Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 6 April

Transcription

1. 6 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,206.4 4,590.6 -430.2 -121.2 6,893.6 H-1 7,273.1 5,330.5 -83.7 142.3 6,864.5 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,700 747 2,595 1,114 1,077 1,284 1,845 510 916 1 year return -9.2% 21.5% 5.3% 24.0% -2.8% -13.1% 19.2% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 1.5% 0.5% -0.4% 1.6% 0.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 5.2% 8.4% -9.3% -2.4% -9.0% -7.1% 15.7% 2.9% -0.6% Di perdagangan akhir pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak bervariasi. Menguatnya harga komoditas minyak mentah, CPO, batubara, nikel dan timah memberikan sentimen positif di awal perdagangan. di sisi lain adanya kabar bahwa Donald Trump berencana untuk menambah tarif barang impor dari China sebesar $100 miliar menjadi katalis negatif untuk indeks. IHSG ditutup melemah -8 poin (-0,13%) di level 6.175. Sektor aneka industri dan keuangan yang masing-masing terkoreksi -11 poin (-0,91%) dan -5 poin (-0,45%) menjadi penekan utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -11 poin (-0,08%) di level 13.778. sedangkan investor asing masih mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 236,3B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 6,183 3,406 1,836 1,740 2,438 33,597 29,519 21,645 5,888 85,210 24,505 3,026 7,200 1 year return 8.9% 7.2% 5.6% 10.0% 13.2% 12.3% 21.0% 16.4% -0.2% 32.7% 18.6% -4.2% -1.4% 1 day return YT D return 0.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% -2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.6% 2.4% -2.7% 0.1% 2.2% -0.8% -1.5% -1.4% -1.3% -4.8% -4.8% 11.5% -0.9% -4.8% -6.4% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) UNVR 50.775 750 SMGR 10.550 450 GGRM 73.900 750 MAPI 7.450 450 INTP 17.500 350 BBC A 22.725 325 BUKK SILO 1.900 8.175 215 175 AALI INKP 13.425 10.850 275 225 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.77 0.060 0.033 13,766 IDR 1,842.6 826.5 455.4 +/- Daily % chg -0.19% 2.08% 3.85% -0.05 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.66 13.45 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.20% 1.40% (0.06) 1.50% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) Top Foreign Buy NBVal (B) GGRM 22,8 3.082 BMRI 113,7 KLBF 18,1 117.458 BBC A 63,5 27.915 BBNI 16,3 19.581 BBRI 50,0 143.889 INTP 15,1 8.564 UNTR 43,0 13.357 WSKT 12,4 47.023 INKP 24,4 22.583 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 63.5 639.0 1.73 13,273 21,083 1,326.5 94.2 146.5 3.6 10.0 6,780.8 24.2% -8.9% -43.7% 29.7% 4.7% 6.0% 5.3% -7.0% 5.5% 8.5% 15.6% +/0.2 4.7 0.0 173.0 135.0 -6.8 0.6 8.1 0.1 0.1 90.0 Top Foreign Sell Ticker Ret 1 day (%) 0.27% 0.73% 0.00% 1.32% 0.64% -0.51% 0.64% 5.84% 2.54% 1.40% 1.35% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 150.147
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,525 1,575 840 1,330 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 30.23% 58.73% 54.76% 12.78% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,500 3,500 10,550 15,000 375 11,500 -14.29% -89.29% 9.00% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,130 2,770 2,550 1,755 510 440 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 26.76% 69.68% 29.41% 65.24% 47.06% 40.91% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,175 7,100 50,775 4,060 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 13.76% 36.62% 14.82% 0.99% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,545 8,175 2,060 3,550 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 19.74% 32.11% 16.50% 111.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,570 2,360 1,100 6,150 2,100 1,580 34.57% -11.02% 43.64% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,425 1,320 1,960 18,500 1,900 2,100 37.80% 43.94% 7.14% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 222 380 1,760 1,180 484 900 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 89.19% 10.53% 36.36% 14.83% 193.39% 48.89% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,800 3,650 2,560 7,200 5,120 4,670 50.00% 40.27% 82.42% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,400 5,600 4,550 6,400 33.82% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,030 32,200 2,950 2,900 40,000 4,500 42.86% 24.22% 52.54% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 11,100 9,900 -10.81% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 555 169 286 585 835 750 270 380 655 1,350 35.14% 59.76% 32.87% 11.97% 61.68% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.