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Turkey: Financial Services Statistics and Financial Services Confidence Index - August 2017

IM Research
By IM Research
6 years ago
Turkey: Financial Services Statistics and Financial Services Confidence Index - August 2017

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  1. FINANCIAL SERVICES STATISTICS AND FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX August 2017 Statistics Department Real Sector Data Division CONTENTS 1 MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY 2 FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX 3 FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3 .1 Business situation for the last three months 3.2 Demand for services (turnover) for the last three months 3.3 Demand for services (turnover) for the next three months 3.4 Employment for the last three months 3.5 Employment for the next three months 3.6 Operating income for the last three months (*) 3.7 Operating income for the next three months (*) 3.8 Operating expenses for the last three months (*) 3.9 Operating expenses for the next three months (*) 3.10 Profitability for the last three months (*) 3.11 Profitability for the next three months (*) 3.12 Capital expenditure for the last three months (*) 3.13 Capital expenditure for the next three months (*) 3.14 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.15 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.16 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.17 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.18 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the next three months (*) 3.19 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the next three months (*) (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). www.tcmb.gov.tr
  2. Statistics Department 1 . MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY PARTICIPANTS Contents RESPONSES 160 140 120 143 141 143 141 142 142 143 148 151 2016-11 2016-12 2017-01 2017-02 2017-03 2017-04 2017-05 2017-06 145 148 2017-08 140 2017-07 142 2016-10 60 2016-09 80 2016-08 100 40 20 0 RESPONSES BY SECTORS (AUGUST 2017) Banks Insurance Companies Brokerage Companies Factoring Companies Leasing Companies Financing Companies Total Participants Responses 49 22 23 36 13 7 150 48 21 23 36 13 7 148 Response Rate (%) 98.0 95.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.7 2
  3. Statistics Department 2 . FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX (FSCI) Contents January 2013 - August 2017 2017 May June July August Financial Services Confidence I ndex 170.0 187.3 140.7 177.3 167.4 161.9 158.4 157.8 166.5 165.1 165.8 178.0 178.4 177.4 166.4 171.6 Business Situation (Last 3 Months) 166.1 188.1 115.7 183.4 162.0 155.9 153.9 152.6 177.0 152.2 163.8 187.1 177.1 171.8 158.1 179.6 Demand For Services (Last 3 Months) 169.9 193.5 126.1 184.6 174.8 156.3 149.8 164.9 159.6 183.1 172.8 187.8 179.7 189.7 179.0 169.9 Demand For Services (Next 3 Months) 174.0 192.6 153.5 163.9 165.5 173.4 171.6 155.8 162.8 159.9 160.9 159.0 178.5 170.7 162.2 165.4 2017-08 2016 2017-04 Arithmetic Mean Maximum Minimum August September October November December January February March April Financial Services Confidence Index Index 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 100 3
  4. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.1 Business Situation for the Last Three Months 2016-08 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 84.6 14.2 1.2 83.4 2016-09 63.1 35.8 1.1 62.0 2016-10 61.6 32.7 5.7 55.9 2016-11 56.2 41.5 2.3 53.9 2016-12 56.6 39.4 4.0 52.6 60 2017-01 78.9 19.2 1.9 77.0 50 2017-02 57.0 38.2 4.8 52.2 40 2017-03 64.4 35.0 0.6 63.8 30 2017-04 87.5 12.1 0.4 87.1 20 2017-05 78.2 20.7 1.1 77.1 10 2017-06 72.7 26.4 0.9 71.8 0 2017-07 59.1 39.9 1.0 58.1 2017-08 80.3 19.0 0.7 79.6 Business Situation for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 2017-08 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 70 2013-01 Months Improved 3.2 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Last Three Months 22.4 1.4 74.8 13.3 15.2 56.3 59.4 31.0 9.6 49.8 2016-12 75.8 13.3 10.9 64.9 60 2017-01 70.4 18.8 10.8 59.6 50 2017-02 87.7 7.7 4.6 83.1 40 2017-03 74.7 23.4 1.9 72.8 30 2017-04 89.0 9.8 1.2 87.8 20 2017-05 81.5 16.7 1.8 79.7 10 2017-06 91.1 7.5 1.4 89.7 0 2017-07 80.8 17.4 1.8 79.0 2017-08 79.6 10.7 9.7 69.9 90 80 2016-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-08 2016-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-08 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2013-01 70 2014-10 2016-11 100 2014-07 71.5 Demand For Services for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 84.6 2014-04 76.2 2016-10 Balance 3.2 2014-01 2016-09 Decreased 2013-10 Remained Unchanged 9.0 2013-07 87.8 Months Increased 2013-04 2016-08 3.3 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Next Three Months 58.4 39.0 2.6 55.8 60 2017-01 66.6 29.6 3.8 62.8 50 2017-02 69.3 21.3 9.4 59.9 40 2017-03 61.6 37.7 0.7 60.9 30 2017-04 61.5 36.0 2.5 59.0 20 2017-05 79.7 19.1 1.2 78.5 10 2017-06 72.0 26.7 1.3 70.7 0 2017-07 71.9 18.4 9.7 62.2 2017-08 74.6 16.2 9.2 65.4 2016-07 70 2016-12 2016-04 71.6 2016-01 1.8 2015-10 24.8 2015-07 80 73.4 2015-04 90 73.4 2015-01 65.5 0.3 2014-10 10.3 26.0 2014-07 13.9 2014-04 100 2014-01 2016-11 Demand For Services for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 63.9 2013-10 73.7 Balance 10.5 2013-07 75.8 2016-10 Decrease 2013-04 2016-09 Increase 2013-01 2016-08 Remain Unchanged 74.4 15.1 Months 4
  5. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.4 Employment for the Last Three Months 2016-08 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 34.0 32.7 33.3 0.7 2016-09 33.2 33.8 33.0 0.2 80 2016-10 26.3 44.1 29.6 -3.3 70 2016-11 28.8 33.9 37.3 -8.5 60 2016-12 30.0 32.9 37.1 -7.1 50 2017-01 30.1 22.6 47.3 -17.2 2017-02 26.7 48.2 25.1 1.6 2017-03 22.5 48.3 29.2 -6.7 2017-04 20.6 57.5 21.9 -1.3 2017-05 24.5 67.1 8.4 16.1 2017-08 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 5.6 2015-07 24.2 2015-04 46.0 -20 2015-01 29.8 0 -10 2014-10 2017-08 10 2014-07 29.3 20 2014-04 38.4 6.3 30 2014-01 8.1 58.1 40 2013-10 45.4 35.6 90 2013-07 46.5 100 2013-04 2017-06 2017-07 Employment for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-01 Months Increased 3.5 Employment for the Next Three Months Employment for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 45.1 53.0 1.9 43.2 50 2017-02 46.8 51.0 2.2 44.6 40 2017-03 53.4 36.2 10.4 43.0 30 2017-04 39.4 49.3 11.3 28.1 20 2017-05 37.5 52.1 10.4 27.1 10 2017-06 37.8 50.6 11.6 26.2 2017-07 38.0 51.2 10.8 27.2 0 2017-08 40.1 48.5 11.4 28.7 2017-08 60 2017-01 2017-04 32.0 2017-01 2.1 2016-10 63.8 2016-07 34.1 2016-04 70 2016-12 2016-01 6.3 2015-10 21.5 2015-07 50.7 2015-04 27.8 2015-01 80 2016-11 2014-10 7.2 2014-07 2.8 24.5 2014-04 24.4 43.8 2014-01 48.4 2013-10 27.2 31.7 2013-07 90 2016-09 2016-10 2013-04 2016-08 Remain Decrease Balance Unchanged 30.9 46.9 22.2 8.7 Increase 2013-01 Months 5
  6. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.6 Operating Income for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-07 29.3 2017-04 12.4 2017-01 45.9 2016-10 41.7 2016-07 87.6 2017-07 2016-04 1.7 2016-01 10.0 9.0 2015-10 18.5 2013-01 71.5 89.3 2015-07 61.5 2017-01 2017-04 2015-04 16.9 2015-01 85.2 30.9 2014-10 2.8 21.3 2014-07 9.2 47.8 2014-04 88.0 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 2016-07 Operating Income for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 Remained Decreased Balance Unchange 2013-07 Increased 2013-04 Months 3.7 Operating Income for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 53.6 32.4 2016-07 2.4 10.3 2016-04 41.6 47.0 2016-01 56.0 42.7 2013-01 2017-04 2017-07 2015-10 48.1 53.6 2015-07 1.9 2.4 2015-04 48.1 41.6 2015-01 50.0 56.0 2014-10 2016-10 2017-01 Operating Income for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-07 44.3 Balance (%) 2014-04 9.5 Balance 2014-01 36.7 Decrease 2013-10 53.8 Remain Unchange 2013-07 2016-07 Increase 2013-04 Months 3.8 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 -3.6 40.8 2015-07 38.8 23.0 2015-04 26.0 13.2 2015-01 35.2 63.8 2013-01 2017-04 2017-07 2014-10 80.4 2014-07 14.6 1.6 2014-04 26.9 2014-01 31.6 16.4 2013-10 41.5 82.0 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-07 2016-10 2017-01 Balance (%) 2013-04 Remained Increased Unchange Decreased Balance d 2016-07 41.2 33.0 25.9 15.4 Months 3.9 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months (*) 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 53.7 38.7 2015-10 1.5 10.1 2015-07 43.3 41.1 2015-04 55.2 48.8 2013-01 2017-04 2017-07 2015-01 30.1 2014-10 65.0 10.7 2014-07 0.2 48.5 2014-04 34.6 40.8 2014-01 65.2 2017-01 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-10 2016-10 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 2016-07 Remain Unchange Decrease Balance d 61.5 27.4 11.1 50.4 Increase 2013-04 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 6
  7. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.10 Profitability for the Last Three Months (*) 7.4 2017-07 28.5 2017-04 35.6 2017-01 35.9 2016-10 92.3 2017-07 2016-07 0.7 2016-04 6.3 2016-01 93.0 2015-10 23.6 2017-04 2015-07 22.8 2015-04 30.8 2015-01 46.4 2014-10 23.1 2017-01 2014-07 85.3 28.8 2014-04 1.4 19.3 2014-01 11.9 51.9 2013-10 86.7 2016-10 Profitability for the Last Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Months Increased 3.11 Profitability for the Next Three Months (*) 2016-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 46.9 2016-10 1.9 2016-10 49.3 2016-07 48.8 2016-07 32.8 2017-07 2016-07 13.1 2016-04 41.0 2016-04 45.9 2016-04 71.7 2017-04 2016-01 0.9 2015-10 26.5 2015-07 72.6 2015-04 33.5 2017-01 2015-01 37.2 10.7 2014-10 9.5 45.1 2014-07 43.8 44.2 2014-04 46.7 2016-10 Profitability for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 2013-04 Months 3.12 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months (*) 51.0 12.0 25.0 2017-07 27.7 60.9 11.4 16.3 2016-01 37.0 2015-10 44.0 2017-04 2015-07 10.1 2015-04 35.8 2015-01 54.1 2014-10 32.5 2017-01 2014-07 52.5 10.1 2014-04 0.5 47.3 2014-01 46.5 42.6 2013-10 53.0 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-07 2016-07 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-04 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-01 Months Increased 3.13 Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months (*) 16.9 2017-04 41.6 57.0 1.4 40.2 2017-07 42.1 57.0 0.9 41.2 2016-01 12.7 2015-10 57.7 2015-07 29.6 2015-04 40.0 2017-01 2015-01 40.4 1.4 2014-10 1.6 57.2 2014-07 56.4 41.4 2014-04 42.0 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 2016-07 Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 7
  8. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.14 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months (*) 0.3 42.7 2017-07 56.7 2017-04 43.0 2017-01 47.7 2017-07 2016-10 0.4 2016-07 51.5 2016-04 48.1 2016-01 50.8 2017-04 2015-10 0.2 2015-07 48.8 2015-04 51.0 2015-01 35.1 2017-01 2014-10 48.3 1.9 2014-07 1.9 61.1 2014-04 47.9 37.0 2014-01 50.2 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-10 2016-07 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Improved 2013-01 Months 3.15 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 0.0 19.8 2017-07 80.2 2017-04 19.8 2017-01 8.8 2017-07 2016-10 0.3 2016-07 90.6 2016-04 9.1 2016-01 7.8 2017-04 2015-10 1.0 2015-07 90.2 2015-04 8.8 2015-01 5.8 2017-01 2014-10 7.0 3.1 2014-07 1.9 88.0 2014-04 89.2 8.9 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months 2014-01 8.9 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 2013-10 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 3.16 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 0.0 19.8 2017-07 80.2 2017-04 19.8 2017-01 9.0 2017-07 2016-10 0.3 2016-07 90.4 2016-04 9.3 2016-01 7.8 2017-04 2015-10 1.0 2015-07 90.2 2015-04 8.8 2015-01 6.0 2017-01 2014-10 6.9 2.9 2014-07 1.8 88.2 2014-04 89.5 8.9 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months 2014-01 8.7 2016-10 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-10 2016-07 Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Improved 2013-01 Months 8
  9. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.17 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months (*) 57.9 0.3 41.5 2017-07 41.8 2017-04 32.0 2017-07 2017-01 0.1 2016-10 67.8 2016-07 32.1 2016-04 40.1 2017-04 2016-01 1.1 2015-10 57.7 2015-07 41.2 2015-04 38.2 2017-01 2015-01 43.3 0.0 2014-10 0.0 61.8 2014-07 56.7 38.2 2014-04 43.3 2016-10 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months 2014-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-04 Improve 2013-01 Months 3.18 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 89.7 0.0 10.3 2017-07 10.3 2017-04 8.9 2017-07 2017-01 0.2 2016-10 90.7 2016-07 9.1 2016-04 8.0 2017-04 2016-01 1.1 2015-10 89.8 2015-07 9.1 2015-04 9.5 2017-01 2015-01 20.4 0.0 2014-10 0.0 90.5 2014-07 79.6 9.5 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months 2014-04 20.4 2016-10 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-07 Improve 2013-04 Months 3.19 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 89.9 0.0 10.1 2017-07 10.1 2017-04 8.9 2017-07 2017-01 0.2 2016-10 90.7 2016-07 9.1 2016-04 9.8 2017-04 2016-01 1.1 2015-10 88.0 2015-07 10.9 2015-04 9.4 2017-01 2015-01 20.3 0.0 2014-10 0.0 90.6 2014-07 79.7 9.4 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months 2014-04 20.3 2016-10 2013-01 2016-07 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Deteriorate Unchange 2013-07 Improve 2013-04 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 9