Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 26 September

Transcription

1. 26 September 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,597.0 4,063.7 19.5 35.4 6,549.2 H-1 6,883.1 4,637.6 587.3 -150.2 6,558.0 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,559 799 2,453 1,061 1,015 1,231 1,942 418 818 -12.7% 30.2% -1.7% 5.7% -16.6% -6.3% 37.7% -16.2% -10.4% Penutupan 1 year return Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -0.5% -1.6% 0.1% -0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% -0.6% -0.4% -3.5% 16.0% -14.3% -7.0% -14.3% -10.9% 21.9% -15.7% -11.3% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,874 3,236 1,794 1,748 2,323 36,652 27,499 23,940 6,299 78,630 26,492 3,067 7,508 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 4.7% -2.7% 16.0% 0.0% 17.8% 9.9% 5.8% 18.9% -2.4% 3.0% 1 day return Di sepanjang perdagangan hari ini indeks harga saham gabungan hampir konsisten bergerak menguat. Naiknya harga komoditas minyak mentah, CPO dan emas menjadi sentimen positif yang mendorong penguatan tersebut. Meski begitu, investor yang masih dibayangi oleh perang dagang antara Amerika dengan china serta keputusan tingkat suku bunga yang akan diumumkan oleh the Fed pada hari Kamis dini hari nanti membuat indeks kembali memasuki teritori negatif. IHSG ditutup melemah -1 poin (-0,02%) di level 5.873. Sektor ritel dan konsumsi yang masing-masing berkurang -4 poin (-0,55%) dan -10 poin (-0,43%) menjadi sektor yang menekan pergerakan indeks hari ini. Nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +5 poin (+0,03%) di level 14.912. Investor asing mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 72,8B di pasar reguler. YT D return -0.1% 0.5% -0.3% -0.1% 0.6% 1.0% -1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.8% -0.3% 0.6% 0.7% -7.6% -4.9% -0.1% -0.3% -5.2% 7.6% -8.1% 4.8% 2.4% 2.9% 7.2% -3.5% -2.3% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) NIKL 4.330 850 DSSA 12.350 2.125 MLBI 15.850 850 GGRM 72.750 1.250 INTP 17.000 550 UNTR 31.125 1.025 MAYA SONA 6.000 5.850 400 350 MREI HEXA 5.300 3.060 700 300 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 24.00 0.039 0.029 14,866 IDR 1,783.9 577.1 437.2 +/- Daily % chg 0.25% 3.13% -3.85% 0.06 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 6.02 13.64 5.50% 3.20% 2.00 2.70% 2.00% (0.06) 1.30% Real interest rate 0.02 1.97 (0.02) (0.07) Top Foreign Buy Ticker BBC A Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 72.3 527.1 1.53 12,861 18,905 1,201.3 113.7 146.5 3.1 8.0 6,314.8 39.3% -19.0% -22.2% 22.6% -9.7% -7.2% 17.3% -7.0% -5.6% -16.0% -1.4% +/0.2 4.4 0.0 -3.5 -84.0 2.2 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 -40.3 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 198,1 81.738 UNTR 263,0 83.940 ASII 99,2 134.655 PNLF 45,2 1.800.000 SMSM 54,9 395.191 BBRI 36,1 119.989 TKIM 42,9 31.567 TRAM 25,2 1.200.000 TLKM 36,6 102.772 BDMN 24,6 34.483 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 0.28% 0.83% -1.10% -0.03% -0.44% 0.18% -0.04% 5.84% 0.00% 0.60% -0.63% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,350 1,395 975 1,390 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 33.33% 79.21% 33.33% 7.91% Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBNI BBTN BUY BUY BUY BUY 6,600 2,990 7,325 2,640 8,300 3,400 8,900 3,070 25.76% 13.71% 21.50% 16.29% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,000 2,540 9,150 12,900 320 9,225 -24.12% -87.40% 0.82% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,400 1,525 1,690 1,355 358 356 2,700 2,950 2,300 2,900 500 440 92.86% 93.44% 36.09% 114.02% 39.66% 23.60% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur H.M. Sampoerna Mayora Indah ICBP INDF HMSP MYOR BUY BUY BUY SELL 8,600 5,975 3,730 2,740 10,150 8,200 3,950 2,700 18.02% 37.24% 5.90% -1.46% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada Industri Jamu Farmasi Sido Muncul KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA SIDO HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY HOLD 1,320 2,990 1,800 2,870 855 1,350 10,800 2,400 7,500 970 2.27% 261.20% 33.33% 161.32% 13.45% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR BUY BUY BUY 4,390 2,140 955 6,150 2,500 1,580 40.09% 16.82% 65.45% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Salim Invomas Bisi International AALI LSIP SIMP BISI BUY BUY SELL HOLD 12,200 1,280 488 1,610 16,000 1,250 340 1,600 31.15% -2.34% -30.33% -0.62% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY HOLD 150 280 1,115 790 340 595 420 420 2,200 1,355 1,420 720 180.00% 50.00% 97.31% 71.52% 317.65% 21.01% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL HOLD HOLD BUY 2,980 3,540 2,810 3,500 3,700 3,500 17.45% 4.52% 24.56% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 478 5,600 4,550 6,400 851.88% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Indo Tambangraya Megah United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA ITMG UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,815 4,110 25,450 31,125 3,690 900 2,450 5,100 29,000 42,000 4,500 1,250 34.99% 24.09% 13.95% 34.94% 21.95% 38.89% Retail : Ace Hardware Indonesia Matahari Department Store Ramayana Lestari Sentosa ACES LPPF RALS BUY BUY HOLD 1,435 6,700 1,330 1,540 10,200 1,550 7.32% 52.24% 16.54% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 490 128 174 530 545 700 250 380 655 1,350 42.86% 95.31% 118.39% 23.58% 147.71% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
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