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Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index - December 2017

IM Research
By IM Research
6 years ago
Turkey: Financial Services Survey and Financial Services Confidence Index - December 2017

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  1. FINANCIAL SERVICES STATISTICS AND FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX December 2017 Statistics Department Real Sector Data Division CONTENTS 1 MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY 2 FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX 3 FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3 .1 Business situation for the last three months 3.2 Demand for services (turnover) for the last three months 3.3 Demand for services (turnover) for the next three months 3.4 Employment for the last three months 3.5 Employment for the next three months 3.6 Operating income for the last three months (*) 3.7 Operating income for the next three months (*) 3.8 Operating expenses for the last three months (*) 3.9 Operating expenses for the next three months (*) 3.10 Profitability for the last three months (*) 3.11 Profitability for the next three months (*) 3.12 Capital expenditure for the last three months (*) 3.13 Capital expenditure for the next three months (*) 3.14 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.15 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.16 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the last three months (*) 3.17 Competitive position on the domestic market for the last three months (*) 3.18 Competitive position on foreign markets inside the EU for the next three months (*) 3.19 Competitive position on foreign markets outside the EU for the next three months (*) (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). www.tcmb.gov.tr
  2. Statistics Department 1 . MONTHLY RESPONSES OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY Responses Contents Participants 160 140 120 143 148 151 145 148 150 2017-04 2017-05 2017-06 2017-07 2017-08 2017-09 150 150 150 2017-12 142 2017-11 142 2017-03 141 2017-02 60 143 2017-01 80 2016-12 100 40 20 RESPONSES BY SECTORS 2017-10 0 (December 2017) Participants Responses Response Rate (%) Banks 49 49 100.0 Insurance Companies 22 22 100.0 Brokerage Companies 23 23 100.0 Factoring Companies 36 36 100.0 Leasing Companies 13 13 100.0 Financing Companies 7 7 100.0 150 150 100.0 Total 1
  3. Statistics Department 2 . FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFIDENCE INDEX (FSCI) Contents January 2013 - December 2017 Arithmetic Maximum Mean 2017 2016 Minimum December January February March April May June July August September October November December Financial Services Confidence Index 169.8 187.3 140.7 157.8 166.5 165.1 165.8 178.0 178.4 177.4 166.4 171.6 166.0 165.9 168.9 165.4 Business Situation (Last 3 Months) 165.2 188.1 115.7 152.6 177.0 152.2 163.8 187.1 177.1 171.8 158.1 179.6 159.1 146.3 153.3 153.0 Demand For Services (Last 3 Months) 170.0 193.5 126.1 164.9 159.6 183.1 172.8 187.8 179.7 189.7 179.0 169.9 158.7 169.4 177.8 180.0 Demand For Services (Next 3 Months) 174.0 192.6 153.5 155.8 162.8 159.9 160.9 159.0 178.5 170.7 162.2 165.4 180.1 181.9 175.5 163.3 Financial Services Confidence Index Index 200 190 180 170 160 165.4 150 140 130 120 110 2017-12 2017-10 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 100 2
  4. Statistics Department 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS Contents 3.1 Business Situation for the Last Three Months Business Situation for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 2016-12 56.6 39.4 4.0 52.6 2017-01 78.9 19.2 1.9 77.0 2017-02 57.0 38.2 4.8 52.2 2017-03 64.4 35.0 0.6 63.8 2017-04 87.5 12.1 0.4 87.1 2017-05 78.2 20.7 1.1 77.1 2017-06 72.7 26.4 0.9 71.8 2017-07 59.1 39.9 1.0 58.1 30 90 80 70 60 50 2017-12 54.5 44.0 1.5 53.0 2017-10 2017-12 53.3 2017-07 2.3 2017-04 42.1 2017-01 55.6 2016-10 0 2017-11 2016-07 46.3 2016-04 0.9 2016-01 51.9 2015-10 47.2 2015-07 10 2017-10 2015-04 20 2015-01 79.6 59.1 2014-10 0.7 1.1 2014-07 19.0 38.7 2014-04 80.3 60.2 2013-01 2017-08 2017-09 2014-01 40 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remained Deteriorated Unchanged 2013-04 Months Improved 3.2 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Last Three Months 2016-12 75.8 13.3 10.9 64.9 2017-01 70.4 18.8 10.8 59.6 2017-02 87.7 7.7 4.6 83.1 2017-03 74.7 23.4 1.9 72.8 2017-04 89.0 9.8 1.2 87.8 2017-05 81.5 16.7 1.8 79.7 2017-06 91.1 7.5 1.4 89.7 2017-07 80.8 17.4 1.8 79.0 2017-08 79.6 10.7 9.7 69.9 20 2017-09 68.9 20.9 10.2 58.7 10 0 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-12 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-12 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 80.0 2016-01 4.1 2015-10 11.8 30 2015-07 84.1 40 2015-04 2017-12 50 2015-01 69.4 77.8 60 2014-10 9.8 1.3 70 2014-07 11.0 19.6 80 2014-04 79.2 79.1 90 2013-01 2017-10 2017-11 Demand For Services for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Decreased 2013-07 Remained Unchanged 2013-04 Months Increased 3.3 Demand For Services (Turnover) for the Next Three Months Balance (%) Demand For Services for the Next Three Months 100 2016-12 58.4 39.0 2.6 55.8 2017-01 66.6 29.6 3.8 62.8 2017-02 69.3 21.3 9.4 59.9 2017-03 61.6 37.7 0.7 60.9 2017-04 61.5 36.0 2.5 59.0 2017-05 79.7 19.1 1.2 78.5 2017-06 72.0 26.7 1.3 70.7 40 90 80 70 60 10 2017-10 83.1 15.7 1.2 81.9 0 2017-11 77.0 21.5 1.5 75.5 2017-12 72.1 19.1 8.8 63.3 2017-01 80.1 2016-10 1.1 2016-07 17.7 2016-04 81.2 2016-01 20 2017-09 2015-10 30 2015-07 62.2 65.4 2015-04 9.7 9.2 2015-01 18.4 16.2 2014-10 71.9 74.6 2014-07 2017-07 2017-08 2014-04 50 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Decrease 2013-07 Remain Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 3
  5. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.4 Employment for the Last Three Months 100 2016-12 30.0 32.9 37.1 -7.1 90 2017-01 30.1 22.6 47.3 -17.2 80 2017-02 26.7 48.2 25.1 1.6 70 2017-03 22.5 48.3 29.2 -6.7 2017-04 20.6 57.5 21.9 -1.3 2017-05 24.5 67.1 8.4 16.1 2017-06 46.5 45.4 8.1 38.4 2017-07 35.6 58.1 6.3 29.3 2017-08 29.8 46.0 24.2 5.6 2017-09 28.6 37.4 34.0 -5.4 -10 -20 2017-10 2017-12 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 -6.5 2015-10 34.3 2015-07 37.9 2015-04 27.8 0 2015-01 2017-12 10 2014-10 7.4 20 2014-07 -9.1 30 2014-04 33.9 27.7 40 2014-01 41.3 37.2 50 2013-10 24.8 35.1 60 2013-01 2017-10 2017-11 Employment for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Months Increased 3.5 Employment for the Next Three Months Employment for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 2016-12 34.1 63.8 2.1 32.0 2017-01 45.1 53.0 1.9 43.2 2017-02 46.8 51.0 2.2 44.6 2017-03 53.4 36.2 10.4 43.0 2017-04 39.4 49.3 11.3 28.1 60 2017-05 37.5 52.1 10.4 27.1 50 2017-06 37.8 50.6 11.6 26.2 40 2017-07 38.0 51.2 10.8 27.2 30 2017-08 40.1 48.5 11.4 28.7 20 2017-09 40.6 48.0 11.4 29.2 10 2017-10 39.6 50.7 9.7 29.9 0 2017-11 46.2 52.6 1.2 45.0 2017-12 35.9 52.5 11.6 24.3 90 80 2017-10 2017-12 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 70 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months 4
  6. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.6 Operating Income for the Last Three Months (*) Months Increased Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2016-10 47.8 21.3 30.9 16.9 2017-01 71.5 18.5 10.0 61.5 2017-04 89.3 9.0 1.7 87.6 2017-07 41.7 45.9 12.4 29.3 2017-10 68.3 21.9 9.8 58.5 Operating Income for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 100 80 60 40 20 2017-10 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 0 3.7 Operating Income for the Next Three Months (*) Months Increase Remain Decrease Unchanged Balance Balance (%) Operating Income for the Next Three Months 100 2016-10 50.0 48.1 1.9 48.1 80 2017-01 56.0 41.6 2.4 53.6 60 2017-04 56.0 41.6 2.4 53.6 2017-07 42.7 47.0 10.3 32.4 2017-10 67.1 32.1 0.8 66.3 40 20 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 0 3.8 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months (*) 38.8 -3.6 2017-07 63.8 13.2 23.0 40.8 2017-10 53.1 27.4 19.5 33.6 40 20 0 -20 2016-10 26.0 2016-07 35.2 2016-04 2017-04 60 2016-01 80.4 2015-10 1.6 2015-07 16.4 2015-04 82.0 2015-01 2017-01 80 2014-10 14.6 2014-07 26.9 2014-04 31.6 2014-01 41.5 100 2013-10 2016-10 Operating Expenses for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Increased 2013-01 Months 3.9 Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months (*) Operating Expenses for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 2017-04 55.2 43.3 1.5 53.7 40 2017-07 48.8 41.1 10.1 38.7 20 2017-10 59.6 39.9 0.5 59.1 0 2017-01 60 2016-10 30.1 2016-07 10.7 2016-04 48.5 2016-01 40.8 2015-10 2017-01 2015-07 80 2015-04 65.0 2015-01 0.2 2014-10 34.6 2014-07 65.2 2014-04 2016-10 2014-01 100 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 5
  7. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.10 Profitability for the Last Three Months (*) 28.5 7.4 2017-10 43.2 45.1 11.7 31.5 20 0 -20 2017-10 35.6 2017-07 35.9 2017-04 2017-07 40 2017-01 92.3 2016-10 0.7 2016-07 6.3 2016-04 93.0 2016-01 2017-04 60 2015-10 23.6 2015-07 22.8 2015-04 30.8 2015-01 46.4 2014-10 2017-01 80 2014-07 23.1 2014-04 28.8 2014-01 19.3 2013-10 51.9 Profitability for the Last Three Months 100 2013-07 2016-10 Balance (%) 2013-04 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-01 Months Increased 3.11 Profitability for the Next Three Months (*) Balance (%) Profitability for the Next Three Months 100 2016-10 44.2 45.1 10.7 33.5 80 2017-01 72.6 26.5 0.9 71.7 60 2017-04 45.9 41.0 13.1 32.8 2017-07 48.8 49.3 1.9 46.9 2017-10 53.1 36.5 10.4 42.7 40 20 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2013-01 0 2014-01 Balance 2013-10 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-07 Increase 2013-04 Months 3.12 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months (*) 25.0 2017-07 27.7 60.9 11.4 16.3 2017-10 35.2 54.1 10.7 24.5 40 20 0 -20 2016-10 12.0 2016-07 51.0 2016-04 37.0 2016-01 2017-04 60 2015-10 44.0 2015-07 10.1 2015-04 35.8 2015-01 54.1 2014-10 2017-01 80 2014-07 32.5 2014-04 10.1 2014-01 47.3 2013-10 42.6 100 2013-01 2016-10 Capital Expenditure for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-07 Remained Decreased Balance Unchanged 2013-04 Months Increased 3.13 Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months (*) Capital Expenditure for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 40 2017-07 42.1 57.0 0.9 41.2 20 2017-10 48.0 51.1 0.9 47.1 0 2016-10 40.2 2016-07 1.4 2016-04 57.0 2016-01 41.6 2015-10 60 2017-04 2015-07 80 2015-04 40.0 16.9 2015-01 1.4 12.7 2014-10 57.2 57.7 2014-07 41.4 29.6 2014-04 2016-10 2017-01 2014-01 100 2013-10 Balance 2013-07 Remain Decrease Unchanged 2013-04 Increase 2013-01 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 6
  8. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.14 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months (*) 30.5 69.2 0.3 30.2 20 0 2017-10 2017-10 40 2017-07 42.7 2017-04 0.3 2017-01 56.7 2016-10 43.0 2016-07 2017-07 60 2016-04 47.7 2016-01 0.4 2015-10 51.5 2015-07 48.1 2015-04 2017-04 80 2015-01 50.8 2014-10 35.1 0.2 2014-07 1.9 48.8 2014-04 61.1 51.0 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Last Three Months 2014-01 37.0 2017-01 100 2013-01 2016-10 Balance (%) 2013-10 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 3.15 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) 80.2 0.0 19.8 2017-10 28.9 70.6 0.5 28.4 40 20 0 2017-10 19.8 2017-07 2017-07 60 2017-04 8.8 2017-01 0.3 2016-10 90.6 2016-07 9.1 2016-04 2017-04 80 2016-01 7.8 2015-10 1.0 2015-07 90.2 2015-04 8.8 2015-01 2017-01 2014-10 5.8 2014-07 3.1 2014-04 88.0 2014-01 8.9 100 2013-01 2016-10 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Last Three Months Balance (%) 2013-10 Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged 2013-07 Improved 2013-04 Months 3.16 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months (*) Remained Deteriorated Balance Unchanged Balance (%) Months Improved 2016-10 8.9 88.2 2.9 6.0 2017-01 8.8 90.2 1.0 7.8 2017-04 9.3 90.4 0.3 9.0 2017-07 19.8 80.2 0.0 19.8 40 2017-10 28.9 71.0 0.1 28.8 20 100 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Last Three Months 80 60 2017-10 2017-07 2017-04 2017-01 2016-10 2016-07 2016-04 2016-01 2015-10 2015-07 2015-04 2015-01 2014-10 2014-07 2014-04 2014-01 2013-10 2013-07 2013-04 2013-01 0 (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 7
  9. Statistics Department Contents 3 . FINANCIAL SERVICES SURVEY WEIGHTED AGGREGATED RESULTS 3.17 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months (*) 42.0 20 0 2017-10 0.3 2017-07 57.4 2017-04 42.3 2017-01 2017-10 40 2016-10 41.5 2016-07 0.3 2016-04 57.9 2016-01 41.8 2015-10 2017-07 60 2015-07 32.0 2015-04 0.1 2015-01 67.8 2014-10 32.1 2014-07 2017-04 80 2014-04 40.1 2014-01 1.1 2013-10 57.7 2013-07 41.2 2013-01 2017-01 Competitive Position on the Domestic Market for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 2013-04 Remain Improve Unchange Deteriorate Balance d 2016-10 38.2 61.8 0.0 38.2 Months 3.18 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Inside the EU for the Next Three Months Balance (%) 100 20.1 0 2017-10 0.3 2017-07 79.3 2017-04 20.4 2017-01 20 2017-10 2016-10 10.3 2016-07 0.0 2016-04 89.7 2016-01 10.3 2015-10 40 2017-07 2015-07 8.9 2015-04 0.2 2015-01 90.7 2014-10 9.1 2014-07 60 2017-04 2014-04 8.0 2014-01 1.1 2013-10 89.8 2013-01 9.1 2013-07 80 2017-01 2013-04 Remain Improve Unchange Deteriorate Balance d 2016-10 9.5 90.5 0.0 9.5 Months 3.19 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months (*) 20.2 20 0 2017-10 0.3 2017-07 79.2 2017-04 20.5 2017-01 2017-10 40 2016-10 10.1 2016-07 0.0 2016-04 89.9 2016-01 10.1 2015-10 2017-07 60 2015-07 8.9 2015-04 0.2 2015-01 90.7 2014-10 9.1 2014-07 2017-04 80 2014-04 9.8 2014-01 1.1 2013-10 88.0 Competitive Position on Foreign Markets Outside the EU for the Next Three Months 2013-07 10.9 2013-01 2017-01 Balance (%) 100 2013-04 Remain Improve Unchange Deteriorate Balance d 2016-10 9.4 90.6 0.0 9.4 Months (*) These indicators are produced quarterly (in January, April, July and October). 8