Turkey: Investment Tendency Statistics (Autumn 2017)

Transcription

1. INVESTMENT TENDENCY STATISTICS AGGREGATED RESULTS (2009 - 2017) STATISTICS DEPARTMENT REAL SECTOR DATA DIVISION CONTENTS 1 INVESTMENT TENDENCIES 1.1 Percentage change in investment last year (t-1) on investment two years ago (t-2) 1.2 Percentage change in investment this year (t) on investment last year (t-1) 1.3 Percentage change in investment next year (t+1) on investment this year (t) 2 STRUCTURE OF THE INVESTMENT 2.1 Structure of the investment carried out this year (t) 2.2 Structure of the investment planned for the next year (t+1) 3 FACTORS INFLUENCING INVESTMENT 3.1 Factors influencing investment for this year (t) 3.2 Factors influencing investment for the next year (t+1) www.tcmb.gov.tr
2. Contents 1 . INVESTMENT TENDENCIES 1.1 Percentage change in investment last year (t-1) on investment two years ago (t-2) Period Total Manufacturing 2009-Spring 2010-Spring 2011-Spring 2012-Spring 2013-Spring 2014-Spring 2015-Spring 2016-Spring 2017-Spring 34.1 -8.4 31.9 85.6 32.5 41.4 24.1 26.7 24.3 SG2 37.5 -2.4 41.6 46.0 43.3 44.6 37.9 22.8 25.0 SG3 SG4 40.6 0.7 30.2 57.6 49.1 38.9 35.7 54.0 29.8 26.2 -13.8 30.9 112.4 23.4 41.2 17.6 18.5 23.9 1.2 Percentage change in investment this year (t) on investment last year (t-1) Period Total Manufacturing 2009-Spring 2010-Spring 2011-Spring 2012-Spring 2013-Spring 2014-Spring 2015-Spring 2016-Spring 2017-Spring -12.7 36.8 70.3 37.9 25.7 22.9 29.0 26.7 26.9 SG2 -9.0 24.7 27.6 23.7 22.0 19.2 12.3 19.6 16.0 SG3 SG4 -7.8 41.2 52.1 23.3 18.2 42.7 25.2 13.9 11.5 Period -11.9 46.4 92.8 51.4 27.7 20.7 31.2 30.9 32.9 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn Total Manufacturing -13.4 22.0 63.4 26.5 29.4 21.5 14.3 15.4 30.7 1.3 Percentage change in investment next year (t+1) on investment this year (t) Period Total Manufacturing 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn [SG]: Size Groups [SG1]: Denotes the [SG2]: Denotes the [SG3]: Denotes the [SG4]: Denotes the 34.4 35.9 20.0 23.3 20.4 26.1 23.5 15.8 33.6 enterprises of which enterprises of which enterprises of which enterprises of which the the the the number number number number SG2 9.0 15.4 14.2 25.7 22.0 17.6 13.4 20.9 24.0 SG3 SG4 16.7 40.0 30.0 45.0 26.7 39.8 34.0 11.5 42.3 of employees working of employees working of employees working of employees working in in in in the the the the 49.9 45.5 17.6 17.2 15.8 23.3 22.8 13.9 36.8 production production production production process is less than 50 and it is excluded from the scope. process is between 50 and 249. process is between 250 and 499. process is greater than 500. SG2 -10.4 24.8 28.5 19.9 35.2 13.7 12.0 15.4 22.9 SG3 -2.0 19.2 52.8 30.7 34.5 37.0 20.7 8.3 16.3 SG4 -16.6 20.3 89.6 30.6 27.4 18.8 10.9 15.2 35.5
3. Contents 2 . STRUCTURE OF THE INVESTMENT (*) 2.1 Structure of the investment carried out this year (t) (%) Period Replacement of worn-out plant Total Manufacturing 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn 29.0 28.9 29.0 29.0 28.3 28.6 32.2 31.8 32.8 SG2 31.8 33.7 30.7 32.6 31.9 30.5 31.7 35.9 40.6 SG3 29.4 35.4 31.4 30.6 26.7 34.5 33.7 28.2 33.2 Investment designed to streamline production Extension of production capacity SG4 Total Manufacturing 26.9 24.3 28.1 26.2 26.9 25.7 30.3 29.8 30.5 24.2 24.7 21.8 28.5 24.7 25.3 23.7 22.2 22.5 SG2 20.9 24.6 26.0 27.4 28.4 25.4 23.6 21.8 22.3 SG3 SG4 34.7 25.9 24.2 27.6 31.7 25.9 24.8 31.0 25.1 20.7 23.2 19.1 29.7 22.0 25.5 24.1 21.3 21.3 Total Manufacturing 26.9 25.5 28.5 25.7 27.2 27.3 25.7 26.4 26.5 SG2 33.4 28.4 27.3 26.0 24.1 29.3 28.4 26.6 24.3 SG3 22.7 25.2 29.9 28.2 28.6 28.0 28.0 28.9 28.2 SG4 26.1 25.9 27.8 25.2 27.8 26.8 25.3 26.4 27.3 Other investment objectives Total Manufacturing 19.9 20.9 20.7 16.8 19.8 18.8 18.4 19.6 18.2 SG2 13.9 13.3 16.0 14.0 15.6 14.8 16.3 15.7 12.8 SG3 13.2 13.5 14.5 13.6 13.0 11.6 13.5 11.9 13.5 SG4 26.3 26.6 25.0 18.9 23.3 22.0 20.3 22.5 20.9 2.2 Structure of the investment planned for the next year (t+1) (%) Period Replacement of worn-out plant Total Manufacturing 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn 27.4 26.2 26.7 27.9 27.1 27.6 30.1 30.2 30.1 SG2 33.4 28.8 28.3 28.3 29.1 29.1 30.3 30.6 36.7 SG3 26.7 30.0 26.1 28.0 26.0 29.0 32.3 26.7 28.1 Investment designed to streamline production Extension of production capacity SG4 25.5 23.4 26.3 26.9 25.8 26.3 28.0 30.2 29.2 (*) This question is asked only in the Autumn Investment Survey. Total Manufacturing 22.8 25.3 23.7 26.0 24.3 23.1 23.7 21.2 23.8 SG2 20.4 24.7 26.9 26.5 29.0 25.2 22.6 22.4 22.7 SG3 28.8 25.1 26.6 26.5 29.0 27.8 22.3 28.1 27.7 SG4 20.9 25.0 21.1 27.2 22.0 20.1 24.5 19.6 22.5 Total Manufacturing 29.0 26.9 28.3 28.6 28.1 28.0 27.3 27.3 26.5 SG2 32.1 31.0 26.6 29.6 25.3 30.3 30.1 29.4 26.3 SG3 25.9 27.6 31.1 32.6 30.7 29.2 30.1 30.0 28.6 SG4 28.1 25.3 28.3 26.9 28.3 28.2 26.9 26.3 26.3 Other investment objectives Total Manufacturing 20.8 21.6 21.3 17.5 20.5 21.3 18.9 21.3 19.6 SG2 14.1 15.5 18.2 15.6 16.6 15.4 17.0 17.6 14.3 SG3 18.6 17.3 16.2 12.9 14.3 14.0 15.3 15.2 15.6 SG4 25.5 26.3 24.3 19.0 23.9 25.4 20.6 23.9 22.0
4. Contents 3 . FACTORS INFLUENCING INVESTMENT (*) (**) 3.1 Factors influencing investment for this year (t) Demand Period Total Manufacturing 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn 33.0 45.0 52.0 50.0 57.5 51.9 39.0 48.7 49.1 SG2 30.9 41.1 46.6 48.9 51.3 47.3 38.9 42.0 46.4 Financial Resources SG3 42.3 48.5 49.3 49.0 53.3 49.5 37.0 47.4 44.2 SG4 34.5 43.1 54.9 51.6 61.1 54.9 40.7 52.4 50.8 Total Manufacturing 15.8 22.8 27.8 23.3 31.4 30.8 16.7 19.4 23.6 SG2 10.7 20.3 19.9 23.4 27.8 26.9 16.4 18.1 26.1 SG3 15.6 18.6 23.1 24.1 28.4 27.2 17.6 26.0 26.4 Expected Profits SG4 15.5 23.9 33.8 24.3 34.6 32.7 15.5 19.3 23.1 Total Manufacturing 34.7 39.7 43.7 41.0 48.4 45.1 32.0 35.7 38.9 SG2 23.0 31.4 34.6 36.3 45.0 37.7 30.8 34.0 36.7 SG3 37.3 31.9 41.6 37.1 42.2 41.8 33.0 40.7 44.0 Technical Factors SG4 40.2 47.8 49.3 44.5 52.8 48.0 33.6 36.5 40.6 Total Manufacturing 19.8 33.8 35.5 32.1 37.4 35.6 25.5 31.5 34.0 SG2 23.1 29.2 30.6 30.9 38.5 30.7 30.1 30.5 31.0 SG3 30.7 30.7 32.7 33.9 35.8 38.1 22.7 32.8 37.9 Other Factors SG4 14.2 37.4 37.7 32.7 39.0 36.1 25.6 33.4 34.5 Total Manufacturing 9.0 21.0 13.6 19.9 22.7 25.2 8.9 14.5 17.2 SG2 SG3 9.5 11.1 12.4 14.9 16.1 14.1 11.6 11.8 15.0 12.1 16.4 11.9 22.1 18.5 18.6 13.5 18.9 16.1 SG4 7.5 28.2 19.9 21.5 25.9 30.8 7.2 17.2 20.1 3.2 Factors influencing investment for the next year (t+1) Demand Period Total Manufacturing 2009-Autumn 2010-Autumn 2011-Autumn 2012-Autumn 2013-Autumn 2014-Autumn 2015-Autumn 2016-Autumn 2017-Autumn 41.2 48.4 52.1 49.3 57.8 54.7 44.2 47.0 51.1 SG2 36.6 43.8 47.2 48.3 51.2 52.8 43.0 44.0 48.0 Financial Resources SG3 48.3 49.1 51.5 48.1 52.8 51.9 44.5 48.1 49.8 SG4 42.9 47.7 53.7 50.4 61.8 58.7 45.3 48.5 52.3 Total Manufacturing 17.1 25.3 26.9 23.4 32.8 30.7 17.4 20.5 26.0 SG2 14.8 23.7 19.2 22.4 28.4 28.0 20.2 21.1 26.6 SG3 19.3 22.8 23.4 24.5 29.6 28.5 21.9 24.0 33.1 Expected Profits SG4 15.2 25.2 32.8 24.8 36.7 32.2 12.5 19.3 24.5 Total Manufacturing 37.9 41.8 43.4 41.2 50.4 45.7 37.0 36.8 42.3 SG2 29.5 34.2 35.1 36.1 45.3 43.5 34.2 35.7 39.6 SG3 41.7 35.8 42.8 37.6 42.4 41.8 38.0 39.6 45.4 Technical Factors SG4 40.6 48.8 48.2 44.4 55.2 48.2 38.6 37.2 44.1 Total Manufacturing 20.4 35.1 34.7 32.8 37.6 36.0 29.2 32.3 37.1 SG2 24.3 30.0 31.4 31.7 35.8 35.2 33.0 31.4 32.3 SG3 32.7 30.0 30.3 34.6 36.2 38.1 29.3 31.7 40.3 Other Factors SG4 14.5 38.4 37.4 32.5 40.1 36.5 28.5 33.4 39.0 Total Manufacturing 11.2 23.6 13.0 20.1 20.9 24.8 12.2 15.1 19.4 (*) This question is asked only in the Autumn Investment Survey. (**) The balance values computed by summing up the figures obtained by multiplying the weighted percentages of responses to the qualitative questions of the Investment Survey, by (+1) for “very stimulating”, by (+0.5) for “stimulating”, by (-0.5) for “limiting” and by (-1) for “very limiting”. SG2 12.1 12.3 13.2 14.5 15.1 13.6 13.3 12.5 16.5 SG3 13.6 18.1 12.3 21.6 19.0 17.8 17.0 18.3 21.3 SG4 9.5 30.8 17.7 21.9 23.4 30.7 10.4 16.3 21.5