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Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index April 2017

IM Research
By IM Research
7 years ago
Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index April 2017

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  1. Statistics Department CONTENTS PAGE NUMBER Monthly Responses 2 Financial Services Confidence Index 3 QUESTIONS Business situation for the last three months 4 Demand for services (turnover) for the last three months 4 Demand for services (turnover) for the next three months 4 Employment for the last three months 5 Employment for the next three months 5 Operating income for the last three months (*) 6 Operating income for the next three months (*) 6 Operating expenses for the last three months (*) 6 Operating expenses for the next three months (*) 6 Profitability for the last three months (*) 7 Profitability for the next three months (*) 7 Capital expenditure for the last three months (*) 7 Capital expenditure for the next three months (*) 7 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the last three months (*) 8 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 9 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the next three months (*) 9 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the next three months (*) 9 (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October).
  2. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY RESPONSES PARTICIPANTS RESPONSES 150 120 141 2016-09 2016-10 2016-11 143 141 142 142 143 2017-04 143 2017-03 140 2017-01 142 2016-12 140 2016-08 2016-05 139 2016-07 140 2016-06 138 2016-04 90 60 30 2017-02 0 SECTORAL BREAKDOWN OF RESPONSES APRIL 2017 Participants Responses Response Rate (%) Banks 50 50 100.0 Insurance Companies 21 21 100.0 Brokerage Companies 23 23 100.0 Factoring Companies 32 32 100.0 Leasing Companies 11 11 100.0 Financing Companies 6 6 100.0 143 143 100.0 SECTORS Total 2
  3. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX (FSCI) January 2013 - April 2017 2016 2017 Arithmetic Mean Maximum Minimum April May June July August September October November December January February March April Financial Services Confidence Index 169.7 187.3 140.7 168.6 158.6 176.8 172.6 177.3 167.4 161.9 158.4 157.8 166.5 165.1 165.8 178.0 Business Situation (Last 3 Months) 165.7 188.1 115.7 161.5 150.8 162.4 173.3 183.4 162.0 155.9 153.9 152.6 177.0 152.2 163.8 187.1 Demand For Services (Last 3 Months) 169.1 193.5 126.1 165.8 142.2 187.0 183.7 184.6 174.8 156.3 149.8 164.9 159.6 183.1 172.8 187.8 Demand For Services (Next 3 Months) 174.3 192.6 153.5 178.6 182.9 181.0 160.8 163.9 165.5 173.4 171.6 155.8 162.8 159.9 160.9 159.0 FSCI Index 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 100 3
  4. Statistics Department FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 1-Business Situation for the Last Three Months 90 1 .2 83.4 60 2016-09 63.1 35.8 1.1 62.0 50 2016-10 61.6 32.7 5.7 55.9 40 2016-11 56.2 41.5 2.3 53.9 30 2016-12 56.6 39.4 4.0 52.6 20 2017-01 78.9 19.2 1.9 77.0 10 2017-02 57.0 38.2 4.8 52.2 0 2017-03 64.4 35.0 0.6 63.8 2017-04 87.5 12.1 0.4 87.1 2017-04 14.2 2017-01 84.6 2016-10 70 2016-08 2016-07 62.4 73.3 2016-04 3.1 0.8 2016-01 31.4 25.1 2013-01 65.5 74.1 2015-10 80 2016-06 2016-07 2015-07 61.5 50.8 2015-04 2.7 3.0 2015-01 33.1 43.2 2014-10 64.2 53.8 2014-07 2016-04 2016-05 Business Situation for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 2014-04 Balance 2014-01 Deteriorated 2013-10 Remained Unchanged 2013-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 2-Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Last Three Months Demand For Services for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 2016-04 68.5 28.8 2.7 65.8 2016-05 57.6 27.0 15.4 42.2 2016-06 88.3 10.4 1.3 87.0 2016-07 86.2 11.3 2.5 83.7 70 2016-08 87.8 9.0 3.2 84.6 60 90 20 2017-01 70.4 18.8 10.8 59.6 10 2017-02 87.7 7.7 4.6 83.1 0 2017-03 74.7 23.4 1.9 72.8 2017-04 89.0 9.8 1.2 87.8 2017-04 64.9 2017-04 10.9 2017-01 13.3 2017-01 75.8 2016-10 30 2016-12 2016-10 49.8 2016-07 9.6 2016-07 31.0 2016-04 59.4 2016-01 40 2016-11 2015-10 50 2015-07 74.8 56.3 2015-04 1.4 15.2 2015-01 22.4 13.3 2014-10 76.2 71.5 2013-01 2016-09 2016-10 2014-07 80 2014-04 Balance 2014-01 Decreased 2013-10 Remained Unchanged 2013-07 Increased 2013-04 Months 3-Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Next Three Months 2.2 81.0 80 2016-07 70.7 19.4 9.9 60.8 70 2016-08 74.4 15.1 10.5 63.9 60 2016-09 75.8 13.9 10.3 65.5 50 2016-10 73.7 26.0 0.3 73.4 40 2016-11 73.4 24.8 1.8 71.6 30 2016-12 58.4 39.0 2.6 55.8 20 2017-01 66.6 29.6 3.8 62.8 10 2017-02 69.3 21.3 9.4 59.9 0 2017-03 61.6 37.7 0.7 60.9 2017-04 61.5 36.0 2.5 59.0 2016-04 14.6 2016-01 83.2 2015-10 90 2016-06 2015-07 78.6 82.9 2015-04 2.0 1.7 2015-01 17.4 13.7 2014-10 80.6 84.6 2014-07 2016-04 2016-05 2014-04 Demand For Services for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 4
  5. Statistics Department 4-Employment for the Last Three Months Increased Remained Unchanged Decreased Balance 2016-04 39 .9 31.6 28.5 11.4 2016-05 32.6 32.9 34.5 -1.9 80 2016-06 43.0 24.6 32.4 10.6 70 2016-07 32.5 31.9 35.6 -3.1 60 2016-08 34.0 32.7 33.3 0.7 50 2016-09 33.2 33.8 33.0 0.2 40 30 26.7 48.2 25.1 1.6 22.5 48.3 29.2 -6.7 2017-04 20.6 57.5 21.9 -1.3 -20 2017-04 2017-02 2017-03 0 -10 2017-01 -17.2 2016-10 47.3 2016-07 22.6 2016-04 30.1 2016-01 2017-01 10 2015-10 -7.1 2015-07 37.1 2015-04 32.9 2015-01 30.0 2014-10 2016-12 20 2014-07 -8.5 2014-04 -3.3 37.3 2014-01 29.6 33.9 2013-10 44.1 2013-07 26.3 28.8 90 2013-04 2016-10 2016-11 Employment for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 2013-01 Months 5-Employment for the Next Three Months 58.3 14.9 11.9 2016-08 30.9 46.9 22.2 8.7 70 60 2016-09 27.2 48.4 24.4 2.8 50 2016-10 31.7 43.8 24.5 7.2 40 2016-11 27.8 50.7 21.5 6.3 30 2016-12 34.1 63.8 2.1 32.0 20 2017-01 45.1 53.0 1.9 43.2 10 2017-02 46.8 51.0 2.2 44.6 0 2017-03 53.4 36.2 10.4 43.0 2017-04 39.4 49.3 11.3 28.1 2017-04 26.8 2017-01 2016-07 80 2016-10 22.2 2016-07 15.5 2016-04 46.8 2016-01 37.7 2015-10 2016-06 90 2015-07 53.2 2015-04 60.0 4.7 2015-01 3.4 37.4 2014-10 33.2 57.9 2014-07 63.4 2016-05 2014-04 2016-04 Employment for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 5
  6. Statistics Department 44 .3 2016-10 50.0 48.1 1.9 48.1 2017-01 56.0 41.6 2.4 53.6 2017-04 56.0 41.6 2.4 53.6 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2017-04 2017-04 72.4 9.5 2017-01 2.4 36.7 2016-10 22.8 53.8 2016-07 74.8 2016-07 2016-04 2016-04 2016-01 Balance 2015-10 Decrease 2013-10 Remain Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Months Operating Income for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 7-Operating Income for the Next Three Months (*) 2015-07 87.6 2015-04 1.7 2015-04 9.0 2015-01 89.3 2015-01 61.5 2017-04 2014-10 10.0 2014-10 18.5 2014-07 71.5 2014-07 16.9 2017-01 2014-04 30.9 2014-04 21.3 2014-01 85.2 47.8 2016-10 2013-10 78.6 2.8 88.0 2013-07 8.6 9.2 87.2 2016-07 2013-04 4.2 2016-04 2013-01 Balance Increased 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Remained Unchanged Decreased Months Operating Income for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2014-01 6-Operating Income for the Last Three Months (*) 8-Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months (*) 40.8 48.5 10.7 30.1 2017-04 55.2 43.3 1.5 53.7 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2017-04 65.0 2017-01 2017-01 0.2 2017-04 34.6 2017-01 65.2 2016-10 50.4 2016-10 2016-10 70.1 11.1 2016-07 0.3 27.4 2016-04 29.3 61.5 2016-07 70.4 2016-07 2016-04 2016-04 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2016-01 Balance 2013-07 Increase Decrease 2013-04 Months Remain Unchanged Balance (%) 2015-10 9-Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months (*) 2015-07 -3.6 2015-04 38.8 2015-04 26.0 2015-01 35.2 2015-01 80.4 2017-04 2014-10 14.6 1.6 2014-10 26.9 16.4 2014-07 31.6 82.0 2014-07 41.5 2017-01 2014-04 2016-10 2014-04 15.4 2014-01 -5.8 25.8 2014-01 44.9 33.0 2013-10 16.0 41.2 2013-10 39.1 2016-07 2013-07 2016-04 2013-04 Balance Increased 2013-01 Decreased Months Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-01 Remained Unchanged (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 6
  7. Statistics Department 10-Profitability for the Last Three Months (*) 11-Profitability for the Next Three Months (*) 13.1 32.8 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-01 2016-04 2017-04 41.0 2017-04 45.9 2017-04 2017-04 2017-01 71.7 2017-01 33.5 0.9 2017-01 10.7 2016-10 45.1 26.5 2016-10 44.2 72.6 2016-10 2016-10 2017-01 2016-07 59.7 37.2 2016-07 3.8 9.5 2016-07 32.7 43.8 2016-04 63.5 46.7 2016-04 2016-04 2016-07 2016-04 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months Profitability for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2016-01 92.3 2015-10 0.7 2015-10 6.3 2015-07 93.0 2015-07 2017-04 2015-04 23.1 23.6 2015-04 28.8 22.8 2015-01 19.3 30.8 2015-01 51.9 46.4 2014-10 2016-10 2017-01 2014-10 85.3 2014-07 68.3 1.4 2014-07 10.0 2014-04 11.7 11.9 2014-04 78.3 86.7 2014-01 2016-04 2016-07 Profitability for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2013-10 Balance 2014-01 Decreased 2013-07 Remained Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months 12-Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months (*) 13-Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months (*) Balance 2016-04 44.4 45.4 10.2 34.2 2016-07 42.0 56.4 1.6 40.4 2016-10 41.4 57.2 1.4 40.0 2017-01 29.6 57.7 12.7 16.9 2017-04 41.6 57.0 1.4 40.2 2016-01 2016-01 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Months 2015-10 25.0 2015-10 12.0 2015-07 51.0 2015-07 37.0 2015-04 2017-04 2015-04 32.5 44.0 2015-01 10.1 10.1 2015-01 47.3 35.8 2014-10 42.6 54.1 2014-10 2016-10 2017-01 2014-07 52.5 2014-04 30.4 0.5 2014-07 11.2 2014-04 47.2 46.5 2014-01 41.6 53.0 2013-10 2016-04 2016-07 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 2014-01 Balance 2013-07 Decreased 2013-10 Remained Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 7
  8. Statistics Department 14-Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months (*) Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 15-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) Balance (%) Months Improved Remained Unchanged Deteriorated Balance 2016-04 8.9 89.2 1.9 7.0 2016-07 8.7 89.5 1.8 6.9 8.9 88.2 2.9 6.0 8.8 90.2 1.0 7.8 2017-04 9.3 90.4 0.3 9.0 2013-01 2016-10 2017-01 Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2017-04 2017-01 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months 2017-04 16-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 2017-01 8.8 2016-10 0.3 2016-10 90.6 2016-07 9.1 2016-07 2017-04 2016-04 5.8 7.8 2016-04 3.1 1.0 2016-01 88.0 90.2 2016-01 8.9 8.8 2015-10 2016-10 2017-01 2015-10 6.8 7.0 2015-07 2.1 1.9 2015-07 89.0 89.2 2015-04 8.9 8.9 2015-04 2016-04 2016-07 2015-01 Balance 2015-01 Deteriorated 2013-01 Improved Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Months Remained Unchanged 2014-10 47.7 2014-10 0.4 2014-04 51.5 2014-07 48.1 2014-07 2017-04 2014-01 35.1 50.8 2014-04 1.9 0.2 2013-10 61.1 48.8 2014-01 37.0 51.0 2013-10 2016-10 2017-01 2014-04 39.1 48.3 2014-01 0.4 1.9 2013-07 60.1 47.9 2013-07 39.5 50.2 2013-10 2016-04 2016-07 2013-04 Balance 2013-04 Deteriorated 2013-07 Improved 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-01 Months Remained Unchanged (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 8
  9. Statistics Department 17-Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months (*) 9.1 90.7 0.2 8.9 19-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) Improve Remain Unchanged Deteriorate Balance 2016-04 30.6 68.7 0.7 29.9 2016-07 20.3 79.7 0.0 20.3 2016-10 9.4 90.6 0.0 9.4 2017-01 10.9 88.0 1.1 9.8 2017-04 9.1 90.7 0.2 8.9 2013-01 Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2017-04 2017-04 8.0 2017-04 2017-01 1.1 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months 2017-04 89.8 2017-01 9.1 2016-10 9.5 2017-01 2016-10 0.0 2016-07 90.5 2016-04 9.5 2016-07 20.4 2016-10 2016-01 29.7 0.0 2016-04 0.7 79.6 2016-01 68.9 20.4 2015-10 30.4 2016-07 2015-07 2016-04 2015-10 Balance 2015-04 Deteriorate 2015-07 Remain Unchanged Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months 2015-01 Improve 2013-01 Months Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015-04 18-Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 2015-01 32.0 2014-07 0.1 2014-10 67.8 2014-07 32.1 2014-10 40.1 2017-04 2014-04 1.1 2014-04 57.7 2014-07 41.2 2014-01 38.2 2017-01 2014-04 0.0 2013-10 61.8 2014-01 38.2 2014-01 43.3 2016-10 2013-07 42.5 0.0 2013-10 0.7 56.7 2013-07 56.1 43.3 2013-10 43.2 2016-07 2013-04 2016-04 2013-04 Balance Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months 2013-07 Deteriorate 2013-01 Improve Balance (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2013-04 Months Remain Unchanged (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 9