Login Get Started
HelpDesk
 Embed  Download
  of  

or
Sign in to continue reading...

Indonesia: Consumer Expectation Survey - July 2017

IM Research
By IM Research
7 years ago
Indonesia: Consumer Expectation Survey - July 2017

Mal

Create FREE account or Login to add your comment
Comments (0)


Transcription

  1. CONSUMER SURVEY July 2017  The Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey indicated that consumers were more upbeat in July 2017, reflecting a 1.0-point bump in the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) on the previous period to 123.4, driven by improving expectations of current business conditions and incomes, as well as job availability in the next six months. Meanwhile, respondents perceived more downbeat current economic conditions compared to the previous period due to declines in the conditions for buying durable goods and current incomes. Notwithstanding, the current job availability territory at a level below 100.  Res rising administered prices stoked price expectations for the next six months. The 6-Months Price Expectation Index (PEI) recorded at 171.5, up 4.0 points on the month earlier.  Consistent with the slight dip in current incomes, the average propensity to consume ratio decreased from 64.5% to 64.0%. Likewise, the savings to income ratio moderated from 21.0% to 20.6%, contrasting the increase in the average debt service to income ratio from 14.5% last month to 15.4%. Consumer Confidence Index Consumers were more upbeat in July 2017. The Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey indicated that consumers were more upbeat in July 2017, reflecting a 1.0-point bump in the CCI on the previous period to 123.4 (Graph 1). The increase affected nearly all respondent groups based on spending, particularly those with monthly expenses of Rp3-4 million and Rp1-2 million. In contrast, respondents spending more than Rp5 million per month were less optimistic, with the corresponding CCI falling 3.3 points (Table 4). Graph 1. Consumer Confidence Index Methodology ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The Consumer Survey has been conducted monthly since October 1999. Moreover, since January 2007 the Survey has involved 4,600 households as respondents (stratified random sampling) in 18 cities, namely Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Medan, Makassar, Bandar Lampung, Palembang, Banjarmasin, Padang, Pontianak, Samarinda, Manado, Denpasar, Mataram, Pangkal Pinang, Ambon and Banten. The index of each city is calculated using the balanced score method (net balance + 100), which indicates that a score of 100 is considered optimistic and an index of below 100 is pessimistic. Real Sector Statistics Division 1
  2. Consumer Survey Respondents from cities on the island of Java reported the strongest CCI gains , especially in Bandung (5.3 points), Jakarta (3.5 points), Surabaya (2.3 points) and Semarang (2.1 points). Meanwhile, CCI declines reported from respondents on Kalimantan and Sulawesi. Current Economic Condition Index Consumers perceived more downbeat current economic conditions. Consumers perceived more downbeat current economic conditions compared to the previous period, with the Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) falling 0.5 points to 113.2 in July 2017 due to declines of 3.1 points and 0.1 points respectively in the conditions for buying durable goods index and current income index. Conversely, the current job availability index gained 1.7 points on the month earlier but remained in pessimistic territory at a level below 100 (Graph 2). Graph 2. Current Economic Condition Index by Components Respondents spending more than Rp5 million per month reported the most significant CECI decline, in line with the conditions for buying durable goods index that decreased by 15.4 points on the position in the previous period (Graph 3). Graph 3. Buying Durable Goods Index by Spending Level Real Sector Statistics Division 2
  3. Consumer Survey Consumer Expectation Index Rising component indexes edged up consumer expectations . Consumers were more upbeat on expected economic conditions in the next six months (January 2018), indicated by a Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) of 133.6 in July 2017, up 2.6 points on the previous period. All component indexes contributed to the increase, especially the business expectations index, which climbed 3.5 points to 138.2. Congruent with improving business expectations, the income expectations index and the future job availability index posted respective gains of 2.9 and 1.3 points on the previous period (Graph 4). Graph 4. Consumer Expectation Index by Components Respondents from nearly all spending levels confirmed an uptick in the business expectations index, contrasting those spending more than Rp5 million monthly, who still acknowledged a decline (Graph 5). Based on employment, respondents from the formal sector reported a gain of 6.4 points in the business expectations index, surpassing the 2.4-point increase reported by those working in the informal sector (Graph 6). Graph 5. Business Expectations Index by Spending Level Real Sector Statistics Division 3
  4. Consumer Survey Graph 6 . Business Expectations Index by Employment Category Consumer Financial Conditions Households were less inclined to consume. In July 2017, households were less inclined to consume or save after allocating more income to repaying outstanding loans, reflecting an increase in the average debt service to income ratio from 14.5% last month to 15.4%. On the other hand, the average propensity to consume ratio fell from 64.5% to 64.0% and the savings to income ratio moderated from 21.0% to 20.6% (Graph 7). Graph 7. Distribution of Household Income Allocation Households from nearly all spending levels were less inclined to consume, particularly those spending Rp1-2 million per month, with the respective average propensity to consume ratio decreasing from 69.1% to 66.4%, while the ratio for those with a monthly spend exceeding Rp5 million fell from 61.6% to 59.7% (Table 5). Real Sector Statistics Division 4
  5. Consumer Survey Respondents predicted debt to increase more sharply than savings in the next six months . Respondents predicted the level of debt to increase more sharply than savings in the next six months (January 2018), reflected by an increase of 11.4 points in the 6-month debt expectation index to 158.2, exceeding the corresponding 6-month savings expectation index of 111.2, up 1.0 points on the month earlier (Graph 8). Graph 8. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months Price Expectations Index Respondents predicted a slight build-up of inflationary pressures in the upcoming three months. Respondents predicted rising prices to accelerate in October 2017, indicated by a 3-month PEI of 164.8, up 0.9 points on the 163.9 posted last period (Graph 9). Regionally, respondents in eight cities confirmed an upswing in the 3-month PEI, most significantly in Banten (23.5 points) and Mataram (10.0 points). Graph 9. Price Expectation Index for the next 3 months rising administered prices (AP) stoked price expectations for the beginning of 2018. rising administered prices stoked price expectations for the next six months (January 2018), with the 6-month PEI recorded at 171.5, up 4.0 points from 167.5 one month earlier (Graph 10). Real Sector Statistics Division 5
  6. Consumer Survey Regionally , the 6-month PEI was reported to rise in 13 of the cities surveyed, particularly in Banten (24.0 points) and Bandar Lampung (17.0 points). Graph 10. Price Expectation Index for the next 6 months Real Sector Statistics Division 6
  7. Table 1 . Consumer Confidence and Price Expectations (Index) Descriptions 2015 2016 2017 Changes Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 111.3 109.9 112.6 97.5 99.3 103.7 107.5 112.6 110.0 109.8 109.0 112.1 113.7 114.2 113.3 110.0 116.8 115.9 115.4 115.3 117.1 121.5 123.7 125.9 122.4 123.4 1.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 100.3 98.8 101.2 87.8 87.5 92.6 94.0 99.9 98.7 96.6 94.7 96.5 99.9 101.2 97.2 96.0 103.2 102.8 102.9 104.2 105.2 108.7 112.1 115.0 113.7 113.2 -0.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 122.4 120.9 124.0 107.2 111.2 114.8 121.0 125.4 121.3 123.1 123.2 127.7 127.6 127.1 129.5 124.0 130.4 129.0 128.0 126.4 129.1 134.4 135.4 136.9 131.0 133.6 2.6 - Current Incomes 120.5 114.6 121.6 108.1 106.7 109.3 112.3 117.7 120.0 115.5 110.9 114.8 116.2 119.5 117.4 116.5 119.1 117.0 117.9 118.5 118.2 120.6 124.0 124.0 127.0 126.9 -0.1 - Employment Conditions 86.1 84.9 85.0 68.6 66.8 76.8 78.5 88.0 81.9 79.3 80.0 80.7 87.0 85.8 79.0 79.5 89.0 87.8 88.6 88.8 90.5 95.1 98.8 104.9 96.6 98.3 1.7 - Buying Durable Goods Conditions 94.3 97.0 97.1 86.7 88.9 91.7 91.2 93.8 94.2 95.0 93.2 94.0 96.3 98.3 95.3 92.1 101.6 103.5 102.1 105.4 106.9 110.3 113.4 116.0 117.5 114.4 -3.1 - Current Incomes Expectation 138.7 137.7 143.4 128.8 131.0 133.1 139.6 143.0 141.1 138.6 137.7 141.3 138.4 139.2 142.0 138.9 140.5 141.4 141.2 142.9 140.8 144.1 145.4 148.2 141.7 144.6 2.9 - Employment Conditions Expectation 105.9 104.7 107.3 85.7 92.4 96.8 103.5 105.0 98.4 102.7 105.0 110.8 115.6 110.5 111.1 104.7 114.5 110.5 110.4 111.3 117.0 123.1 122.2 124.8 116.6 117.9 1.3 - Business Activities Expectation 122.5 120.4 121.3 106.9 110.2 114.4 120.0 128.1 124.3 128.1 126.9 130.9 128.7 131.7 135.3 128.3 136.2 135.0 132.3 125.1 129.4 136.0 138.5 137.7 134.7 138.2 3.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 162.0 144.4 155.0 164.5 151.7 152.3 160.6 158.1 164.4 171.4 174.0 171.3 156.4 143.7 151.1 168.7 165.6 164.9 162.8 171.8 170.8 171.7 176.5 177.0 163.9 164.8 0.9 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 172.9 162.1 163.6 162.8 157.4 160.5 173.8 169.2 170.7 164.2 157.7 164.9 162.1 155.2 158.9 161.7 158.3 163.5 171.6 176.0 174.8 166.1 169.0 166.5 167.5 171.5 4.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 175.9 171.1 171.4 168.1 164.0 169.0 176.2 168.3 173.3 171.5 165.4 168.1 165.5 164.1 165.0 174.0 170.3 167.1 169.0 174.8 176.1 174.5 178.1 176.4 176.0 177.1 1.1 (Jul-Jun) A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index Consumer Expectation Index B. Price Expectations Index Real Sector Statistics Division 7
  8. Table 2 . Respondent Profiles (percentages) Descriptions 2015 2016 2017 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul - Male 46.1 45.6 46.2 48.0 47.1 47.9 47.6 46.1 46.6 48.1 46.9 43.9 43.6 44.7 44.7 46.6 45.8 45.5 45.1 45.6 49.0 47.6 46.3 46.4 46.5 44.9 - Female 53.9 54.4 53.8 52.0 52.9 52.1 52.4 53.9 53.4 51.9 53.1 56.1 56.4 55.3 55.3 53.4 54.2 54.5 54.9 54.4 51.0 52.4 53.7 53.6 53.5 55.1 - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 22.9 25.3 22.7 22.6 24.3 25.1 25.4 24.9 24.2 23.8 22.9 23.2 22.6 22.8 23.1 23.8 26.1 23.4 22.8 22.9 21.8 21.9 23.2 21.1 21.8 22.2 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 30.9 32.1 32.5 32.5 32.1 32.1 30.4 33.6 31.6 32.6 34.4 33.7 34.7 35.3 35.0 33.7 32.0 32.7 32.0 27.4 28.0 26.8 27.8 30.3 29.1 28.2 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 22.9 20.4 21.3 22.6 21.4 20.9 21.4 21.3 21.6 21.6 22.0 22.7 23.6 21.9 22.5 23.6 21.3 22.8 23.7 22.4 23.8 24.7 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.4 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 10.9 10.5 11.6 11.1 9.9 10.0 10.6 9.8 10.7 9.8 10.1 9.7 10.0 9.2 9.8 9.4 9.9 10.6 11.2 10.2 9.8 10.7 10.7 10.3 10.1 10.5 - Over than Rp. 5 million 12.4 11.7 11.9 11.2 12.3 11.9 12.2 10.4 11.8 12.3 10.6 10.7 9.1 10.8 9.6 9.4 10.7 10.6 10.4 17.1 16.5 15.9 15.3 15.2 15.9 15.7 - 20-30 years 29.6 28.3 30.4 31.8 28.0 31.1 29.3 27.9 30.5 30.1 28.5 30.0 28.9 28.8 29.0 30.3 30.4 28.0 29.4 28.8 26.8 30.0 32.5 33.2 33.4 31.7 - 31-40 years 30.7 31.8 29.7 29.3 31.4 30.4 31.9 31.6 30.7 29.6 28.5 30.0 29.6 29.7 29.9 29.0 30.1 30.4 29.9 31.4 32.1 30.3 29.7 29.7 31.7 31.4 - 41-50 years 23.8 22.8 22.6 21.9 23.9 22.9 22.1 22.8 21.5 23.6 25.1 22.8 23.6 22.9 22.9 22.4 22.8 23.2 22.9 24.7 24.2 24.1 22.8 22.3 22.0 23.0 - 51-60 years 11.4 12.9 12.7 12.1 12.0 10.9 11.8 12.8 12.4 11.6 13.1 11.6 12.8 13.6 11.9 12.6 12.0 12.4 11.7 11.3 13.3 11.2 11.3 11.3 10.2 11.2 4.5 4.2 4.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.8 5.5 5.1 5.1 6.3 5.7 4.6 5.9 6.1 3.8 3.6 4.3 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.7 65.3 Gender Household Expenses Ages - 60 years above Educational Level - High School 62.7 62.4 60.1 61.4 65.1 63.5 63.4 63.3 63.7 66.7 67.4 67.0 68.0 66.2 66.6 64.3 63.6 64.0 64.5 61.7 66.0 62.6 64.5 62.6 64.0 - Diploma 8.9 9.8 9.2 9.2 9.8 9.5 10.3 10.6 9.4 8.8 8.2 8.4 9.5 8.2 8.3 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.3 10.5 8.2 11.1 10.9 10.2 9.8 9.5 - University 26.5 25.2 28.0 27.6 22.2 24.4 23.7 23.3 24.3 22.0 22.1 22.6 20.2 22.6 23.0 24.2 25.1 24.6 23.8 24.6 23.3 23.4 21.9 24.5 23.4 23.3 2.0 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.3 3.0 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.2 2.4 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.0 - Graduate/Post Graduate Real Sector Statistics Division 8
  9. Table 3 . CCI and CEI in 18 Cities Surveyed 2015 2016 2017 Changes Descriptions Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul (Jul-Jun) 1. DKI Jakarta - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 98.2 101.0 97.0 90.1 93.6 96.6 100.6 110.1 102.1 103.2 103.3 105.0 101.1 104.5 105.6 97.6 107.5 105.8 105.0 118.2 124.0 121.1 125.8 141.4 130.6 134.1 3.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 88.1 91.3 87.1 78.1 81.2 85.5 86.5 94.3 90.9 92.5 91.7 92.4 91.3 94.1 90.1 87.0 96.7 96.5 93.7 100.2 106.3 100.6 109.9 129.6 118.7 121.8 3.1 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 108.3 110.7 106.9 102.1 105.9 107.7 114.7 125.8 113.3 113.9 114.8 117.5 111.0 115.0 121.1 108.3 118.3 115.2 116.3 136.3 141.6 141.6 141.7 153.1 142.6 146.5 3.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 139.2 115.6 137.4 151.6 129.2 133.8 147.8 152.8 160.2 172.6 178.4 169.4 151.0 133.2 143.2 168.4 165.2 160.4 157.2 170.9 164.9 164.0 165.7 175.7 157.4 160.0 2.6 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 164.2 147.6 150.0 144.2 138.4 147.2 169.4 167.0 166.4 152.8 149.8 159.2 167.2 152.4 151.2 154.2 150.2 159.2 173.0 165.7 170.0 158.0 162.6 160.0 162.9 164.0 1.1 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 166.6 162.2 161.6 153.6 149.4 160.2 172.6 162.6 170.8 167.2 162.6 164.0 167.2 163.4 158.8 171.4 169.6 162.2 164.6 164.9 170.0 168.3 176.3 175.7 172.3 170.0 -2.3 106.8 107.1 103.1 82.6 87.8 88.4 94.4 101.6 100.1 95.8 98.8 106.4 109.1 114.0 115.7 117.9 117.8 120.6 121.0 118.8 121.1 125.0 126.7 128.8 124.1 129.4 5.3 88.8 89.6 87.7 65.8 64.8 69.3 71.6 79.3 81.0 74.0 79.1 83.7 85.4 88.0 90.1 94.4 95.9 98.3 100.8 103.8 103.3 105.0 111.6 108.3 110.2 111.6 1.4 2. Bandung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 124.9 124.6 118.6 99.3 110.8 107.4 117.3 123.8 119.1 117.6 118.6 129.2 132.7 140.0 141.2 141.3 139.7 142.9 141.2 133.8 138.9 145.0 141.9 149.3 138.0 147.2 9.2 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 176.3 153.3 152.0 149.0 140.7 149.3 150.0 135.3 141.0 149.7 135.7 165.0 148.0 134.3 135.7 155.3 151.3 151.3 139.0 170.7 165.3 172.0 179.8 177.3 164.4 164.7 0.3 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 168.7 159.7 159.3 155.7 148.7 158.3 164.0 148.3 160.3 160.7 149.3 165.0 155.7 144.3 155.7 156.3 162.0 158.7 151.7 169.1 170.4 165.6 171.8 162.2 165.1 168.9 3.8 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 174.7 171.3 166.7 156.7 155.7 166.3 169.3 156.7 155.0 165.3 156.7 166.7 166.0 158.0 163.0 174.0 171.3 162.7 161.3 174.9 172.2 173.8 182.4 177.3 178.9 178.0 -0.9 2.1 3. Semarang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 121.8 123.1 115.0 105.8 111.1 113.2 124.2 123.3 112.8 122.1 123.8 126.6 126.0 129.3 125.6 123.7 128.8 131.1 126.7 132.3 131.9 137.9 139.1 130.1 126.2 128.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 107.8 107.8 102.8 93.3 100.8 100.7 111.3 108.2 96.7 106.8 107.6 110.6 108.9 119.8 106.4 108.1 120.4 122.9 112.2 124.7 117.4 128.0 124.1 117.7 110.6 119.8 9.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 135.8 138.4 127.2 118.3 121.4 125.8 137.0 138.3 128.9 137.4 140.0 142.6 143.1 138.9 144.8 139.3 137.2 139.3 141.1 140.0 146.4 147.8 154.0 142.6 141.8 136.8 -5.0 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 190.7 182.7 166.3 177.0 166.3 147.3 163.3 147.3 160.7 170.3 176.3 170.7 164.0 130.3 158.7 160.7 158.0 168.3 173.3 178.3 174.3 155.3 170.3 137.7 140.3 149.7 9.4 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 186.3 182.0 175.0 179.3 167.3 152.7 164.0 161.7 169.0 184.0 176.3 175.3 171.7 145.3 167.0 168.0 154.7 167.0 177.0 186.3 181.0 168.7 151.3 171.3 185.0 166.3 -18.7 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 189.3 180.0 168.0 181.0 156.7 161.0 165.3 175.3 179.7 188.7 183.3 162.7 170.0 158.0 163.7 165.0 161.0 169.7 166.7 169.7 170.0 166.0 159.0 160.3 187.7 175.3 -12.4 4. Surabaya - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 114.8 106.7 126.8 99.7 104.0 114.9 112.4 118.1 115.6 116.2 107.8 110.2 114.2 117.1 113.9 101.0 122.6 114.6 115.7 113.7 120.6 119.2 123.3 123.2 125.7 128.0 2.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 106.4 98.5 112.5 95.1 96.8 106.7 100.8 111.3 111.9 105.2 94.8 97.3 103.1 106.1 101.3 89.1 110.0 103.6 105.4 105.7 114.3 111.5 114.2 115.7 125.9 119.5 -6.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 123.1 114.8 141.2 104.4 111.1 123.2 123.9 124.9 119.3 127.3 120.7 123.2 125.2 128.0 126.5 112.8 135.2 125.7 126.0 121.8 126.9 126.9 132.3 130.8 125.5 136.5 11.0 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 169.5 149.4 169.2 185.6 181.6 181.3 180.2 172.5 176.4 188.0 186.7 180.4 180.3 155.7 169.9 178.4 184.9 179.3 187.0 181.8 178.0 184.6 189.8 191.4 186.2 185.6 -0.6 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 183.6 184.7 181.4 187.4 185.4 184.6 189.0 191.5 187.8 176.2 180.0 187.6 178.1 161.4 173.5 169.9 179.6 170.7 183.2 184.0 189.0 185.2 190.6 188.0 185.0 191.6 6.6 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 191.3 193.3 192.5 193.5 194.1 193.8 196.1 194.1 196.5 184.1 192.0 190.8 186.6 186.5 185.3 187.0 188.3 183.9 192.9 179.6 188.4 188.2 193.8 190.0 194.2 191.4 -2.8 106.0 -7.7 5. Medan - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 106.3 107.4 108.1 95.2 100.3 94.4 94.8 111.4 97.1 106.5 104.1 101.9 105.8 107.2 108.1 106.1 104.5 110.2 96.3 106.2 114.4 115.4 124.8 125.7 118.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 103.2 102.8 103.8 92.9 91.0 94.1 87.5 106.7 94.4 104.4 101.5 99.9 96.4 101.2 98.9 104.0 104.0 98.5 104.8 87.8 100.4 109.7 110.5 121.0 119.8 110.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 109.5 112.0 112.4 97.5 109.6 94.8 102.0 116.2 99.8 108.6 106.8 112.1 107.4 110.5 115.4 112.3 108.1 110.5 115.6 104.8 112.1 119.0 120.3 128.6 131.6 125.5 -6.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 152.4 151.1 149.8 161.9 156.8 161.0 148.6 147.9 154.6 156.2 152.1 131.4 134.6 148.3 140.0 156.5 144.1 146.3 152.1 162.5 172.7 175.6 178.4 154.6 151.4 139.7 -11.7 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 156.5 146.0 154.6 153.7 153.7 144.8 153.0 156.2 151.4 135.7 131.4 127.6 112.7 148.9 140.0 143.3 124.4 135.2 154.0 166.7 147.0 140.6 144.1 142.5 147.6 158.7 11.1 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 158.4 149.8 156.2 155.2 156.5 149.2 148.6 136.8 153.3 138.1 136.2 131.4 129.8 146.7 145.7 146.7 127.9 133.0 138.1 162.5 151.7 148.6 141.6 150.5 151.7 153.3 1.6 -9.3 6. Palembang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 112.4 109.0 122.4 104.7 89.0 106.6 105.4 109.6 122.2 119.0 123.3 121.1 129.8 104.8 107.1 108.9 108.4 111.4 109.2 120.5 125.9 129.3 129.1 123.3 126.2 128.8 2.6 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 103.0 97.4 112.2 97.6 74.2 94.0 93.1 92.7 109.3 107.7 102.7 105.1 118.6 91.9 92.2 97.4 86.8 98.6 94.5 114.3 118.1 120.0 112.8 107.6 108.3 120.1 11.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 121.8 120.6 132.7 111.8 103.8 119.2 117.8 126.6 135.0 130.3 143.9 137.0 141.1 117.7 122.0 120.3 130.1 124.2 123.9 126.7 133.7 138.7 145.3 139.1 144.1 137.6 -6.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 183.7 175.7 176.7 190.7 171.0 169.7 180.3 176.3 183.0 180.0 193.7 180.7 170.3 176.0 165.3 175.3 171.7 182.0 180.6 183.0 176.0 173.7 178.7 187.7 174.3 164.7 -9.6 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 180.6 174.0 177.3 188.0 169.7 180.0 193.3 172.7 183.3 185.0 170.0 176.7 171.7 178.0 176.7 182.3 175.7 175.0 185.6 188.3 180.7 173.7 178.0 171.0 176.7 180.7 4.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 180.3 177.0 181.7 188.0 173.7 188.7 197.3 181.0 189.0 189.0 164.0 176.7 172.3 180.0 183.0 192.3 184.3 190.0 190.6 191.3 189.3 183.0 184.0 180.3 172.3 189.7 17.4 Real Sector Statistics Division 9
  10. 2015 2016 2017 Changes Descriptions Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul (Jul-Jun) 7. Banjarmasin - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 99.6 106.0 111.8 108.5 101.5 102.4 108.6 116.7 124.0 101.6 92.9 102.7 120.2 113.7 111.5 119.2 113.8 119.2 117.7 98.5 91.8 94.4 97.1 92.6 95.3 99.4 4.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 93.9 99.3 102.9 98.8 101.0 97.2 104.3 112.2 117.1 102.1 91.3 99.9 118.7 116.0 109.4 120.8 108.3 111.5 111.5 88.3 83.1 84.4 83.2 87.2 87.8 94.2 6.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 105.3 112.8 120.7 118.3 101.9 107.6 112.9 121.3 131.0 101.1 94.6 105.4 121.8 111.4 113.6 117.5 119.2 126.8 123.9 108.6 100.6 104.3 111.0 97.9 102.8 104.6 1.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 179.6 189.2 162.9 155.0 182.9 167.9 166.3 171.3 167.1 156.9 156.7 178.7 157.3 155.8 155.4 173.8 168.8 169.6 156.5 190.0 182.9 182.1 192.5 194.2 180.0 181.7 1.7 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 181.7 195.4 177.9 176.7 188.3 177.5 177.9 180.8 177.1 143.3 148.8 157.3 147.3 162.5 157.9 148.3 150.0 163.8 162.9 187.9 176.3 169.2 158.3 170.8 172.1 178.8 6.7 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 187.5 193.8 181.3 167.5 178.3 169.6 161.7 147.5 135.8 140.8 153.1 172.5 150.6 156.7 157.1 145.8 153.8 166.7 158.7 182.9 185.0 181.7 187.5 186.7 182.1 187.1 5.0 110.5 124.1 122.0 112.3 93.4 96.7 115.8 124.7 125.8 123.8 116.5 113.9 105.8 113.7 110.8 114.6 118.6 120.6 121.6 123.3 123.8 131.3 126.1 117.3 121.0 128.1 7.1 97.5 111.5 106.0 98.5 74.0 80.3 94.8 107.8 112.0 110.2 101.5 93.3 90.3 99.5 99.0 108.3 104.0 105.2 107.2 102.3 104.0 120.7 112.5 107.3 113.3 115.5 2.2 8. Bandar Lampung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 123.5 136.7 138.0 126.2 112.8 113.0 136.8 141.5 139.5 137.3 131.5 134.5 121.3 127.8 122.5 120.8 133.2 136.0 136.0 144.2 143.7 142.0 139.7 127.2 128.7 140.7 12.0 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 195.0 164.0 176.0 181.5 163.5 162.5 168.0 166.0 182.5 184.0 188.0 196.5 128.0 143.5 149.5 150.5 160.0 159.0 159.5 182.0 180.5 191.0 187.5 198.5 181.5 170.0 -11.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 196.5 155.5 182.0 184.0 157.0 160.0 176.5 178.5 190.5 194.5 161.5 178.0 149.5 151.5 144.0 163.5 168.5 168.5 169.5 193.0 186.5 183.5 164.0 169.5 162.5 179.5 17.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 200.0 172.9 191.5 189.5 172.5 161.5 174.0 187.5 193.5 189.5 178.5 182.5 174.0 181.5 166.5 183.5 176.0 178.0 180.0 183.5 180.0 181.5 181.0 188.0 182.0 191.5 9.5 9. Makassar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 131.4 117.2 117.8 117.2 104.0 108.4 112.7 107.1 123.5 118.8 127.1 119.9 125.9 126.3 127.0 112.8 118.4 116.6 102.7 123.4 122.5 122.3 134.8 136.1 117.3 105.2 -12.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 123.8 111.7 111.7 113.7 98.7 102.8 110.5 104.5 117.7 115.3 120.7 109.3 118.5 121.2 120.2 105.5 107.7 110.8 94.7 120.2 117.0 119.7 136.0 135.2 122.7 104.0 -18.7 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 139.0 122.7 123.8 120.7 109.3 114.0 114.8 109.7 129.3 122.2 133.5 130.5 133.3 131.3 133.8 120.0 129.2 122.3 110.7 126.7 128.0 124.8 133.7 137.0 112.0 106.3 -5.7 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 191.0 190.0 184.5 191.5 189.5 176.5 180.0 186.5 181.5 176.5 181.5 181.0 168.5 188.0 154.0 168.0 166.0 180.5 174.5 197.5 179.0 184.0 182.5 188.0 183.0 181.5 -1.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 192.5 189.5 191.0 198.5 195.5 188.5 195.5 196.0 189.0 191.5 178.5 192.5 174.0 196.0 192.5 176.5 173.0 196.0 190.0 196.0 186.0 183.5 190.5 183.0 180.5 182.5 2.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 198.0 193.0 196.0 197.0 196.5 188.0 199.0 198.0 191.0 198.5 184.0 194.0 180.0 199.0 195.5 198.5 200.0 200.0 199.0 195.5 193.0 191.0 192.0 191.5 185.5 197.5 12.0 106.3 111.7 117.3 91.0 88.9 98.2 102.5 104.2 106.8 95.2 93.5 94.3 96.3 101.9 94.7 88.9 96.8 90.3 101.8 70.1 78.7 77.3 89.1 91.0 95.3 91.8 -3.5 98.2 105.2 114.0 85.0 86.5 91.5 94.3 96.0 100.5 90.8 81.0 85.5 85.7 93.2 83.5 77.3 83.7 78.0 92.3 57.7 69.0 61.5 69.2 71.0 74.5 66.3 -8.2 10. Samarinda - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 114.3 118.2 120.5 97.0 91.3 104.8 110.7 112.3 113.2 99.5 106.0 103.0 106.8 110.7 105.8 100.5 109.8 102.5 111.3 82.5 88.3 93.0 109.0 111.0 116.2 117.2 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 170.0 147.5 158.5 163.5 166.0 166.0 167.5 154.0 165.5 163.5 173.0 172.5 157.0 149.0 149.0 165.0 161.0 154.0 154.0 179.0 180.5 176.0 183.0 169.5 139.0 147.0 8.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 168.0 147.0 159.5 177.5 170.5 166.0 171.0 155.5 165.0 175.5 169.5 161.5 147.5 147.0 158.5 162.0 149.0 164.0 152.5 177.0 171.5 167.0 160.5 144.5 165.0 161.5 -3.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 171.0 153.0 173.0 170.0 167.5 169.5 173.0 152.5 171.5 175.5 168.0 169.5 171.0 176.5 170.0 171.5 160.5 168.5 161.0 178.0 165.0 159.5 160.0 124.0 141.5 138.5 -3.0 97.9 100.7 100.4 104.0 98.2 102.4 100.3 102.9 100.4 96.8 100.6 100.5 93.0 106.1 99.4 101.8 102.8 108.3 109.6 97.8 -11.8 1.0 11. Denpasar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 101.5 93.0 104.8 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 97.2 92.3 96.5 98.2 86.8 100.0 93.8 96.3 92.0 92.5 94.0 94.6 96.0 99.0 95.7 87.0 93.2 90.7 85.0 99.7 89.7 92.8 93.7 97.3 99.8 91.8 -8.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 100.9 104.7 103.5 104.8 104.8 99.2 109.7 107.0 111.7 104.2 98.1 106.4 99.4 102.5 110.2 104.5 106.8 105.2 106.7 108.0 110.3 101.0 112.5 109.2 110.8 111.8 119.2 119.3 103.8 -15.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 177.9 178.0 173.5 172.0 169.0 175.0 182.5 170.4 170.0 173.4 165.5 172.0 174.0 166.5 170.0 169.5 155.5 172.5 174.5 188.5 166.5 166.5 173.0 179.5 174.0 155.0 -19.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 187.4 186.0 176.0 178.5 181.0 189.0 188.0 178.0 181.0 181.0 180.0 182.0 177.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 177.5 177.5 181.5 183.0 178.0 172.0 173.0 179.0 169.0 167.5 -1.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 190.5 194.5 179.0 192.0 191.5 192.5 195.5 186.0 188.0 187.4 186.5 188.9 186.9 185.3 184.9 181.5 188.5 184.5 185.0 140.5 178.5 185.0 180.5 187.5 184.5 180.5 -4.0 101.8 98.1 104.1 89.9 84.4 94.4 97.4 98.6 102.1 106.7 102.2 101.1 103.8 99.3 100.5 93.8 92.0 90.5 96.9 98.3 90.0 103.2 99.8 101.9 105.3 93.6 -11.7 91.5 91.5 98.2 84.0 75.8 91.2 86.3 91.7 96.0 99.8 93.8 91.0 96.8 97.8 97.5 88.0 86.5 86.3 91.0 94.3 84.8 101.7 94.3 98.7 103.2 93.2 -10.0 12. Padang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 112.0 104.7 110.0 95.9 93.0 97.7 108.5 105.5 108.2 113.5 110.7 111.2 110.8 100.8 103.5 99.7 97.5 94.7 102.8 102.2 95.2 104.7 105.3 105.2 107.3 94.0 -13.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 189.5 177.5 167.5 178.9 171.5 163.5 161.0 149.5 160.5 164.0 170.0 176.5 161.8 159.5 153.5 165.5 159.5 160.0 153.0 171.0 180.0 166.5 176.0 176.0 170.0 155.5 -14.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 183.5 186.0 176.5 187.0 175.5 169.8 174.5 174.0 168.5 174.0 173.0 175.0 167.5 176.0 175.0 166.5 174.0 168.5 161.5 190.5 181.5 175.0 174.0 176.0 166.0 168.5 2.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 182.9 184.5 175.5 188.5 178.0 175.9 174.0 174.5 173.5 179.0 173.0 180.0 178.5 179.5 186.0 175.5 178.0 177.4 172.0 195.5 196.0 186.5 180.0 184.0 177.5 176.5 -1.0 -8.8 13. Pontianak - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 134.8 109.7 125.1 114.7 115.9 131.3 128.0 113.0 112.6 96.8 104.8 105.8 100.4 111.6 109.0 128.9 119.1 119.4 129.4 124.7 131.9 132.1 133.8 126.3 127.1 118.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 129.7 100.5 120.7 112.0 108.2 124.8 124.2 102.3 103.0 89.7 83.5 91.7 84.9 99.7 101.8 120.0 114.7 113.8 131.0 124.7 126.8 128.8 128.2 117.0 121.7 115.5 -6.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 139.8 118.8 129.5 117.3 123.7 137.7 131.8 123.7 122.2 104.0 126.0 120.0 115.8 123.5 116.2 137.8 123.5 125.0 127.9 124.7 137.0 135.3 139.3 135.5 132.5 121.0 -11.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 176.5 158.0 172.0 163.5 157.5 164.5 168.0 162.8 156.5 155.0 135.0 127.5 127.5 122.5 171.5 177.5 143.4 163.0 172.5 163.5 146.5 143.0 161.5 145.5 136.0 146.0 10.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 172.5 167.0 168.0 157.0 158.0 160.5 167.5 162.0 138.0 140.5 132.0 116.0 117.5 108.0 174.0 183.0 141.5 164.0 165.0 167.0 151.0 153.5 140.0 145.5 142.5 152.0 9.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 180.0 174.0 175.5 162.5 164.5 163.0 178.0 160.5 139.5 137.0 121.0 123.5 113.1 108.0 171.4 181.0 143.5 160.8 168.5 174.5 167.0 166.5 147.5 151.0 158.0 163.0 5.0 Real Sector Statistics Division 10
  11. 2015 Descriptions 2016 2017 Changes Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul (Jul-Jun) 14. Manado - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 110.9 108.3 135.6 137.8 128.8 133.4 140.3 134.7 132.3 134.2 119.2 139.2 139.3 115.4 117.6 118.7 113.3 117.3 112.7 124.3 131.8 127.4 114.7 117.5 126.4 128.8 2.4 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 122.7 115.8 151.3 149.8 142.2 146.5 156.5 150.3 143.3 150.7 119.2 125.5 128.3 103.5 106.2 113.0 109.3 115.8 105.0 122.2 125.5 133.5 115.0 116.0 125.7 129.2 3.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 99.2 100.7 119.8 125.8 115.3 120.3 124.0 119.0 121.2 117.7 119.2 152.8 150.2 127.2 129.0 124.3 117.2 118.8 120.3 126.5 138.2 121.3 114.3 119.0 127.2 128.5 1.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 183.5 189.0 196.5 195.5 199.0 197.0 193.5 190.5 172.0 152.5 151.5 164.0 188.5 127.5 157.5 187.0 192.0 186.0 160.0 168.0 158.5 191.0 171.0 180.5 146.0 137.5 -8.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 194.5 188.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 197.0 196.5 200.0 153.5 167.5 175.5 167.0 168.5 183.5 175.5 177.0 164.5 186.5 189.5 193.0 163.0 166.0 179.0 193.5 14.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 197.0 193.5 200.0 199.5 200.0 200.0 198.5 197.0 199.5 200.0 158.0 160.5 181.0 160.5 165.0 184.9 176.8 180.0 169.5 191.0 187.0 196.5 196.5 194.5 188.0 191.5 3.5 15. Mataram - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 121.1 124.1 112.1 106.3 113.2 107.3 112.6 122.2 123.8 118.8 112.3 114.0 118.5 118.1 118.6 111.7 115.3 110.4 117.3 120.3 110.1 105.8 117.1 112.0 109.9 115.0 5.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 108.2 112.0 102.7 96.7 105.8 99.2 103.0 110.3 114.5 103.7 99.5 102.3 106.8 108.2 104.7 99.3 100.7 93.5 106.0 109.5 104.5 99.2 107.0 105.0 106.7 103.7 -3.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 134.0 136.2 121.5 115.8 120.5 115.5 122.2 134.0 133.0 134.0 125.0 125.7 130.1 128.0 132.5 124.0 129.8 127.4 128.5 131.0 115.7 112.3 127.2 119.0 113.2 126.3 13.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 187.5 146.5 167.5 159.5 166.0 153.0 161.5 155.5 155.8 170.0 168.0 180.0 167.0 163.0 170.5 173.5 170.9 167.0 172.5 186.0 181.5 189.0 186.0 194.5 166.5 176.5 10.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 185.5 170.0 179.5 170.5 168.0 163.0 168.5 154.0 166.0 175.0 164.5 162.5 164.5 169.0 167.0 156.5 157.0 174.5 175.5 195.5 187.5 172.5 174.5 165.0 171.5 168.0 -3.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 188.0 175.0 187.0 171.5 168.0 171.0 176.5 164.5 166.0 176.0 166.0 173.5 164.5 169.5 173.5 179.0 171.5 181.5 179.0 189.5 182.5 184.0 176.5 167.5 175.0 174.0 -1.0 16. Pangkal Pinang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 80.7 101.3 91.2 81.6 91.1 92.8 101.4 103.6 112.9 113.2 121.3 111.3 118.8 89.8 105.7 106.8 103.7 105.8 99.7 102.6 101.5 101.9 96.1 97.3 104.3 124.4 20.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 70.5 90.7 82.2 71.7 79.2 78.2 85.0 95.5 99.8 96.8 104.7 102.2 110.8 77.3 89.0 93.7 98.7 97.2 94.3 91.2 90.7 99.7 89.3 89.8 100.2 122.7 22.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 90.8 111.8 100.2 91.5 103.1 107.5 117.8 111.7 126.0 129.5 137.8 120.3 126.8 102.2 122.3 119.8 108.7 114.5 105.0 114.0 112.3 104.2 102.8 104.7 108.3 126.2 17.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 183.0 181.5 187.5 184.5 162.5 159.5 165.0 158.0 184.5 181.5 163.0 169.2 162.0 159.0 140.5 142.0 138.5 148.5 144.0 182.0 170.5 168.0 172.0 177.0 168.5 166.0 -2.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 175.5 177.5 185.0 184.5 158.0 156.5 157.5 170.5 183.0 183.5 164.0 163.0 148.0 159.5 141.5 134.0 135.5 147.0 146.0 175.0 170.5 166.5 163.5 153.0 157.5 156.0 -1.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 174.5 178.0 189.0 164.5 166.8 155.0 164.5 170.0 179.5 185.0 175.5 169.5 165.0 151.5 124.5 130.5 129.0 134.0 140.5 171.5 184.5 155.5 162.0 154.5 166.5 159.5 -7.0 17. Ambon - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 116.0 107.7 118.5 111.4 100.2 110.8 109.2 115.1 105.8 104.5 114.8 108.3 114.7 104.3 101.3 114.3 119.8 127.0 116.5 138.6 147.8 148.7 143.5 129.4 116.7 119.9 3.2 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 108.0 97.5 113.7 106.8 97.3 109.2 104.3 95.4 92.5 80.7 93.5 89.0 103.3 98.3 89.7 105.2 104.2 105.7 94.3 117.7 128.1 127.9 127.8 111.1 89.4 92.4 3.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 124.0 117.8 123.3 116.0 103.0 112.5 114.0 134.8 119.0 128.3 136.2 127.5 126.0 110.3 112.8 123.5 135.5 148.3 138.7 159.5 167.5 169.5 159.3 147.8 144.1 147.3 3.2 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 166.0 160.5 179.5 184.0 180.0 164.0 169.0 178.1 192.0 185.0 190.0 196.5 197.5 175.5 190.0 192.0 194.0 192.0 189.5 187.8 184.3 185.7 178.9 195.0 196.1 189.7 -6.4 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 176.5 167.5 176.5 180.0 182.0 185.5 171.0 181.1 194.0 177.0 188.0 195.5 198.5 183.5 186.5 195.5 194.0 190.5 177.5 194.1 194.1 196.1 183.8 190.5 187.3 189.7 2.4 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 178.5 163.0 174.0 187.0 177.5 200.0 181.5 191.5 195.5 174.0 189.5 195.5 199.0 190.0 187.5 196.0 198.0 196.5 187.5 200.0 199.5 199.0 197.1 197.5 196.6 191.6 -5.0 111.0 109.5 125.0 116.2 124.4 110.1 108.3 114.6 120.7 -2.1 18. Banten - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 117.2 119.3 105.7 112.9 114.8 114.4 132.7 143.1 123.8 117.0 100.3 79.1 122.3 117.2 124.7 110.4 108.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 104.8 110.0 99.3 91.3 103.5 92.2 99.2 102.3 99.3 84.3 98.7 98.8 127.2 93.7 80.0 85.2 87.3 89.7 105.7 93.2 74.3 100.8 111.8 127.2 111.0 110.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 129.5 128.5 122.7 120.0 122.3 126.8 130.5 126.6 150.8 148.0 150.2 166.5 159.0 126.5 136.5 144.0 154.0 157.8 128.3 107.3 83.8 143.8 122.5 122.2 109.8 105.7 -4.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 188.0 168.5 175.5 180.5 172.0 169.5 189.5 172.5 180.4 182.5 193.0 195.0 162.0 147.0 166.0 185.5 186.0 182.0 178.5 128.5 188.0 179.0 187.5 187.5 169.0 192.5 23.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 181.0 174.0 174.0 176.0 177.0 175.5 186.5 167.5 177.5 181.9 162.5 169.0 148.5 141.0 156.5 179.9 177.5 166.5 174.5 192.5 193.0 165.5 187.0 187.5 168.0 192.0 24.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 179.5 174.0 181.5 182.5 180.5 180.0 182.0 171.9 172.5 173.0 155.5 170.5 133.7 125.5 153.5 177.5 169.0 157.0 166.5 196.5 195.0 186.0 188.0 187.5 171.5 192.5 21.0 Real Sector Statistics Division -0.2 11
  12. Table 4 . CCI, CECI and CEI Described by Respondents Expenditure Descriptions 2015 2016 2017 Changes Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul (Jul-Jun) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 109.7 106.3 114.1 102.4 105.1 108.9 110.1 114.4 115.7 109.7 107.4 109.0 113.0 110.8 108.6 112.3 117.2 114.1 116.4 117.4 109.7 121.0 125.9 127.1 121.7 128.8 7.1 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 105.8 109.5 113.6 102.7 97.8 104.8 108.2 111.6 108.6 110.9 111.0 111.9 115.8 110.2 110.5 107.8 113.1 114.2 110.4 118.0 116.7 124.1 123.1 127.3 122.6 123.1 0.5 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 112.1 113.1 112.3 100.2 101.2 102.8 108.2 111.9 115.1 109.7 112.2 112.6 114.9 112.8 108.9 108.8 110.1 110.6 110.2 115.0 118.9 123.9 121.0 127.1 118.9 126.5 7.6 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 113.7 110.2 115.9 100.6 100.7 107.0 110.9 113.8 115.2 112.0 107.9 113.2 112.5 109.6 116.0 106.6 111.7 113.0 113.8 110.3 117.9 120.0 122.3 122.4 120.2 122.5 2.3 - Rp. 5,1 million - Rp. 6 million 114.3 107.6 108.1 100.4 94.8 102.3 107.1 115.8 108.8 111.2 108.4 114.8 111.0 108.2 111.3 108.0 109.8 110.2 112.7 112.6 116.1 122.6 126.8 124.8 123.8 120.5 -3.3 A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) B. Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 100.4 96.7 104.8 96.1 97.1 101.9 100.5 104.1 106.5 99.8 93.0 95.0 100.5 100.0 97.8 103.0 106.0 100.6 107.2 107.4 95.4 109.0 112.4 114.9 114.8 117.8 3.0 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 96.5 101.3 104.9 95.3 88.9 97.2 99.6 102.0 98.7 98.4 98.0 97.1 105.4 99.9 96.6 96.2 100.9 103.1 100.5 105.4 105.4 113.3 110.1 117.5 113.7 113.7 0.0 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 103.1 103.9 104.4 91.8 92.4 93.9 97.8 100.5 106.1 99.9 99.8 98.7 103.5 103.8 94.3 95.6 98.7 100.5 99.2 103.0 107.1 110.8 109.7 116.5 110.5 116.4 5.9 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 107.3 100.6 109.4 93.2 93.3 99.6 99.2 104.9 105.6 103.2 96.9 102.4 102.7 100.3 102.6 98.2 102.5 102.6 101.1 103.1 103.8 107.7 112.3 111.0 111.4 112.3 0.9 - Rp. 5,1 million - Rp. 6 million 106.3 99.4 99.9 92.1 83.4 89.5 93.7 103.8 99.2 102.8 97.5 102.8 99.8 98.0 100.9 97.7 94.3 96.7 101.1 101.2 105.0 108.1 115.2 112.3 118.9 111.2 -7.7 - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 118.9 115.9 123.3 108.7 113.0 115.8 119.7 124.6 124.9 119.5 121.7 123.0 125.4 121.6 119.4 121.6 128.3 127.5 125.5 127.5 123.9 133.1 139.4 139.3 128.7 139.8 11.1 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 115.1 117.6 122.3 110.1 106.6 112.4 116.8 121.1 118.5 123.4 123.9 126.6 126.2 120.4 124.4 119.3 125.2 125.3 120.2 130.6 127.9 135.0 136.0 137.1 131.4 132.5 1.1 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 121.1 122.3 120.1 108.5 109.9 111.7 118.6 123.2 124.1 119.5 124.6 126.5 126.3 121.7 123.5 121.9 121.5 120.7 121.1 127.1 130.7 137.0 132.2 137.7 127.3 136.5 9.2 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 120.1 119.7 122.4 108.0 108.0 114.4 122.5 122.7 124.7 120.7 118.9 123.9 122.2 118.9 129.4 115.0 120.9 123.3 126.4 117.5 131.9 132.3 132.2 133.8 129.1 132.6 3.5 - Rp. 5,1 million - Rp. 6 million 122.2 115.8 116.3 108.6 106.2 115.0 120.4 127.8 118.3 119.5 119.3 126.7 122.2 118.3 121.6 118.3 125.3 123.7 124.2 124.0 127.1 137.2 138.3 137.3 128.7 129.8 1.1 C. Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Real Sector Statistics Division 12
  13. Table 5 . Household Income Allocation Described by Respondents Expenditure 2015 DESCRIPTION Total IDR 1 - 2 million IDR 2 - 3 million IDR 3 - 4 million IDR 4 - 5 million > IDR 5 million Jun Jul Aug Sep 2016 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2017 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Changes May Jun Jul (Jul-Jun) - Consumption 67.1 67.2 66.3 68.5 68.2 68.4 69.0 68.6 69.1 69.5 68.8 69.6 70.4 69.1 70.9 70.4 71.0 72.0 69.8 63.0 66.3 66.2 65.1 64.1 64.5 64.0 - Loan Repayments 13.2 13.6 13.5 12.7 13.0 13.1 12.9 12.1 11.8 12.0 12.2 11.9 11.3 12.4 12.4 11.9 11.6 11.5 13.0 16.9 14.6 14.8 14.6 14.9 14.5 15.4 0.9 - Savings 19.7 19.2 20.3 18.8 18.7 18.5 18.1 19.3 19.1 18.5 19.0 18.4 18.3 18.5 16.7 17.8 17.3 16.5 17.2 20.1 19.1 19.0 20.3 21.0 21.0 20.6 -0.4 - Consumption 69.3 68.2 66.6 69.5 69.7 70.8 72.4 70.4 71.8 73.0 71.2 71.9 72.6 71.4 75.7 74.6 73.0 75.7 72.0 65.9 69.3 69.4 69.0 67.0 69.1 66.4 -2.7 - Loan Repayments 10.2 11.5 12.4 10.7 9.6 11.6 10.2 9.8 10.1 9.6 9.4 11.0 9.9 11.0 10.4 10.3 10.7 9.2 11.5 14.4 11.8 11.2 11.0 10.9 11.9 14.3 2.4 - Savings 20.5 20.4 21.0 19.7 20.7 17.6 17.5 19.8 18.2 17.4 19.3 17.1 17.4 17.6 13.9 15.0 16.3 15.1 16.5 19.7 18.9 19.4 20.1 22.1 19.0 19.3 0.3 - Consumption 68.7 68.5 67.5 69.1 68.0 68.9 69.8 70.0 70.3 69.7 69.3 71.1 71.4 70.4 71.1 71.0 72.4 72.0 72.1 64.8 66.8 67.7 65.8 65.6 66.0 65.2 -0.8 - Loan Repayments 12.5 12.6 12.9 12.0 13.1 12.7 12.1 11.5 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.5 10.1 11.2 12.3 11.3 11.0 11.5 12.6 15.6 13.4 13.4 14.8 14.6 13.9 14.4 0.5 - Savings 18.9 18.8 19.6 18.9 19.0 18.4 18.0 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.1 17.4 18.5 18.4 16.6 17.7 16.7 16.4 15.3 19.6 19.8 18.9 19.4 19.8 20.1 20.4 0.3 - Consumption 66.3 66.1 66.1 68.8 68.6 67.3 68.8 67.9 68.6 69.2 68.0 67.4 69.2 68.2 70.0 68.9 69.3 70.2 68.7 63.3 66.9 65.0 64.8 63.9 64.1 64.3 0.2 - Loan Repayments 13.6 14.1 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.5 13.5 12.6 12.4 12.0 12.7 13.3 12.6 13.7 13.2 12.9 13.4 13.0 13.4 16.8 15.2 16.1 14.8 15.1 14.4 15.8 1.4 - Savings 20.1 19.8 20.4 17.9 17.9 19.2 17.6 19.5 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.3 18.2 18.1 16.8 18.2 17.3 16.9 17.9 19.8 17.9 18.8 20.4 21.0 21.4 19.8 -1.6 - Consumption 62.9 64.9 63.2 65.0 65.4 65.0 66.9 66.7 65.9 66.4 62.8 67.9 66.7 67.3 66.7 65.4 66.1 68.1 63.7 60.2 65.8 64.2 65.4 63.1 63.0 61.7 -1.3 - Loan Repayments 16.9 14.3 16.2 15.4 14.8 15.9 14.5 12.6 14.8 14.0 15.0 13.7 13.2 14.5 14.8 14.0 14.6 13.3 16.9 20.1 15.0 16.6 15.5 16.9 16.1 18.6 2.5 - Savings 20.2 20.8 20.6 19.6 19.7 19.1 18.6 20.7 19.3 19.5 22.2 18.5 20.1 18.2 18.5 20.6 19.3 18.6 19.4 19.8 19.2 19.2 19.0 19.9 20.9 19.8 -1.1 -0.5 - Consumption 58.7 60.6 61.8 63.0 64.7 63.0 64.1 59.1 61.5 62.2 62.7 60.7 61.9 61.0 65.2 63.0 65.8 65.5 62.3 58.3 61.2 61.6 59.4 60.9 61.6 59.7 -1.9 - Loan Repayments 18.1 17.9 16.4 16.8 18.1 18.4 16.9 18.5 16.6 18.0 17.3 18.7 18.7 19.9 17.1 17.5 15.8 15.0 16.8 20.0 18.8 19.6 18.1 17.2 17.4 18.5 1.1 - Savings 23.1 21.4 21.7 20.2 17.2 18.5 19.0 22.4 21.8 19.9 20.0 20.6 19.4 19.2 17.8 19.5 18.4 19.5 20.9 21.7 20.0 18.9 22.5 21.9 21.0 21.8 0.8 Table 6. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months DESCRIPTIONS 2015 2016 2017 Changes Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Saving Expectation Index for the next 6 months 126.9 123.6 129.7 121.3 120.7 126.8 129.2 132.8 131.8 130.5 122.8 126.2 123.3 123.4 128.3 123.0 127.5 126.5 126.2 113.1 114.3 113.2 112.5 111.4 110.2 111.2 1.0 Debt Expectation Index for the next 6 months 156.6 153.1 156.1 159.0 158.5 161.7 159.5 157.0 165.0 158.6 160.0 161.1 160.2 163.7 161.6 164.6 162.1 162.4 162.2 148.8 159.3 155.6 155.8 153.6 146.8 158.2 11.4 Real Sector Statistics Division (Jul-Jun) 13