Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 13 April

Transcription

1. 13 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,514.4 4,980.4 -752.1 -122.7 7,035.8 H-1 7,274.8 6,189.1 -120.8 -78.7 7,091.7 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,702 775 2,642 1,140 1,096 1,304 1,901 511 934 -8.0% 27.6% 8.7% 29.9% -0.6% -9.8% 22.9% 0.9% 1.9% Penutupan 1 year return 6,311 3,469 1,874 1,767 2,443 34,101 30,831 21,660 5,911 85,444 24,483 3,042 7,258 12.4% 9.4% 7.8% 11.2% 13.7% 15.7% 27.1% 17.5% -0.2% 36.0% 19.7% -3.3% -0.9% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.7% -0.3% -0.9% -0.5% -1.6% -2.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.7% 5.3% 12.4% -7.7% -0.1% -7.4% -5.6% 19.2% 3.1% 1.4% Di akhir pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak bervariasi cenderung melemah di sepanjang perdagangan. Moody’s yang menaikkan peringkat utang Indonesia ke Baa2 dari sebelumnya Baa3 sempat di respon positif saat pembukaan market. Di sisi lain investor yang masih khawatir terkait ketegangan geopolitik di Suriah menjadi faktor penurunan indeks untuk hari ini. IHSG ditutup melemah -40 poin (-0,64%) di level 6.270. Sektor aneka industri dan infrastruktur yang masing-masing terkoreksi -26 poin (-2,00%) dan -21 poin (-1,97%) menjadi penekan utama penurunan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +23 poin (+0,17%) di level 13.755. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 411B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return YT D return -0.8% -0.3% 0.2% 0.2% -0.1% 0.5% -0.2% -0.1% -0.2% 0.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% -0.7% 1.9% 4.3% 0.8% -0.9% 0.1% 3.0% -3.9% -4.0% 11.8% -1.0% -4.3% -5.6% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) SMMA 9.800 1.200 MKPI 25.000 1.800 GDYR 2.180 380 UNVR 50.200 1.500 BLTZ 9.800 300 GGRM 76.000 650 MLBI INPS 16.750 1.250 250 250 GHON BBC A 1.575 22.900 465 250 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.03 0.065 0.052 13,759 IDR 1,859.5 899.4 712.7 +/- Daily % chg -3.12% -5.36% 0.00% -0.87 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.70 13.70 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.40% 1.40% (0.05) 1.50% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.06) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 67.1 623.4 1.78 13,671 20,980 1,334.8 93.7 146.5 3.6 10.3 6,787.3 26.3% -6.4% -35.6% 41.2% 8.2% 3.6% 10.8% -7.0% 4.0% 11.5% 21.2% +/0.3 -2.1 0.0 -149.5 -72.0 -18.6 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.1 -125.0 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBNI 46,7 53.237 BBC A 178,7 77.637 WSKT 14,6 57.798 TLKM 75,2 203.939 INKP 13,9 11.350 ASII 73,9 96.658 BMRI 13,9 17.201 BBRI 55,7 155.575 INC O 13,3 41.584 PTBA 40,0 116.614 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 0.37% -0.33% -0.80% -1.08% -0.34% -1.37% 0.00% 5.84% 0.55% 1.25% -1.81% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,725 1,595 975 1,415 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 26.86% 56.74% 33.33% 6.01% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 18,775 3,460 10,200 15,000 375 11,500 -20.11% -89.16% 12.75% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,120 2,800 2,500 1,700 515 452 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 27.36% 67.86% 32.00% 70.59% 45.63% 37.17% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,350 7,125 51,700 4,060 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 11.38% 36.14% 12.77% 0.99% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,595 8,425 2,070 3,480 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 15.99% 28.19% 15.94% 115.52% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,660 2,350 1,115 6,150 2,100 1,580 31.97% -10.64% 41.70% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,575 1,375 1,945 18,500 1,900 2,100 36.28% 38.18% 7.97% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 224 390 1,775 1,240 480 995 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 87.50% 7.69% 35.21% 9.27% 195.83% 34.67% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,780 3,750 2,680 7,200 5,120 4,670 50.63% 36.53% 74.25% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,460 5,775 4,550 6,400 31.50% 10.82% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,110 35,200 3,100 1,230 2,900 40,000 4,500 1,370 37.44% 13.64% 45.16% 11.38% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,850 9,900 -8.76% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 555 168 294 585 830 750 270 380 655 1,350 35.14% 60.71% 29.25% 11.97% 62.65% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.