Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 26 July

Transcription

1. 26 July 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 8,433.4 5,280.8 96.0 -184.3 6,615.6 H-1 5,955.5 5,087.9 288.3 25.2 6,613.3 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,446 788 2,424 1,041 1,084 1,199 2,055 457 865 -18.4% 28.7% -2.4% 8.0% -9.3% -13.5% 40.3% -5.1% -6.3% Penutupan 1 year return 5,934 3,327 1,764 1,690 2,273 36,858 28,921 22,614 6,342 80,218 25,414 3,116 7,658 2.3% -0.3% -0.1% 6.8% -6.6% 13.8% 7.3% 12.8% 8.9% 23.4% 17.1% -0.5% 2.8% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.7% 1.0% -1.0% -0.2% -1.9% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% -10.5% 14.3% -15.3% -8.8% -8.4% -13.2% 28.9% -7.8% -6.2% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return Indeks harga saham gabungan pada perdagangan hari ini hampir bergerak menguat di sepanjang perdagangan. Tercapainya kesepakatan dagang antara Uni Eropa dan Amerika berhasil menjadi katalis positif di pasar. Selain itu naiknya harga komoditas minyak mentah, CPO, nikel, timah dan batubara didukung dengan berlanjutnya rilis kinerja laporan keuangan emiten yang cukup baik turut menambah sentimen positif di pasar. IHSG ditutup menguat tipis +12 poin (+0,21%) di level 5.946. Sektor tambang dan perkebunan yang masing-masing bertambah +20 poin (+1,00%) dan +14 poin (+0,97%) menjadi penopang kenaikan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +12 poin (+0,08%) di level 14.463. Investor asing masih mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 479,8B di pasar reguler. YT D return 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.9% -0.3% 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% -0.2% 1.3% 0.7% -0.2% -0.7% -6.6% -2.2% -1.8% -3.6% -7.7% 8.2% -3.3% -0.7% 2.4% 5.0% 2.8% -1.9% -0.4% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) ITMG 28.125 1.775 DUTI 3.500 600 INDR 6.650 775 SRTG 3.920 580 INKP 19.400 750 DSSA 21.000 500 UNTR BBNI 34.925 7.575 375 275 BBC A ASII 23.325 6.675 250 200 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.28 0.047 0.050 14,545 IDR 1,983.9 682.6 733.8 +/- Daily % chg -2.19% 2.56% 34.38% -0.61 0.00 0.01 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.87 13.64 5.25% 3.12% 2.00 2.90% 2.00% (0.07) 0.70% Real interest rate 0.02 1.97 (0.02) (0.08) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 69.3 533.8 1.56 13,577 19,845 1,231.6 119.9 146.5 3.3 8.4 6,262.0 42.2% -17.6% -14.5% 36.4% -3.2% -2.3% 38.1% -7.0% -4.7% -12.6% 1.0% +/0.8 2.7 0.0 78.0 85.0 7.1 0.6 8.1 0.1 0.0 -2.8 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBRI 108,7 356.330 BMRI 22,2 34.093 PTBA 88,2 201.029 SMGR 20,4 26.574 BBNI 64,7 85.579 TKIM 19,9 15.903 BBC A 63,3 26.886 TLKM 18,5 47.315 UNTR 56,6 16.266 PGAS 15,8 93.569 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 1.14% 0.51% 0.00% 0.58% 0.43% 0.58% 0.50% 5.84% 2.19% 0.33% -0.04% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 6,675 1,460 950 1,265 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 46.82% 71.23% 36.84% 18.58% BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,550 3,040 23,325 7,575 2,350 8,300 3,800 22,000 8,900 3,070 26.72% 25.00% -5.68% 17.49% 30.64% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 14,900 3,300 7,625 15,000 375 8,830 0.67% -88.64% 15.80% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,575 2,150 2,000 1,475 384 386 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 71.43% 118.60% 65.00% 96.61% 95.31% 60.62% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur H.M. Sampoerna Mayora Indah ICBP INDF HMSP MYOR BUY BUY HOLD HOLD 8,650 6,375 3,870 3,020 9,550 8,200 4,100 3,200 10.40% 28.63% 5.94% 5.96% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada Industri Jamu Farmasi Sido Muncul KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA SIDO SELL HOLD HOLD BUY BUY 1,310 3,340 1,970 2,740 845 1,241 10,800 2,400 7,500 970 -5.27% 223.35% 21.83% 173.72% 14.79% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR BUY HOLD BUY 5,150 1,680 1,035 6,150 2,270 1,580 19.42% 35.12% 52.66% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 10,925 1,005 1,755 16,000 1,900 2,100 46.45% 89.05% 19.66% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 163 334 1,480 1,070 392 800 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 157.67% 25.75% 62.16% 26.64% 262.24% 67.50% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY HOLD BUY 3,990 3,930 2,830 7,200 4,300 4,670 80.45% 9.41% 65.02% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 560 5,000 4,550 6,400 712.50% 28.00% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Indo Tambangraya Megah United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA ITMG UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY 1,850 4,430 28,125 34,925 4,350 1,020 2,600 5,100 29,000 42,000 4,500 1,370 40.54% 15.12% 3.11% 20.26% 3.45% 34.31% Retail : Ace Hardware Indonesia Ramayana Lestari Sentosa ACES RALS BUY HOLD 1,330 1,405 1,540 1,400 15.79% -0.36% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 570 124 244 510 625 700 270 380 655 1,350 22.81% 117.74% 55.74% 28.43% 116.00% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.