Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 3 May

Transcription

1. 3 May 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,779.3 6,582.6 -511.5 -416.3 6,703.0 H-1 5,918.9 5,904.5 -566.8 74.4 6,683.3 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,612 794 2,424 1,079 1,062 1,270 1,819 471 907 -11.2% 32.4% -1.2% 20.8% -6.0% -15.0% 24.1% -4.6% -0.4% Penutupan 1 year return 6,012 3,615 1,852 1,791 2,506 35,176 30,724 22,508 6,137 84,547 23,925 3,097 7,543 6.5% 11.7% 4.5% 14.5% 12.9% 17.7% 24.4% 15.7% 3.7% 27.9% 14.2% -3.4% 4.3% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.9% 0.8% -0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 2.6% 1.6% -1.3% -1.0% -0.3% 15.2% -15.3% -5.4% -10.2% -8.1% 14.1% -4.9% -1.6% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return Indeks harga saham gabungan pada perdagangan hari ini bergerak melemah disepanjang perdagangan. Kekhawatiran investor terkait dengan adanya potensi BI untuk kembali tidak menaikkan suku bunga bank pasca keputusan the Fed untuk mempertahankan suku bunga di Amerika menjadi faktor utama yang mendorong pelemahan tersebut. Selain itu melemahnya harga komoditas batubara turut menambah katalis negatif untuk indeks. IHSG ditutup terkoreksi -153 poin (-2,55%) di level 5.858. Sektor infrastruktur dan tambang yang masing-masing berkurang 34 poin (-3,20%) dan 55 poin (-3,04%) menjadi penekan utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +9 poin (+0,06%) di level 13.939. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 567,1B di pasar reguler. YT D return 0.3% 0.0% -1.0% 0.6% -0.4% 0.0% -0.3% 0.2% 0.6% -1.8% -0.7% 0.4% 0.3% -5.4% 6.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.4% 3.3% 2.7% -1.3% 0.0% 10.7% -3.2% -2.6% -1.9% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) SONA 3.200 400 ITMG 22.350 1.750 INDR 1.880 375 GGRM 68.975 975 UNTR 33.500 250 UNVR 45.200 750 BLTZ GDYR 9.200 2.160 200 160 LPPF SILO 9.375 6.375 625 625 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.44 0.059 0.036 13,913 IDR 1,908.9 815.4 499.2 +/- Daily % chg 0.99% 0.00% 3.45% 0.27 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.73 13.85 4.25% 3.41% 1.75 2.40% 1.30% (0.08) 1.10% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.09) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 67.9 600.2 1.73 13,936 21,205 1,304.9 101.0 146.5 3.8 10.1 6,784.5 42.5% -7.3% -31.5% 47.3% 5.9% 5.4% 27.8% -7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 17.6% +/0.7 0.3 0.0 338.8 -135.0 1.0 -1.1 8.1 0.0 -0.1 77.3 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot ASII 66,5 90.694 TLKM 141,7 373.036 AUTO 6,0 38.051 ADRO 85,3 503.574 LPKR 4,2 101.655 BBRI 52,8 167.949 BJTM 3,4 48.952 HMSP 49,5 149.246 ISAT 3,3 8.843 BBNI 38,9 50.355 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 1.01% 0.04% 0.00% 2.49% -0.63% 0.08% -1.03% 5.84% -0.27% -0.93% 1.15% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,275 1,580 1,020 1,430 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 34.71% 58.23% 27.45% 4.90% BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,850 22,300 7,725 2,920 9,500 22,000 10,200 4,175 38.69% -1.35% 32.04% 42.98% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,075 3,720 9,000 15,000 375 8,830 -12.15% -89.92% -1.89% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,820 2,220 1,980 1,460 464 380 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 48.35% 111.71% 66.67% 98.63% 61.64% 63.16% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,200 6,725 45,200 3,300 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 13.41% 44.24% 28.98% 24.24% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,445 6,375 1,865 3,300 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 28.03% 69.41% 28.69% 127.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD HOLD BUY 4,180 1,930 1,110 6,150 2,270 1,580 47.13% 17.62% 42.34% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 12,025 1,170 1,850 18,500 1,900 2,100 53.85% 62.39% 13.51% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 210 368 1,605 1,000 418 890 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 100.00% 14.13% 49.53% 35.50% 239.71% 50.56% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,740 3,740 1,945 7,200 5,120 4,670 92.51% 36.90% 140.10% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 2,960 5,300 4,550 6,400 53.72% 20.75% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,680 3,280 33,500 3,200 1,170 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 54.76% 18.90% 25.37% 40.63% 17.09% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 9,375 9,900 5.60% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 500 151 256 585 820 750 270 380 655 1,350 50.00% 78.81% 48.44% 11.97% 64.63% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.