Indonesia: Markets Evening Update - 28 March

Transcription

1. 28 March 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 7,088.3 5,945.2 -854.0 -315.4 6,922.7 H-1 6,216.9 5,325.7 -906.4 80.9 6,912.5 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,679 743 2,605 1,149 1,057 1,241 1,847 504 910 -7.8% 28.2% 7.6% 32.3% -2.9% -14.2% 23.7% 0.3% 1.4% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% -0.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% -0.3% 3.9% 7.8% -9.0% 0.7% -10.7% -10.2% 15.9% 1.6% -1.2% Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 1 year return 6,209 3,439 1,862 1,803 2,452 33,174 30,791 21,317 5,944 83,808 23,858 2,934 7,000 12.1% 8.9% 6.2% 14.3% 13.3% 12.8% 26.5% 11.0% 1.4% 29.7% 15.2% -6.4% -4.7% 1 day return 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 2.7% 0.7% -1.5% -1.4% 1.3% 1.6% YT D return -2.3% 1.1% 3.7% 2.8% -2.0% -2.6% 2.9% -8.4% -4.2% 9.7% -3.5% -7.7% -8.9% Closing US$ 26.13 0.060 0.032 13,738 IDR 1,794.9 818.5 443.3 +/- Daily % chg -0.31 -1.17% 0.00 -2.04% -0.01 -29.73% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 65.3 629.4 1.74 12,948 20,945 1,345.1 96.9 146.5 3.5 9.9 6,606.5 36.7% -9.8% -43.7% 33.4% 7.3% 7.4% 19.7% -7.0% 3.3% 3.6% 15.2% ITMG 28.125 1.450 SMAR 4.100 600 INTP 16.475 925 JEC C 5.000 500 UNVR 49.400 600 INAF BDMN 5.250 6.525 250 225 BBNI LPPF 8.650 10.600 550 325 Source : IPOT Top Foreign Buy Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 26,5 11.339 BMRI 135,2 172.922 INDY 24,8 69.591 BBNI 134,0 154.130 TLKM 18,1 49.944 BBRI 124,9 354.924 INKP 17,1 14.881 ASII 75,8 105.792 GGRM 11,9 1.659 UNTR 43,4 13.591 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) +/- NBVal (B) BBC A Real interest rate -0.3 -0.8 0.0 44.5 25.0 -8.4 0.3 8.1 0.0 -0.1 50.5 Last (Rp) Change(-) 1.000 Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Ticker 13.000 Source : IPOT Latest Interest Inflation 5.71 13.80 4.25% 3.18% 1.75 2.20% 1.10% (0.07) 1.50% Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) GMTD Ticker Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Top Gainer Ticker Indeks Saham Index Indeks harga saham gabungan kembali bergerak melemah di sepanjang perdagangan merespon penurunan indeks global dan regional yang dipicu oleh aksi jual saham di sektor teknologi. IHSG ditutup melemah -68 poin (-1,10%) di level 6.140. Sektor aneka industri dan keuangan yang masing-masing terkoreksi -28 poin (-2,10%) dan -16 poin (-1,39%) menjadi penekan utama indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -22 poin (-0,16%) di level 13.764. Selain itu investor asing tercatat melanjutkan aksi jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 562,4B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) -0.46% -0.12% 0.00% 0.34% 0.12% -0.62% 0.31% 5.84% 0.00% -0.80% 0.77% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,100 1,575 820 1,330 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 38.03% 58.73% 58.54% 12.78% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 16,475 3,670 9,875 15,000 375 11,500 -8.95% -89.78% 16.46% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,100 2,680 2,530 1,695 515 416 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 28.57% 75.37% 30.43% 71.09% 45.63% 49.04% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,475 7,125 49,400 4,010 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 9.73% 36.14% 18.02% 2.24% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,440 8,125 2,120 3,430 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 28.47% 32.92% 13.21% 118.66% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,490 2,280 1,160 6,150 2,100 1,580 36.97% -7.89% 36.21% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,700 1,285 1,825 18,500 1,900 2,100 35.04% 47.86% 15.07% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 218 382 1,740 1,145 478 895 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 92.66% 9.95% 37.93% 18.34% 197.07% 49.72% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,850 3,570 2,520 7,200 5,120 4,670 48.45% 43.42% 85.32% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,370 5,600 4,550 6,400 35.01% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,040 31,800 2,750 2,900 40,000 4,500 42.16% 25.79% 63.64% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,600 9,900 -6.60% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 545 172 288 585 830 825 270 380 655 1,350 51.38% 56.98% 31.94% 11.97% 62.65% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.