Pakistan: Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) - 15 March

Transcription

1. Annexure-III Government of Pakistan Statistics Division Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Subject : Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended on 15-03-2018. The weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 covering 17 urban centres and 53 essential items for all income groups/quintiles and combined has been computed. 2. For the week ended on March 15, 2018, the SPI and percentage changes by income groups/quintiles and combined are given below: Income Group (Quintile) SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 SPI for week ended on 15-03-18 08-03-18 16-03-17 Q1 (Upto Rs. 8000) 209.35 209.95 213.14 -0.29 -1.78 Q2 (Rs. 8001-12000) 217.74 218.34 220.94 -0.27 -1.45 Q3 (Rs. 12001-18000) 219.57 220.17 222.31 -0.27 -1.23 Q4 (Rs. 18001-35000) 224.75 225.36 227.40 -0.27 -1.17 Q5 (Above Rs. 35000) 224.02 224.56 224.75 -0.24 -0.32 221.67 222.25 223.36 -0.26 -0.76 Combined 3. % change over 08-03-18 16-03-17 The trend of weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 during the last 10 weeks as compared to the respective previous as well as corresponding weeks of last year is as under: Week ended on 4. SPI for lowest income group SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 Combined % change over % change over SPI Pr. Week Cor. Week Pr. Week Cor. Week 11-01-2018 213.92 -0.22 2.35 224.88 -0.23 3.06 18-01-2018 212.62 -0.61 1.65 223.45 -0.64 2.27 25-01-2018 211.94 -0.32 1.24 222.80 -0.29 1.81 01-02-2018 211.10 -0.40 1.00 222.38 -0.19 1.69 08-02-2018 210.82 -0.13 0.88 222.31 -0.03 1.66 15-02-2018 210.55 -0.13 0.21 222.24 -0.03 1.03 22-02-2018 210.07 -0.23 0.09 221.81 -0.19 0.98 01-03-2018 209.71 -0.17 -0.48 221.87 0.03 0.47 08-03-2018 209.95 0.11 -0.97 222.25 0.17 -0.01 15-03-2018 209.35 -0.29 -1.78 221.67 -0.26 -0.76 A statement showing citywise prices of essential items pertaining to 17 urban centres is placed at Appendix-A.
2. 5 . The comparative changes in prices i.e. increase, decrease and unchanged for the week ended on 15-03-2018 over previous and corresponding weeks ended on 08-03-2018 and 16-03-2017 repectively are as follows: Sr. Items Units 1 i. Prices in Rs. On 15.03.18 08.03.18 %change col. 3 over 08.03.18 16.03.17 Weight of income group in % Lowest Combined 2 3 4 5 6 7 Average prices of the following 11 items registered INCREASE. 1 Lawn Printed, Gul Ahmed / Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 8 Impact of income group in % points Lowest Combined 9 10 260.09 257.74 0.91 3.53 1.4477 1.4684 0.0131 0.0126 2 Sugar, Refined 1 kg 51.40 51.00 0.78 -14.60 3.7994 2.7340 0.0259 0.0176 3 Cooked Beef, Average Hotel Plate 104.20 103.49 0.69 11.78 0.0965 0.3596 0.0010 0.0035 4 Tea, Lipton Yellow Label, Packet 200 gm 193.82 192.89 0.48 -2.78 2.2005 2.1456 0.0146 0.0134 5 Rice Basmati Broken, (AQ) 1 kg 74.04 73.75 0.39 13.86 2.6713 1.9032 0.0098 0.0066 6 Beef With Bone, Average quality 1 kg 350.44 349.43 0.29 5.63 3.9344 4.2660 0.0154 0.0157 7 Vegetable Ghee, Tin, (SN) 2.5 kg 464.47 463.29 0.25 1.00 4.8228 2.7110 0.0087 0.0046 8 Mutton, Average Quality 1 kg 745.53 743.75 0.24 10.95 0.3616 2.0953 0.0013 0.0071 9 Cooking Oil, Tin, (SN) 2.5 Ltr 471.06 470.18 0.19 0.95 1.3472 2.2953 0.0018 0.0029 10 Rice Irri-6 (Punjab/Sindh) 1 kg 52.05 51.96 0.17 5.41 0.5103 0.1934 0.0007 0.0003 11 Georgette, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 128.40 128.20 0.16 3.44 0.4174 0.6340 0.0007 0.0010 21.6091 20.8058 0.0930 0.0853 TOTAL ii. Average prices of the following 14 items registered DECREASE. 1 Onions 1 kg 32.57 35.75 -8.90 -6.11 1.7622 1.4179 -0.1639 -0.1246 2 Tomatoes 1 kg 29.27 31.42 -6.84 -59.40 1.1881 1.1768 -0.0427 -0.0399 3 Chicken Farm, Broiler, Live 1 kg 170.79 176.47 -3.22 -0.11 2.4935 3.5588 -0.0809 -0.1091 4 Gur, Average Quality 1 kg 75.90 77.42 -1.96 -10.07 0.1879 0.0576 -0.0041 -0.0012 5 Garlic 1 kg 176.74 179.40 -1.48 -41.32 0.3990 0.3599 -0.0109 -0.0093 6 LPG Cylinder, 11kg Each 1180.88 1196.18 -1.28 5.34 0.2835 0.2712 -0.0031 -0.0028 7 Pulse Moong, Washed 1 kg 115.24 116.69 -1.24 -11.42 0.8244 0.6114 -0.0108 -0.0076 8 Pulse Masoor, Washed 1 kg 115.05 116.45 -1.20 -11.27 0.5529 0.4892 -0.0052 -0.0043 9 Eggs Hen, Farm Dozen 94.46 95.51 -1.10 12.92 0.6588 1.1923 -0.0067 -0.0114 10 Pulse Gram, Washed 1 kg 114.11 115.22 -0.96 -12.18 0.8699 0.6180 -0.0103 -0.0069 11 Pulse Mash, Washed 1 kg 151.63 152.37 -0.49 -19.62 0.6088 0.5492 -0.0030 -0.0026 12 Wheat 10 kg 341.66 342.84 -0.34 -2.36 1.6049 0.9101 -0.0054 -0.0029 13 Wheat Flour, Bag 10 kg 384.30 385.08 -0.20 -0.72 17.4548 10.9014 -0.0355 -0.0209 14 Bananas Dozen 81.02 81.04 -0.02 -2.68 0.9748 1.3930 -0.0003 -0.0004 29.8635 23.5068 -0.3827 -0.3438 TOTAL iii. Average prices of the following 28 items remained UNCHANGED 1 Bread Plain, Medium Size Each 42.56 42.56 0.00 3.50 0.2055 1.2284 0.0000 0.0000 2 Milk, Fresh, Unboiled 1 Ltr 82.50 82.50 0.00 2.08 17.0616 16.8368 0.0000 0.0000 3 Curd (Dahi) 1 kg 99.12 99.12 0.00 4.60 0.9482 1.3491 0.0000 0.0000 4 Powdered Milk, Nido, Polybag 400 gm 384.27 384.27 0.00 3.17 0.0752 0.1235 0.0000 0.0000 5 Mustard Oil, Average Quality 1 kg 183.64 183.64 0.00 1.11 0.1668 0.2492 0.0000 0.0000 6 Vegetable Ghee, Loose/Pouch, (SN) 1 kg 145.40 145.40 0.00 -0.49 4.8228 2.7110 0.0000 0.0000 7 Potatoes 1 kg 24.37 24.37 0.00 -17.22 1.6735 1.2501 0.0000 0.0000 8 Salt Powder, Loose, Lahori 1 kg 11.12 11.12 0.00 3.83 0.1937 0.1636 0.0000 0.0000 9 Red Chilly Powder, Loose 1 kg 259.44 259.44 0.00 -2.85 0.6191 0.4447 0.0000 0.0000 10 Cooked Daal, Average Hotel Plate 58.29 58.29 0.00 2.37 0.2085 0.4413 0.0000 0.0000 11 Tea Prepared, Average Hotel Cup 21.19 21.19 0.00 2.86 0.4048 0.7913 0.0000 0.0000 12 Cigarettes, K-2/Similar brands, 20's Packet 50.76 50.76 0.00 -24.63 0.8822 1.5930 0.0000 0.0000 13 Long Cloth, 57", Gul Ahmed/Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 214.02 214.02 0.00 4.11 1.9718 1.8511 0.0000 0.0000 14 Shirting, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 171.06 171.06 0.00 4.11 0.5195 0.6499 0.0000 0.0000 15 Gents Sandal, Bata Pair 699.00 699.00 0.00 0.00 0.3910 0.4931 0.0000 0.0000 16 Gents Chappal Spng, Bata Pair 179.09 179.09 0.00 0.00 0.2702 0.2649 0.0000 0.0000 17 Ladies Sandal, Bata Pair 502.39 502.39 0.00 0.00 0.6773 0.8130 0.0000 0.0000 18 Electricity Charges, Upto 50 Units Unit 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 9.3636 11.5128 0.0000 0.0000 19 Gas Charges, Upto 3.3719 MMBTU MMBTU 128.70 128.70 0.00 0.00 3.2199 4.1239 0.0000 0.0000 20 Kerosene Oil 1 Ltr 115.11 115.11 0.00 45.93 0.0415 0.0150 0.0000 0.0000 21 Firewood Whole 40 kg 633.00 633.00 0.00 3.96 2.5384 0.5960 0.0000 0.0000 22 Electric Bulb, Energy Saver, 14 W Each 170.15 170.15 0.00 1.41 0.2003 0.2369 0.0000 0.0000 23 Washing Soap, 200-250 g, (SN) Cake 26.21 26.21 0.00 1.16 0.9514 0.7716 0.0000 0.0000 24 Match Box, Regular Each 2.26 2.26 0.00 3.67 0.1329 0.1183 0.0000 0.0000 25 Petrol, Super 1 Ltr 88.99 88.99 0.00 20.52 0.4649 5.1188 0.0000 0.0000 26 Hi Speed Diesel (HSD) 1 Ltr 99.40 99.40 0.00 19.85 0.0090 0.2767 0.0000 0.0000 27 Telephone Local Call Charges, 3 Minutes P/Call 3.94 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.1647 1.3095 0.0000 0.0000 28 Soap, LifeBuoy Each TOTAL 39.59 39.59 0.00 1.20 0.3491 48.5274 0.3539 55.6874 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
3. 6 . Monthly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) PERIOD Percentage change over previous month Percentage Change over corresponding month of previous year 2016-17 July 209.59 1.32 1.72 August 210.07 0.23 2.15 September 210.31 0.11 1.81 October 211.71 0.67 1.29 November 212.40 0.33 0.61 December 210.74 -0.78 0.53 January 209.06 -0.80 0.41 February 209.50 0.21 1.15 March 213.26 1.79 3.12 April 211.31 -0.91 2.30 May 209.42 -0.89 2.37 June 209.71 0.14 1.38 2017-18 July 208.76 -0.45 -0.40 August 209.88 0.54 -0.09 September 214.35 2.13 1.92 October 216.20 0.86 2.12 November 216.93 0.34 2.13 December 215.47 -0.67 2.24 January 213.22 -1.04 1.99 February 210.63 -1.21 0.54 Percentage change over previous quarter Percentage Change over corresponding quarter of previous year 7. Quarterly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) PERIOD 2016-17 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 209.99 1.94 1.89 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 211.62 0.77 0.81 3rd quarter (Jan-Mar) 210.61 -0.48 1.55 4th quarter (Apr-Jun) 210.15 -0.22 2.02 2017-18 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 211.00 0.40 0.48 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 216.20 2.47 2.17 Percentage change over previous Half year Percentage Change over corresponding Half year of previous year 8. Half yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) 2016-17 1st half (Jul-Dec) 210.80 1.99 1.35 2nd half (Jan-June) 210.38 -0.20 1.78 1.53 1.33 2017-18 1st half (Jul-Dec) 213.60 Page 3
4. Yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 2007-08=100 9. Period July to June SPI Percentage Change over Previous Year 2008-09 121.14 21.14 2009-10 136.80 12.93 2010-11 159.47 16.57 2011-12 170.77 7.08 2012-13 184.04 7.77 2013-14 201.15 9.30 2014-15 204.66 1.74 2015-16 207.35 1.31 2016-17 210.59 1.56 Consumer Price Index (CPI) with base 2007-08=100 by income groups 10. Combined Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Combined Q1 PERIOD 218.86 217.62 220.47 219.92 221.12 217.82 3.84 INDEX NUMBER PERIOD Q3 Q4 Q5 3.43 4.38 PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2017-18 OVER 2016-17 INDEX NUMBER 2017-18 (JUL-FEB) Q2 2.99 3.18 3.29 PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS MONTH JUL, 16 210.08 211.23 213.48 212.64 213.40 207.61 1.34 1.87 1.65 1.55 1.43 1.14 AUG,16 209.46 210.52 212.75 211.89 212.64 207.09 -0.30 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.25 SEP,16 209.88 210.90 213.11 212.24 213.01 207.56 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.23 OCT,16 211.57 212.69 214.88 214.01 214.72 209.21 0.81 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.80 0.79 NOV,16 212.01 213.21 215.37 214.47 215.18 209.63 0.21 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.20 DEC, 16 210.57 210.69 213.16 212.51 213.50 208.70 -0.68 -1.18 -1.03 -0.91 -0.78 -0.44 JAN,17 210.94 210.39 213.03 212.50 213.64 209.45 0.18 -0.14 -0.06 0.00 0.07 0.36 FEB, 17 211.54 210.80 213.52 213.05 214.26 210.09 0.28 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.31 Mar,17 213.32 212.79 215.54 215.06 216.23 211.66 0.84 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.75 Apr,17 216.30 215.46 218.35 217.97 219.25 214.70 1.40 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.44 May,17 216.33 214.88 217.96 217.71 219.15 215.02 0.01 -0.27 -0.18 -0.12 -0.05 0.15 June, 17 215.45 213.80 216.94 216.60 217.97 214.37 -0.41 -0.50 -0.47 -0.51 -0.54 -0.30 July, 17 216.19 214.52 217.67 217.28 218.43 215.17 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.21 0.37 August, 17 216.61 215.47 218.41 217.88 218.88 215.41 0.19 0.44 0.34 0.28 0.21 0.11 Sep, 17 217.98 217.99 220.44 219.65 220.39 216.36 0.63 1.17 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.44 Oct, 17 219.61 219.48 221.92 221.11 222.08 218.13 0.75 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.77 0.82 Nov, 17 220.42 219.97 222.48 221.77 222.85 219.09 0.37 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.44 Dec, 17 220.20 219.18 221.92 221.30 222.54 219.10 -0.10 -0.36 -0.25 -0.21 -0.14 0.00 Jan,18 220.27 217.98 221.09 220.75 222.33 219.77 0.03 -0.55 -0.37 -0.25 -0.09 0.31 Feb,18 219.58 216.40 219.79 219.65 221.48 219.49 -0.31 -0.72 -0.59 -0.50 -0.38 -0.13 11. A review of the current average prices of Cement collected for the week ended on 15.03.2018 shows an increase of 0.75 over previous week and a decrease of 2.78% over corresponding week of the last year. Average retail prices of Fertilizers and Cement are given at Appendix-B. Member Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Dated: 15.03.2018 U.O.NO.PBS.PS.SPI-0708(01)/2011- Page 4