Indonesia: Morning Market Update - 6 March

Transcription

1. btra cnb Morning Update Global Market Wrap Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 Terakhir 3,717.6 4,269.8 4,641.5 4,961.9 176.0 942.3 -23.4 -135.4 4,545.6 5,012.9 Sektoral Index 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% Indeks Saham Index Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris YTD Index Avg 2014 Terakhir 3,717.6 4,031.3 4,641.5 4,946.8 176.0 647.5 -23.4 88.6 4,545.6 4,950.5 Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Latest Real interest rate Items Latest Real interest rate Interest Inflation Interest Inflation 7.44 Deposito IDR 3 bln 7.50 14.87 Kredit Bank IDR 14.54 7.68 BI Rate (%) 7.67 7.75 6.96% 7.75 8.36% 0.24 Fed Funds Target 0.24 0.25 0.80% 0.25 0.80% 0.06 ECB Main Refinancing 0.05 0.05 -0.60% 0.05 -0.20% 0.05 Domestic Yen Interest Call 0.05 0.07 2.40% 0.07 2.40% Harga Komoditas dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ 6 March 2020 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 Terakhir 4,068.4 5,087.2 144.8 -184.8 6,285.9 H-1 4,559.0 5,535.7 -61.8 59.9 6,299.3 Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry C onsumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,200 793 1,838 1,273 1,021 1,064 1,370 432 678 1 year return 1 day return YTD return -21.5% -10.0% -31.1% 3.6% -14.5% -18.0% -27.8% -4.2% -17.9% 0.6% -0.5% 0.2% -0.1% 0.0% 1.0% -0.6% -1.1% -1.1% -21.3% -18.9% -10.5% -6.0% -10.2% -13.0% -11.5% -14.3% -12.0% 1 year return 1 day return YTD return -12.7% -6.3% -11.6% -14.4% -4.2% 5.0% -7.8% -1.2% 2.3% 8.5% 1.7% 2.6% -6.8% -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 1.3% 0.2% 2.1% 1.1% 1.2% -4.7% -3.6% -1.1% -1.6% -10.5% -6.3% -6.2% -12.0% -6.6% -6.7% -5.0% -11.3% -6.3% -11.6% -8.5% -7.8% -11.1% +/-0.53 0.00 Daily % chg -1.99% 0.00% Indeks Saham Index Negara JC I FSSTI KLC I SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 5,638 3,018 1,491 1,391 2,085 38,471 26,768 21,329 6,472 102,233 26,121 3,138 6,705 Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS Closing US$ 26.08 0.033 *Rp/US$ IDR 1,840.3 459.2 Pada perdagangan kemarin indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah sigifikan dipicu oleh munculnya kembali kekhawatiran investor terhadap penyebaran virus Korona khususnya di Amerika yang sampai ini sudah mencapai 197 kasus dan 12 diantaranya meninggal dunia. Negara bagian California telah menentapkan kondisi darurat setelah jumlah warga yang terinfeksi virus Korona mencapai 53 orang dan 1 meninggal. Sementara itu jumlah orang yang terinfeksi di kota New York meningkat dua kali lipat menjadi 22 orang. Dow Jones ditutup melemah -970 poin (-3,58%) pada level 26.121, S&P500 turun -106 poin (-3,39%) pada level 3.024, Nasdaq terkoreksi -279 poin (-3,10%) pada level 8.738. EIDO mencatatkan penurunan -0,81 poin (-3,57%) pada level 21,85. Pagi ini indeks di bursa asia dibuka melemah dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika dibuka melemah -45 poin (-32%) pada level Rp14.220. Technical Ideas Munculnya kembali kekhawatiran investor terhadap penyebaran virus Korona seiring dengan bertambahnya jumlah orang yang terinfeksi dan meninggal di Amerika diprediksi akan menjadi sentimen negatif untuk indeks harga saham gabungan. Sementara itu melemahnya hampir semua harga komoditas juga diprediksi akan menjadi tambahan sentimen negatif di pasar. IHSG diprediksi akan melanjutkan pelemahannya dengan support di level 5.580 dan resistance di level 5.690. 14,113 Stocks Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation Deposito IDR 3 bln 5.67 Kredit Bank IDR 12.74 BI 7-Days RR 5.00% 2.98% Fed Funds Target 1.25 2.50% EC B Main Refinancing 1.20% Domestic Yen Interest C all (0.04) 0.70% Real interest rate 0.02 1.23 (0.01) (0.05)     TOWR (Buy, Support: Rp845, Resist: Rp870) BTPS (Buy, Support: Rp3.980, Resist: Rp4.150) MDKA (Buy, Support: Rp1.270, Resist: Rp1.305) JSMR (Buy, Support: Rp4.840, Resist: Rp4.930) Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl C PO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Sumber : B lo o mberg Penutupan 45.9 604.5 1.57 12,836 17,015 1,672.2 66.4 146.5 3.7 8.8 5,655.3 Ret 1 year (%) +/- Ret 1 day (%) -18.4% 16.8% -22.2% -5.4% -21.2% 30.0% -32.3% -7.0% 8.5% 1.9% -13.6% -0.9 6.9 0.0 216.0 101.0 35.3 0.7 8.1 0.0 -0.1 -8.3 -1.88% 1.16% -1.10% 1.71% 0.60% 2.16% 0.99% 5.84% -0.80% -1.12% -0.15% ETFs    R-LQ45X (Buy on Weakness, Support: Rp955, Resist: Rp972) XIIC (Buy, Support: Rp1.044, Resist: Rp1.060) XDIF (Buy on Weakness, Support: Rp451, Resist: Rp460) News Highlight PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) menargetkan pertumbuhan laba 9,84 persen menjadi Rp561 miliar sepanjang 2020. Target laba tersebut akan ditopang oleh perolehan pendapatan sebanyak Rp9,49 triliun. Jumlah tersebut meningkat 34 persen dibandingkan dengan tahun lalu. Adapun, pada 2019 realisasi belanja modal perseroan mencapai Rp364,75 miliar. Sebesar 69 persen dari dana tersebut digunakan untuk peningkatan kapasitas produksi, sedangkan 15 persen digunakan untuk pengembangan quarry. Sementara itu, kebutuhan divisi operasi menyerap sekitar 9 persen dari belanja modal pada tahun lalu. Sisa belanja modal digunakan untuk pengembangan ready mix concrete dan perlengkapan kantor, masingmasing 5 persen dan dua persen. Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Pacific Century Place 16th Floor SCBD Lot 10 Jl . Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jakarta Selatan 12190 - Indonesia p +62.21.5088.7200 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.