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Turkey: Financial Services Confidence Index

IM Research
By IM Research
7 years ago
Turkey: Financial Services Confidence Index

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  1. Statistics Department CONTENTS PAGE NUMBER Monthly Responses 2 Financial Services Confidence Index 3 QUESTIONS Business situation for the last three months 4 Demand for services (turnover) for the last three months 4 Demand for services (turnover) for the next three months 4 Employment for the last three months 5 Employment for the next three months 5 Operating income for the last three months (*) 6 Operating income for the next three months (*) 6 Operating expenses for the last three months (*) 6 Operating expenses for the next three months (*) 6 Profitability for the last three months (*) 7 Profitability for the next three months (*) 7 Capital expenditure for the last three months (*) 7 Capital expenditure for the next three months (*) 7 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 9 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the next three months (*) 9 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the next three months (*) 9 (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October).
  2. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY RESPONSES PARTICIPANTS RESPONSES 150 120 140 142 2016-05 2016-06 2016-07 2016-08 140 143 141 143 141 2017-01 139 2016-12 140 2016-10 138 2016-09 136 2016-04 138 2016-03 134 2016-02 60 2016-01 90 30 2016-11 0 SECTORAL BREAKDOWN OF RESPONSES JANUARY 2017 Participants Responses Response Rate (%) Banks 50 50 100.0 Insurance Companies 21 20 95.2 Brokerage Companies 23 23 100.0 Factoring Companies 32 32 100.0 Leasing Companies 11 10 90.9 Financing Companies 6 6 100.0 143 141 98.6 SECTORS Total 2
  3. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX (FSCI) January 2013 - January 2017 2016 2017 Arithmetic Mean Maximum Minimum January February March April May June July August September October November December January Financial Services Confidence Index 169.7 187.3 140.7 166.2 168.3 165.9 168.6 158.6 176.8 172.6 177.3 167.4 161.9 158.4 157.8 166.5 Business Situation (Last 3 Months) 165.6 188.1 115.7 137.2 146.4 157.9 161.5 150.8 162.4 173.3 183.4 162.0 155.9 153.9 152.6 177.0 Demand For Services (Last 3 Months) 168.4 193.5 126.1 179.5 175.5 157.1 165.8 142.2 187.0 183.7 184.6 174.8 156.3 149.8 164.9 159.6 Demand For Services (Next 3 Months) 175.2 192.6 153.5 181.8 182.9 182.8 178.6 182.9 181.0 160.8 163.9 165.5 173.4 171.6 155.8 162.8 Index FSCI 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 2013-01 2013-02 2013-03 2013-04 2013-05 2013-06 2013-07 2013-08 2013-09 2013-10 2013-11 2013-12 2014-01 2014-02 2014-03 2014-04 2014-05 2014-06 2014-07 2014-08 2014-09 2014-10 2014-11 2014-12 2015-01 2015-02 2015-03 2015-04 2015-05 2015-06 2015-07 2015-08 2015-09 2015-10 2015-11 2015-12 2016-01 2016-02 2016-03 2016-04 2016-05 2016-06 2016-07 2016-08 2016-09 2016-10 2016-11 2016-12 2017-01 100 3
  4. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 1-Business Situation for the Last Three Months Months Improved Remained Unchanged Deteriorated 2016-01 46 .8 43.6 9.6 37.2 2016-02 50.1 46.2 3.7 46.4 2016-03 62.3 33.3 4.4 57.9 2016-04 64.2 33.1 2.7 61.5 70 2016-05 53.8 43.2 3.0 50.8 60 2016-06 65.5 31.4 3.1 62.4 50 2016-07 74.1 25.1 0.8 73.3 40 2016-08 84.6 14.2 1.2 83.4 30 2016-09 63.1 35.8 1.1 62.0 20 2016-10 61.6 32.7 5.7 55.9 10 2016-11 56.2 41.5 2.3 53.9 0 2016-12 56.6 39.4 4.0 52.6 2017-01 78.9 19.2 1.9 77.0 Business Situation for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 80 2013-01 Balance 2-Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Last Three Months Months Increased Remained Unchanged 2016-01 80.2 19.1 0.7 79.5 2016-02 76.8 21.9 1.3 75.5 2016-03 67.6 21.9 10.5 57.1 2016-04 68.5 28.8 2.7 65.8 70 2016-05 57.6 27.0 15.4 42.2 60 2016-06 88.3 10.4 1.3 87.0 50 2016-07 86.2 11.3 2.5 83.7 40 2016-08 87.8 9.0 3.2 84.6 30 2016-09 76.2 22.4 1.4 74.8 20 2016-10 71.5 13.3 15.2 56.3 10 2016-11 59.4 31.0 9.6 49.8 0 2016-12 75.8 13.3 10.9 64.9 2017-01 70.4 18.8 10.8 59.6 Demand For Services for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 2016-07 2016-10 2016-07 2016-10 2017-01 2016-04 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 80 2013-04 Balance 2013-01 Decreased 3-Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Next Three Months 80 2016-04 80.6 17.4 2.0 78.6 70 2016-05 84.6 13.7 1.7 82.9 60 2016-06 83.2 14.6 2.2 81.0 50 2016-07 70.7 19.4 9.9 60.8 40 2016-08 74.4 15.1 10.5 63.9 30 2016-09 75.8 13.9 10.3 65.5 20 2016-10 73.7 26.0 0.3 73.4 10 2016-11 73.4 24.8 1.8 71.6 0 2016-12 58.4 39.0 2.6 55.8 2017-01 66.6 29.6 3.8 62.8 2017-01 90 82.8 2016-01 82.9 0.7 2015-10 0.4 15.8 2015-07 16.3 83.5 2015-04 83.3 2016-03 2015-01 2016-02 2014-10 81.8 2014-07 0.7 2014-04 Demand For Services for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 16.8 2014-01 Balance 82.5 2013-10 Decrease 2016-01 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 4
  5. Statistics Department 4-Employment for the Last Three Months Increased Remained Unchanged Decreased Balance 2016-01 49 .3 20.5 30.2 19.1 2016-02 49.2 22.6 28.2 21.0 2016-03 45.3 32.6 22.1 23.2 70 2016-04 39.9 31.6 28.5 11.4 60 2016-05 32.6 32.9 34.5 -1.9 50 2016-06 43.0 24.6 32.4 10.6 40 2016-07 32.5 31.9 35.6 -3.1 2016-08 34.0 32.7 33.3 0.7 2016-09 33.2 33.8 33.0 0.2 2016-10 26.3 44.1 29.6 -3.3 -10 2016-11 28.8 33.9 37.3 -8.5 -20 2016-12 30.0 32.9 37.1 -7.1 2017-01 30.1 22.6 47.3 -17.2 Employment for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 30 20 10 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 0 2013-01 Months 5-Employment for the Next Three Months Employment for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 2016-01 58.7 39.7 1.6 57.1 2016-02 62.2 36.0 1.8 60.4 2016-03 59.9 39.1 1.0 58.9 2016-04 63.4 33.2 3.4 60.0 2016-05 57.9 37.4 4.7 53.2 2016-06 37.7 46.8 15.5 22.2 2016-07 26.8 58.3 14.9 11.9 40 2016-08 30.9 46.9 22.2 8.7 30 2016-09 27.2 48.4 24.4 2.8 20 2016-10 31.7 43.8 24.5 7.2 10 2016-11 27.8 50.7 21.5 6.3 0 2016-12 34.1 63.8 2.1 32.0 2017-01 45.1 53.0 1.9 43.2 90 80 70 60 5 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 50 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months
  6. Statistics Department 33 .2 0.9 65.0 74.8 22.8 2.4 72.4 2016-07 53.8 36.7 9.5 44.3 2016-10 50.0 48.1 1.9 48.1 2017-01 56.0 41.6 2.4 53.6 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2017-01 2017-01 65.9 2016-04 2016-10 2016-01 2016-07 Balance 2016-04 Decrease 2013-10 Remain Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Months Operating Income for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 7-Operating Income for the Next Three Months (*) 2016-01 61.5 2015-10 10.0 2015-10 18.5 2015-07 71.5 2015-07 16.9 2017-01 2015-04 30.9 2015-04 21.3 2015-01 47.8 2015-01 85.2 2016-10 2014-10 2.8 2014-10 9.2 2014-07 88.0 2014-07 78.6 2016-07 2014-04 91.1 8.6 2014-04 2.2 4.2 2014-01 4.5 87.2 2014-01 93.3 2016-04 2013-07 2016-01 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Balance Increased 2013-01 Decreased Months 2013-01 Remained Unchanged Operating Income for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 6-Operating Income for the Last Three Months (*) 8-Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months (*) 27.4 11.1 50.4 2016-10 65.2 34.6 0.2 65.0 2017-01 40.8 48.5 10.7 30.1 2015-10 2017-01 61.5 2016-10 70.1 2016-07 2017-01 42.2 0.3 2016-10 11.6 29.3 2016-07 34.6 70.4 2016-07 53.8 2016-04 2016-04 2016-01 2016-04 Balance 2016-01 Decrease 2013-07 Increase Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Months Remain Unchanged Balance (%) 2016-01 9-Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months (*) 2015-10 80.4 2015-07 14.6 1.6 2015-07 26.9 16.4 2015-04 31.6 82.0 2015-04 41.5 2017-01 2015-01 2016-10 2015-01 15.4 2014-10 25.8 2014-10 33.0 2014-07 41.2 2014-07 -5.8 2016-07 48.5 2014-04 44.9 2014-04 11.5 16.0 2014-01 28.5 39.1 2014-01 60.0 2016-04 2013-10 2016-01 2013-10 Increased Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months 2013-07 Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 2013-04 Balance 2013-01 Decreased 2013-01 Remained Unchanged (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 6
  7. Statistics Department 10-Profitability for the Last Three Months (*) 11-Profitability for the Next Three Months (*) 33.5 2017-01 72.6 26.5 0.9 71.7 2017-01 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2016-10 2017-01 10.7 2017-01 45.1 2017-01 44.2 2016-10 37.2 2016-10 2016-10 9.5 2016-10 43.8 2016-07 46.7 2016-07 59.7 2016-07 2016-07 79.0 3.8 2016-04 0.4 32.7 2016-04 20.2 63.5 2016-04 79.4 2016-04 2016-01 2016-01 2016-01 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months Profitability for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2016-01 23.6 2015-10 22.8 2015-10 30.8 2015-07 46.4 2015-07 23.1 2017-01 2015-04 28.8 2015-04 19.3 2015-01 51.9 2015-01 85.3 2016-10 2014-10 1.4 2014-10 11.9 2014-07 68.3 86.7 2014-07 79.8 10.0 2014-04 4.5 11.7 2014-04 2016-07 11.2 2014-01 78.3 Profitability for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2014-01 84.3 2016-04 Balance 2013-10 2016-01 Decreased 2013-07 Remained Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months 12-Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months (*) 13-Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months (*) Decrease Balance 2016-01 51.3 38.5 10.2 41.1 2016-04 44.4 45.4 10.2 34.2 2016-07 42.0 56.4 1.6 40.4 2016-10 41.4 57.2 1.4 40.0 2017-01 29.6 57.7 12.7 16.9 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Months 2015-10 44.0 2015-10 10.1 2015-07 35.8 2015-07 54.1 2015-04 32.5 2017-01 2015-04 10.1 2015-01 47.3 2015-01 42.6 2014-10 52.5 2016-10 2014-10 0.5 2014-07 46.5 2014-07 30.4 53.0 2014-04 62.9 11.2 2014-04 6.4 47.2 2014-01 2016-07 24.3 2014-01 41.6 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-10 69.3 2016-04 Balance 2013-07 2016-01 Decreased 2013-10 Remained Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 7
  8. Statistics Department 5 .8 2017-01 8.8 90.2 1.0 7.8 16-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) Months Improved Remained Unchanged 2016-01 11.7 87.6 0.7 11.0 2016-04 8.9 89.2 1.9 7.0 2016-07 8.7 89.5 1.8 6.9 2016-10 8.9 88.2 2.9 6.0 2017-01 8.8 90.2 1.0 7.8 Balance 2013-01 Deteriorated Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2017-01 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2016-10 2017-01 3.1 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months 2017-01 88.0 2016-10 8.9 2016-07 7.0 2016-10 2016-10 1.9 2016-07 89.2 2016-04 8.9 2016-04 6.8 2016-07 2016-01 2.1 2016-01 89.0 2015-10 8.9 2015-10 10.9 2016-04 Balance 2015-07 1.0 Deteriorated 2015-07 87.1 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months 2015-04 11.9 2013-01 Improved 2013-04 Months 2016-01 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015-04 Balance (%) Remained Unchanged 2015-01 15-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 2015-01 50.8 2014-07 0.2 2014-10 48.8 2014-10 51.0 2014-04 35.1 2017-01 2014-07 1.9 2014-04 61.1 2014-07 37.0 2014-01 48.3 2016-10 2014-04 1.9 2013-10 47.9 2014-01 50.2 2014-01 39.1 2016-07 2013-07 46.8 0.4 2013-10 0.3 60.1 2013-10 52.6 39.5 2013-04 47.1 2016-04 Balance Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months 2013-07 2016-01 Deteriorated 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Improved Balance (%) 2013-01 Months Remained Unchanged 2013-07 14-Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months (*) (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 8
  9. Statistics Department 0 .0 9.5 2017-01 9.1 89.8 1.1 8.0 19-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) Improve Deteriorate Balance 2016-01 31.2 68.0 0.8 30.4 2016-04 30.6 68.7 0.7 29.9 2016-07 20.3 79.7 0.0 20.3 2016-10 9.4 90.6 0.0 9.4 2017-01 10.9 88.0 1.1 9.8 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Months Remain Unchanged 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2017-01 2017-01 90.5 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months 2017-01 9.5 2016-10 20.4 2016-10 2016-07 0.0 2016-10 79.6 2016-07 20.4 2016-04 29.7 2016-07 2016-01 30.2 0.7 2016-04 1.1 68.9 2015-10 67.6 30.4 2016-01 31.3 2016-04 2015-10 2016-01 2015-07 Balance 2015-04 Deteriorate 2015-07 Remain Unchanged Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months 2015-04 Improve 2013-01 Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015-01 18-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 2014-10 40.1 2014-10 1.1 2015-01 57.7 2014-10 41.2 2014-07 38.2 2017-01 2014-07 0.0 2014-04 61.8 2014-04 38.2 2014-07 43.3 2016-10 2014-04 0.0 2014-01 56.7 2014-01 43.3 2013-10 42.5 2016-07 2013-10 51.0 0.7 2014-01 0.1 56.1 2013-10 48.8 43.2 2013-07 51.1 2016-04 2013-04 2016-01 2013-07 Balance 2013-04 Deteriorate Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months 2013-07 Improve Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Months Remain Unchanged 2013-04 17-Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months (*) (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 9