Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 11 April

Transcription

1. 11 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,389.7 6,252.5 10.1 -106.3 7,052.6 H-1 6,425.1 4,762.0 -110.5 -258.7 6,963.7 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,715 768 2,662 1,138 1,113 1,317 1,895 511 933 -7.0% 25.9% 9.6% 28.9% 0.8% -9.8% 21.5% 3.8% 0.9% Penutupan 1 year return 6,326 3,466 1,861 1,761 2,451 33,880 30,729 21,794 5,952 84,510 24,408 3,040 7,267 12.4% 9.2% 7.2% 11.3% 15.4% 13.7% 27.6% 16.2% -0.2% 31.3% 18.2% -3.8% -1.3% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.3% -0.1% 0.7% 6.1% 11.5% -7.0% -0.3% -6.0% -4.6% 18.9% 3.1% 1.3% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return YT D return 1.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 0.9% 1.0% -0.5% 1.9% 3.6% 0.4% -0.6% -0.5% 2.7% -4.2% -3.7% 10.6% -1.3% -4.3% -5.5% Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.77 0.067 0.052 13,761 Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Top Gainer Ticker INTP 1,910.7 918.6 714.5 Last (Rp) Change(-) 950 ITMG 27.400 1.050 GHON 2.680 490 BRAM 6.700 425 MAPI 8.200 400 MREI 4.700 200 INKP TKIM 11.500 6.975 250 225 BBNI JSPT 8.575 1.055 150 145 Daily +/% 0.80 0.00 0.00 chg 2.97% 1.89% 5.00% Top Foreign Buy Ticker Latest Interest Inflation 5.70 13.86 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.20% 1.40% (0.06) 1.50% Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 65.5 629.2 1.74 13,652 20,926 1,339.5 93.5 146.5 3.6 10.2 6,908.3 Ticker 19.850 Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.07) 23.4% -6.2% -43.7% 34.9% 3.1% 5.1% 7.8% -7.0% 4.6% 10.8% 20.9% +/2.1 -8.0 0.0 261.5 -294.0 3.1 -0.7 8.1 0.0 0.0 118.0 NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBRI 112,4 307.970 PTBA 73,2 212.206 TLKM 52,1 134.502 ADRO 51,8 240.037 BMRI 36,8 45.795 HMSP 34,9 84.237 INKP 20,3 17.652 UNTR 31,5 8.969 INTP 17,2 8.816 INDF 31,1 43.272 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Source : IPOT IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Di perdagangan hari ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak menguat di sepanjang perdagangan. Pernyataan Presiden China Xi Jinping dalam pidatonya yang mengatakan bahwa akan bersifat lebih membuka perekonomian negaranya dengan menurunkan tarif impor produk otomotif dan produk lainnya secara signifikan, melindungi kekayaan intelektual untuk perusahaan asing serta memperbaiki lingkungan investasi bagi perusahaan luar negeri menjadi sentimen positif untuk indeks. IHSG ditutup menguat +35 poin (+0,56%) di level 6.361. Sektor aneka industri dan industri dasar yang masing-masing bertambah +17 poin (+1,28%) dan +8 poin (+1,13%) menjadi pendorong kenaikan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -8 poin (-0,06%) di level 13.759. sedangkan investor asing kembali mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 3B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) 3.30% -1.26% 0.00% 1.95% -1.39% 0.23% -0.74% 5.84% -0.55% 0.10% 1.74% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,950 1,600 890 1,430 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 23.27% 56.25% 46.07% 4.90% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 19,850 3,480 10,250 15,000 375 11,500 -24.43% -89.22% 12.20% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,130 2,840 2,500 1,725 515 454 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 26.76% 65.49% 32.00% 68.12% 45.63% 36.56% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,400 7,225 51,900 4,150 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 10.71% 34.26% 12.33% -1.20% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,545 8,375 2,090 3,470 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 19.74% 28.96% 14.83% 116.14% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,740 2,350 1,120 6,150 2,100 1,580 29.75% -10.64% 41.07% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,675 1,375 1,950 18,500 1,900 2,100 35.28% 38.18% 7.69% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 224 388 1,775 1,235 484 980 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 87.50% 8.25% 35.21% 9.72% 193.39% 36.73% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,790 3,870 2,750 7,200 5,120 4,670 50.31% 32.30% 69.82% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,440 5,650 4,550 6,400 32.27% 13.27% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,140 35,575 3,120 2,900 40,000 4,500 35.51% 12.44% 44.23% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,975 9,900 -9.79% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 560 169 296 585 835 750 270 380 655 1,350 33.93% 59.76% 28.38% 11.97% 61.68% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.