Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 20 April

Transcription

1. 20 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 7,502.1 5,842.9 213.1 112.5 7,086.1 H-1 7,967.0 5,733.2 -223.7 -79.3 7,046.1 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,725 798 2,667 1,148 1,077 1,311 1,959 510 937 -6.5% 32.1% 9.8% 31.3% -1.9% -9.9% 27.5% 1.6% 3.2% Penutupan 1 year return 6,356 3,599 1,895 1,795 2,486 34,427 30,708 22,191 5,976 85,824 24,665 3,040 7,329 13.6% 14.7% 8.8% 14.6% 15.7% 17.0% 27.6% 20.4% 2.1% 34.6% 19.9% -2.3% 3.0% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 0.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 2.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 6.7% 15.7% -6.8% 0.6% -9.1% -5.1% 22.9% 3.0% 1.6% Di akhir pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan hampir bergerak melemah di sepanjang perdagangan. Terkoreksinya indeks bursa global dan regional, turunnya harga komoditas nikel dan minyak mentah serta berlanjutnya pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah menjadi katalis negatif yang menekan laju indeks. IHSG ditutup terkoreksi -18 poin (-0,29%) di level 6.337. Sektor aneka industri dan konsumsi yang masing-masing berkurang -17 poin (-1,36%) dan -33 poin (-1,27%) menjadi penekan utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Selain itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -108 poin (-0,78%) di level 13.893. sedangkan investor asing kembali mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 137,1B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Top Gainer 1 day return YT D return 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% -0.3% -0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 5.8% 5.5% 2.4% 0.4% 1.1% 2.6% -3.0% -3.3% 12.3% -0.2% -4.3% -4.7% Ticker TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ 1,870.1 918.0 765.0 +/- Daily % -0.07 0.00 0.00 chg -0.26% 1.89% 7.14% Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.71 13.91 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.40% 1.30% (0.07) 1.10% Real interest rate 1.400 GGRM 75.800 1.175 UNTR 36.850 625 UNVR 51.125 975 INPS 3.030 600 INTP 18.425 400 FASW MAPI 5.825 8.325 300 250 PBSA TKIM 1.080 8.800 200 200 Source : IPOT Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 68.3 617.3 1.76 15,021 21,695 1,345.6 93.8 146.5 3.6 10.1 6,941.5 35.4% -2.5% -31.5% 61.7% 9.6% 5.0% 11.5% -7.0% 4.7% 9.7% 25.7% Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 179.930 UNTR 56,9 PGAS 46,6 203.923 UNVR 51,3 10.019 PTBA 46,1 138.001 BBTN 50,3 137.168 TLKM 26,3 70.355 BMRI 48,3 60.460 SMSM 19,5 133.842 HMSP 31,6 78.140 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) +/- Top Foreign Sell NBLot 65,6 Source : IPOT -0.2 -1.3 0.0 -203.5 35.0 -3.8 1.1 8.1 0.0 -0.1 -38.8 NBVal (B) BBRI Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Last (Rp) Change(-) 8.600 Top Foreign Buy IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Ticker IBST Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 27.15 0.067 0.056 13,776 Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ret 1 day (%) -0.26% -0.21% 0.00% -1.34% 0.16% -0.28% 1.19% 5.84% -0.28% -0.71% -0.56% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report 15.541
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,575 1,575 1,010 1,465 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 29.37% 58.73% 28.71% 2.39% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 18,425 3,700 10,125 15,000 375 11,500 -18.59% -89.86% 13.58% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,160 2,800 2,430 1,690 510 418 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 25.00% 67.86% 35.80% 71.60% 47.06% 48.33% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,400 7,100 51,125 4,030 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 10.71% 36.62% 14.03% 1.74% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,595 8,225 1,940 3,310 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 15.99% 31.31% 23.71% 126.59% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,470 2,320 1,160 6,150 2,100 1,580 37.58% -9.48% 36.21% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,300 1,320 1,920 18,500 1,900 2,100 39.10% 43.94% 9.38% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 226 382 1,840 1,230 478 1,040 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 85.84% 9.95% 30.43% 10.16% 197.07% 28.85% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,630 3,740 2,490 7,200 5,120 4,670 55.51% 36.90% 87.55% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,320 5,325 4,550 6,400 37.05% 20.19% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,230 36,850 3,620 1,295 2,900 40,000 4,500 1,370 30.04% 8.55% 24.31% 5.79% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 11,000 9,900 -10.00% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 545 184 290 585 825 750 270 380 655 1,350 37.61% 46.74% 31.03% 11.97% 63.64% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.