teritori negatif dipicu oleh aksi jual investor asing, yield obligasi di Amerika yang kembali bergerak mendekati level 3 persen, serta pelaku pasar yang menunggu hasil rapat Dewan Gubernur Bank Sentral Amerika pada hari Rabu waktu setempat. Di sisi lain, kinerja laporan keuangan emiten yang cukup baik serta menguatnya harga komoditas batubara berhasil menopang penguatan indeks hari ini. IHSG ditutup meningkat +17 poin (+0,29%) di level 6.012. Sektor aneka industri dan pertambangan yang masing-masing meningkat +31 poin (+2,55%) dan +29 poin (+1,63%) menjadi pendorong pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -35 poin (-0,25%) di level 13.948. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 260B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) -1.93% -0.84% 0.00% 0.03% 0.12% -0.87% 2.67% 5.84% 1.35% 0.42% -0.93% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,375 1,655 1,085 1,440 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 32.88% 51.06% 19.82% 4.17% BUY HOLD BUY BUY 7,200 22,900 8,000 3,110 9,500 22,000 10,200 4,175 31.94% -3.93% 27.50% 34.24% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,325 3,850 9,275 15,000 375 11,500 -13.42% -90.26% 23.99% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,915 2,350 2,110 1,560 474 396 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 40.99% 100.00% 56.40% 85.90% 58.23% 56.57% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,700 6,925 45,950 3,460 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 6.90% 40.07% 26.88% 18.50% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,515 7,000 1,910 3,370 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 22.11% 54.29% 25.65% 122.55% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD HOLD BUY 4,330 2,040 1,120 6,150 2,270 1,580 42.03% 11.27% 41.07% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 12,525 1,235 1,850 18,500 1,900 2,100 47.70% 53.85% 13.51% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 214 368 1,655 1,055 444 905 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 96.26% 14.13% 45.02% 28.44% 219.82% 48.07% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,790 3,870 2,100 7,200 5,120 4,670 89.97% 32.30% 122.38% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,020 5,425 4,550 6,400 50.66% 17.97% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,775 3,430 33,250 3,280 1,200 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 46.48% 13.70% 26.32% 37.20% 14.17% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,000 9,900 -1.00% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 510 160 262 585 820 750 270 380 655 1,350 47.06% 68.75% 45.04% 11.97% 64.63% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.