Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 11 May

Transcription

1. 11 May 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,628.2 7,211.8 -328.6 -199.3 6,586.7 H-1 5,781.4 5,581.3 -180.9 -88.2 6,438.2 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,517 757 2,470 1,071 1,020 1,234 1,766 447 879 -14.9% 25.1% -0.4% 17.9% -10.0% -15.4% 31.1% -8.3% -3.2% Penutupan 1 year return 5,908 3,538 1,847 1,747 2,464 35,246 30,809 22,497 6,216 85,861 24,740 3,134 7,701 4.5% 8.1% 4.0% 12.7% 7.3% 16.5% 22.6% 12.7% 5.1% 27.1% 18.3% -3.6% 4.3% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -1.3% 0.1% 3.4% 3.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% -6.1% 9.9% -13.7% -6.1% -13.8% -10.7% 10.8% -9.9% -4.6% Indeks harga saham gabungan mengawali perdagangan akhir pekan ini di teritori positif dan bertahan hingga akhir sesi merespon sentimen positif dari menguatnya indeks bursa global serta naiknya harga komoditas minyak mentah dan batubara. Selain itu, adanya kemungkinan BI menaikkan suku bunga untuk menahan pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah menambah katalis positif bagi indeks. IHSG ditutup menguat +48 poin (+0,83%) di level 5.956. Sektor industri dasar dan ritel yang masing-masing bertambah +19 poin (+2,56%) dan +20 poin (+2,33%) menyumbang kenaikan terbesar indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +124 poin (+0,88%) di level 13.960. sedangkan investor asing masih mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 139,2B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return YT D return 2.3% -0.3% 1.0% -0.6% 0.8% -0.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 1.9% 0.8% -0.2% 0.5% -7.0% 4.0% 2.8% -0.4% 0.4% 3.5% 3.0% -0.5% 1.1% 12.4% 0.1% -1.4% 0.2% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) ITMG 25.625 2.425 BLTZ 8.100 900 UNTR 35.375 2.300 INDR 3.060 640 INTP 18.875 1.150 UNVR 49.000 450 LPPF NIKL 9.400 4.260 700 470 BRAM SMAR 5.150 3.400 350 300 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 27.04 0.055 0.048 14,052 IDR 1,899.8 770.2 669.8 +/- Daily % chg 0.33% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.68 13.88 4.25% 3.41% 1.75 2.50% 1.20% (0.04) 1.10% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.05) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 71.4 588.6 1.72 13,820 20,865 1,321.6 101.5 146.5 3.7 9.9 6,884.0 50.8% -8.4% -31.5% 52.2% 5.7% 7.9% 37.0% -7.0% 6.6% 5.8% 25.7% +/0.2 -0.5 0.0 -43.5 -335.0 8.9 0.8 8.1 0.0 0.1 109.8 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBNI 60,7 72.902 TLKM 145,0 396.204 BMRI 43,6 58.619 BBRI 67,6 212.714 LPPF 36,0 38.953 ADRO 44,6 259.449 UNTR 29,7 8.406 ASII 41,1 57.622 WSKT 27,8 134.109 LINK 34,3 63.535 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 0.31% -0.08% 0.00% -0.31% -1.58% 0.68% 0.79% 5.84% -0.27% 0.56% 1.62% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,050 1,625 1,100 1,440 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 39.01% 53.85% 18.18% 4.17% BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 7,200 3,160 22,750 8,275 3,060 9,500 3,800 22,000 10,200 4,175 31.94% 20.25% -3.30% 23.26% 36.44% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 18,875 3,470 9,200 15,000 375 8,830 -20.53% -89.19% -4.02% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,810 2,260 2,060 1,380 460 378 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 49.17% 107.96% 60.19% 110.14% 63.04% 64.02% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,375 6,500 49,000 3,730 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 11.04% 49.23% 18.98% 9.92% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,450 6,475 1,800 3,200 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 27.59% 66.80% 33.33% 134.38% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD HOLD BUY 4,140 1,965 1,115 6,150 2,270 1,580 48.55% 15.52% 41.70% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 12,500 1,100 1,915 18,500 1,900 2,100 48.00% 72.73% 9.66% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 200 340 1,675 1,005 404 880 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 110.00% 23.53% 43.28% 34.83% 251.49% 52.27% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,460 3,630 1,975 7,200 5,120 4,670 108.09% 41.05% 136.46% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 2,900 5,025 4,550 6,400 56.90% 27.36% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,715 3,450 35,375 3,220 1,235 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 51.60% 13.04% 18.73% 39.75% 10.93% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 9,400 9,900 5.32% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 520 149 284 575 820 700 270 380 655 1,350 34.62% 81.21% 33.80% 13.91% 64.63% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.