Pakistan: Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended 22 March

Transcription

1. Annexure-III Government of Pakistan Statistics Division Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Subject : Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended on 22-03-2018. The weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 covering 17 urban centres and 53 essential items for all income groups/quintiles and combined has been computed. 2. For the week ended on March 22, 2018, the SPI and percentage changes by income groups/quintiles and combined are given below: Income Group (Quintile) SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 SPI for week ended on 22-03-18 15-03-18 24-03-17 Q1 (Upto Rs. 8000) 209.09 209.35 215.47 -0.12 -2.96 Q2 (Rs. 8001-12000) 217.49 217.74 223.42 -0.11 -2.65 Q3 (Rs. 12001-18000) 219.33 219.57 224.97 -0.11 -2.51 Q4 (Rs. 18001-35000) 224.52 224.75 230.15 -0.10 -2.45 Q5 (Above Rs. 35000) 223.83 224.02 227.46 -0.08 -1.60 221.45 221.67 226.02 -0.10 -2.02 Combined 3. % change over 15-03-18 24-03-17 The trend of weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 during the last 10 weeks as compared to the respective previous as well as corresponding weeks of last year is as under: Week ended on 4. SPI for lowest income group SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 Combined % change over % change over SPI Pr. Week Cor. Week Pr. Week Cor. Week 18-01-2018 212.62 -0.61 1.65 223.45 -0.64 2.27 25-01-2018 211.94 -0.32 1.24 222.80 -0.29 1.81 01-02-2018 211.10 -0.40 1.00 222.38 -0.19 1.69 08-02-2018 210.82 -0.13 0.88 222.31 -0.03 1.66 15-02-2018 210.55 -0.13 0.21 222.24 -0.03 1.03 22-02-2018 210.07 -0.23 0.09 221.81 -0.19 0.98 01-03-2018 209.71 -0.17 -0.48 221.87 0.03 0.47 08-03-2018 209.95 0.11 -0.97 222.25 0.17 -0.01 15-03-2018 209.35 -0.29 -1.78 221.67 -0.26 -0.76 22-03-2018 209.09 -0.12 -2.96 221.45 -0.10 -2.02 A statement showing citywise prices of essential items pertaining to 17 urban centres is placed at Appendix-A.
2. 5 The comparative changes in prices i .e. increase, decrease and unchanged for the week ended on 22-03-2018 over previous and corresponding weeks ended on 15-03-2018 and 24-03-2017 repectively are as follows: Sr. Items Units 1 2 i. Prices in Rs. On 22.03.18 15.03.18 3 4 %change col. 3 over 15.03.18 24.03.17 5 6 Weight of income group in % Lowest Combined 7 8 Impact of income group in % points Lowest Combined 9 10 Average prices of the following 10 items registered INCREASE. 1 Tomatoes 1 kg 30.78 29.27 5.16 -73.13 1.1881 1.1768 0.0301 0.0281 2 Pulse Moong, Washed 1 kg 116.19 115.24 0.82 -9.96 0.8244 0.6114 0.0071 0.0050 3 Red Chilly Powder, Loose 1 kg 261.20 259.44 0.68 -1.97 0.6191 0.4447 0.0035 0.0024 4 Vegetable Ghee, Loose/Pouch, (SN) 1 kg 146.13 145.40 0.50 -0.08 4.8228 2.7110 0.0155 0.0082 5 Pulse Gram, Washed 1 kg 114.65 114.11 0.47 -10.49 0.8699 0.6180 0.0050 0.0034 6 Sugar, Refined 1 kg 51.63 51.40 0.45 -14.34 3.7994 2.7340 0.0150 0.0102 7 Eggs Hen, Farm Dozen 94.77 94.46 0.33 -2.05 0.6588 1.1923 0.0020 0.0034 8 Vegetable Ghee, Tin, (SN) 2.5 kg 465.65 464.47 0.25 1.25 4.8228 2.7110 0.0087 0.0046 9 Cooking Oil, Tin, (SN) 2.5 Ltr 472.24 471.06 0.25 1.20 1.3472 2.2953 0.0024 0.0039 74.13 74.04 0.12 13.47 2.6713 1.9032 0.0030 0.0020 21.6238 16.3977 0.0923 0.0711 10 Rice Basmati Broken, (AQ) 1 kg TOTAL ii. Average prices of the following 9 items registered DECREASE. 1 Onions 1 kg 30.63 32.57 -5.96 -12.46 1.7622 1.4179 -0.1003 -0.0762 2 Potatoes 1 kg 23.08 24.37 -5.29 -22.73 1.6735 1.2501 -0.0678 -0.0478 3 Garlic 1 kg 171.50 176.74 -2.96 -42.54 0.3990 0.3599 -0.0216 -0.0184 4 Soap, LifeBuoy Each 39.12 39.59 -1.19 0.00 0.3491 0.3539 -0.0045 -0.0043 5 Pulse Mash, Washed 1 kg 150.83 151.63 -0.53 -19.38 0.6088 0.5492 -0.0033 -0.0028 6 Chicken Farm, Broiler, Live 1 kg 169.98 170.79 -0.47 -7.84 2.4935 3.5588 -0.0116 -0.0156 7 Bananas Dozen 80.74 81.02 -0.35 -3.04 0.9748 1.3930 -0.0037 -0.0050 8 Pulse Masoor, Washed 1 kg 114.66 115.05 -0.34 -10.82 0.5529 0.4892 -0.0014 -0.0012 9 LPG Cylinder, 11kg Each 1178.53 1180.88 -0.20 4.85 0.2835 0.2712 -0.0005 -0.0004 9.0973 9.6432 -0.2146 -0.1717 TOTAL iii. Average prices of the following 34 items remained UNCHANGED 1 Wheat 10 kg 341.66 341.66 0.00 -2.18 1.6049 0.9101 0.0000 0.0000 2 Wheat Flour, Bag 10 kg 384.30 384.30 0.00 -0.61 17.4548 10.9014 0.0000 0.0000 3 Rice Irri-6 (Punjab/Sindh) 1 kg 52.05 52.05 0.00 5.41 0.5103 0.1934 0.0000 0.0000 4 Bread Plain, Medium Size Each 42.56 42.56 0.00 3.50 0.2055 1.2284 0.0000 0.0000 5 Beef With Bone, Average quality 1 kg 350.44 350.44 0.00 5.63 3.9344 4.2660 0.0000 0.0000 6 Mutton, Average Quality 1 kg 745.53 745.53 0.00 10.37 0.3616 2.0953 0.0000 0.0000 7 Milk, Fresh, Unboiled 1 Ltr 82.50 82.50 0.00 2.08 17.0616 16.8368 0.0000 0.0000 8 Curd (Dahi) 1 kg 99.12 99.12 0.00 4.60 0.9482 1.3491 0.0000 0.0000 9 Powdered Milk, Nido, Polybag 400 gm 384.27 384.27 0.00 3.17 0.0752 0.1235 0.0000 0.0000 10 Mustard Oil, Average Quality 1 kg 183.64 183.64 0.00 1.11 0.1668 0.2492 0.0000 0.0000 11 Gur, Average Quality 1 kg 75.90 75.90 0.00 -10.01 0.1879 0.0576 0.0000 0.0000 12 Salt Powder, Loose, Lahori 1 kg 11.12 11.12 0.00 3.83 0.1937 0.1636 0.0000 0.0000 13 Tea, Lipton Yellow Label, Packet 200 gm 193.82 193.82 0.00 -2.78 2.2005 2.1456 0.0000 0.0000 14 Cooked Beef, Average Hotel Plate 104.20 104.20 0.00 11.43 0.0965 0.3596 0.0000 0.0000 15 Cooked Daal, Average Hotel Plate 58.29 58.29 0.00 2.37 0.2085 0.4413 0.0000 0.0000 16 Tea Prepared, Average Hotel Cup 21.19 21.19 0.00 2.86 0.4048 0.7913 0.0000 0.0000 17 Cigarettes, K-2/Similar brands, 20's Packet 50.76 50.76 0.00 -24.63 0.8822 1.5930 0.0000 0.0000 18 Long Cloth, 57", Gul Ahmed/Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 214.02 214.02 0.00 4.11 1.9718 1.8511 0.0000 0.0000 19 Shirting, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 171.06 171.06 0.00 4.11 0.5195 0.6499 0.0000 0.0000 20 Lawn Printed, Gul Ahmed / Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 260.09 260.09 0.00 3.53 1.4477 1.4684 0.0000 0.0000 21 Georgette, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 128.40 128.40 0.00 3.44 0.4174 0.6340 0.0000 0.0000 22 Gents Sandal, Bata Pair 699.00 699.00 0.00 0.00 0.3910 0.4931 0.0000 0.0000 23 Gents Chappal Spng, Bata Pair 179.09 179.09 0.00 0.00 0.2702 0.2649 0.0000 0.0000 24 Ladies Sandal, Bata Pair 502.39 502.39 0.00 0.00 0.6773 0.8130 0.0000 0.0000 25 Electricity Charges, Upto 50 Units Unit 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 9.3636 11.5128 0.0000 0.0000 26 Gas Charges, Upto 3.3719 MMBTU MMBTU 128.70 128.70 0.00 0.00 3.2199 4.1239 0.0000 0.0000 27 Kerosene Oil 1 Ltr 115.11 115.11 0.00 45.93 0.0415 0.0150 0.0000 0.0000 28 Firewood Whole 40 kg 633.00 633.00 0.00 3.82 2.5384 0.5960 0.0000 0.0000 29 Electric Bulb, Energy Saver, 14 W Each 170.15 170.15 0.00 1.41 0.2003 0.2369 0.0000 0.0000 30 Washing Soap, 200-250 g, (SN) Cake 26.21 26.21 0.00 1.16 0.9514 0.7716 0.0000 0.0000 31 Match Box, Regular Each 2.26 2.26 0.00 3.67 0.1329 0.1183 0.0000 0.0000 32 Petrol, Super 1 Ltr 88.99 88.99 0.00 20.52 0.4649 5.1188 0.0000 0.0000 33 Hi Speed Diesel (HSD) 1 Ltr 99.40 99.40 0.00 19.85 0.0090 0.2767 0.0000 0.0000 34 Telephone Local Call Charges, 3 Minutes P/Call 3.94 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.1647 1.3095 0.0000 0.0000 69.2789 73.9591 0.0000 0.0000 TOTAL
3. 6 . Monthly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). Percentage change over previous month Percentage Change over corresponding month of previous year 209.59 1.32 1.72 August 210.07 0.23 2.15 September 210.31 0.11 1.81 October 211.71 0.67 1.29 November 212.40 0.33 0.61 December 210.74 -0.78 0.53 January 209.06 -0.80 0.41 February 209.50 0.21 1.15 March 213.26 1.79 3.12 April 211.31 -0.91 2.30 May 209.42 -0.89 2.37 June 209.71 0.14 1.38 PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) July 2016-17 2017-18 July 208.76 -0.45 -0.40 August 209.88 0.54 -0.09 September 214.35 2.13 1.92 October 216.20 0.86 2.12 November 216.93 0.34 2.13 December 215.47 -0.67 2.24 January 213.22 -1.04 1.99 February 210.63 -1.21 0.54 Percentage change over previous quarter Percentage Change over corresponding quarter of previous year 7. Quarterly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) PERIOD 2016-17 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 209.99 1.94 1.89 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 211.62 0.77 0.81 3rd quarter (Jan-Mar) 210.61 -0.48 1.55 4th quarter (Apr-Jun) 210.15 -0.22 2.02 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 211.00 0.40 0.48 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 216.20 2.47 2.17 Percentage change over previous Half year Percentage Change over corresponding Half year of previous year 2017-18 8. Half yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) 2016-17 1st half (Jul-Dec) 210.80 1.99 1.35 2nd half (Jan-June) 210.38 -0.20 1.78 1.53 1.33 2017-18 1st half (Jul-Dec) 213.60 Page 3
4. Yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 2007-08=100 9. Period July to June SPI Percentage Change over Previous Year 2008-09 121.14 21.14 2009-10 136.80 12.93 2010-11 159.47 16.57 2011-12 170.77 7.08 2012-13 184.04 7.77 2013-14 201.15 9.30 2014-15 204.66 1.74 2015-16 207.35 1.31 2016-17 210.59 1.56 Consumer Price Index (CPI) with base 2007-08=100 by income groups 10. Combined Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Combined Q1 PERIOD 2017-18 (JUL-FEB) 218.86 217.62 220.47 219.92 221.12 217.82 3.84 INDEX NUMBER PERIOD Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 3.43 4.38 PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2017-18 OVER 2016-17 INDEX NUMBER 2.99 3.18 3.29 PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS MONTH JUL, 16 210.08 211.23 213.48 212.64 213.40 207.61 1.34 1.87 1.65 1.55 1.43 1.14 AUG,16 209.46 210.52 212.75 211.89 212.64 207.09 -0.30 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.25 SEP,16 209.88 210.90 213.11 212.24 213.01 207.56 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.23 OCT,16 211.57 212.69 214.88 214.01 214.72 209.21 0.81 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.80 0.79 NOV,16 212.01 213.21 215.37 214.47 215.18 209.63 0.21 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.20 DEC, 16 210.57 210.69 213.16 212.51 213.50 208.70 -0.68 -1.18 -1.03 -0.91 -0.78 -0.44 JAN,17 210.94 210.39 213.03 212.50 213.64 209.45 0.18 -0.14 -0.06 0.00 0.07 0.36 FEB, 17 211.54 210.80 213.52 213.05 214.26 210.09 0.28 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.31 Mar,17 213.32 212.79 215.54 215.06 216.23 211.66 0.84 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.75 Apr,17 216.30 215.46 218.35 217.97 219.25 214.70 1.40 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.44 May,17 216.33 214.88 217.96 217.71 219.15 215.02 0.01 -0.27 -0.18 -0.12 -0.05 0.15 June, 17 215.45 213.80 216.94 216.60 217.97 214.37 -0.41 -0.50 -0.47 -0.51 -0.54 -0.30 July, 17 216.19 214.52 217.67 217.28 218.43 215.17 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.21 0.37 August, 17 216.61 215.47 218.41 217.88 218.88 215.41 0.19 0.44 0.34 0.28 0.21 0.11 Sep, 17 217.98 217.99 220.44 219.65 220.39 216.36 0.63 1.17 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.44 Oct, 17 219.61 219.48 221.92 221.11 222.08 218.13 0.75 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.77 0.82 Nov, 17 220.42 219.97 222.48 221.77 222.85 219.09 0.37 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.44 Dec, 17 220.20 219.18 221.92 221.30 222.54 219.10 -0.10 -0.36 -0.25 -0.21 -0.14 0.00 Jan,18 220.27 217.98 221.09 220.75 222.33 219.77 0.03 -0.55 -0.37 -0.25 -0.09 0.31 Feb,18 219.58 216.40 219.79 219.65 221.48 219.49 -0.31 -0.72 -0.59 -0.50 -0.38 -0.13 11. A review of the current average prices of Cement collected for the week ended on 22.03.2018 shows an increase of 0.87 over previous week and a decrease of 1.92% over corresponding week of the last year. Average retail prices of Fertilizers and Cement are given at Appendix-B. Member Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Dated: 22.03.2018 U.O.NO.PBS.PS.SPI-0708(01)/2011- Page 4