Indonesia: Morning Market Update - 13 January

Transcription

1. btra cnb Morning Update 13 January 2020 Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Global Market Wrap Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 Terakhir 5,231.0 5,066.3 95.2 243.3 6,995.9 H-1 4,196.5 4,530.4 887.9 925.4 6,995.4 Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry C onsumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,479 951 2,097 1,352 1,129 1,207 1,584 495 755 1 year return 1 day return YTD return -7.4% 7.9% -20.2% 12.3% 1.3% -14.4% -13.3% 4.8% -4.8% -0.6% -0.7% -0.3% 0.0% 0.2% -0.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.5% -3.0% -2.8% 2.1% -0.2% -0.8% -1.4% 2.3% -1.8% -2.0% 1 year return 1 day return YTD return -1.4% 1.9% -5.4% -1.0% 6.3% 15.5% 7.4% 16.6% 20.7% 23.3% 20.1% 21.2% 9.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 2.3% 0.7% -0.4% -0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 0.8% 3.1% -0.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% Indeks Saham Index Negara JC I FSSTI KLC I SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 6,275 3,261 1,593 1,581 2,206 41,600 28,638 23,740 7,042 115,503 28,824 3,434 7,588 Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS Closing US$ 28.85 0.053 *Rp/US$ IDR 1,986.6 735.0 +/0.44 0.00 Daily % chg 1.55% 1.05% 13,772 Pada perdagangan akhir pekan lalu indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah dipicu oleh mengecewakannya data tenaga kerja AS pada bulan Desember yang hanya bertambah sebesar 145.000 tenaga kerja (vs konsensus 164.000 tenaga kerja) serta data average hourly earnings AS bulan Desember yang hanya tumbuh sebesar 2,9% yoy (vs konsensus 3,1% yoy). Dow Jones ditutup melemah -133 poin (-0,46%) pada level 28.823, S&P500 terkoreksi -9 poin (-0,29%) pada level 3.265, Nasdaq berkurang -24 poin (-0,27%) pada level 9.178. EIDO menguat +0,39 poin (+1,52%) pada level 26,07. Pagi ini indeks di bursa asia dibuka di teritori positif dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika dibuka menguat tipis +35 poin (+0,25%) pada level Rp13.720. Technical Ideas Melemahnya indeks bursa global seiring dengan mengecewakannya data tenaga kerja AS pada bulan Desember diprediksi akan menjadi sentimen negatif di pasar. Disisi lain, menguatnya nilai tukar rupiah serta naiknya sejumlah harga komoditas yaitu CPO, nikel, emas dan batu bara juga diprediksi akan menambah katalis positif di pasar. IHSG diprediksi akan bergerak bervariasi cenderung menguat dengan support di level 6.245 dan resistance di level 6.305. Stocks Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation Deposito IDR 3 bln 5.83 Kredit Bank IDR 13.39 BI 7-Days RR 5.00% 2.72% Fed Funds Target 1.75 2.10% EC B Main Refinancing 1.30% Domestic Yen Interest C all (0.04) 0.50% Real interest rate 0.02 1.73 (0.01) (0.04)     JSMR (Buy, Support: Rp5.100, Resist: Rp5.325) ADRO (Buy, Support: Rp1.505, Resist: Rp1.585) MEDC (Buy, Support: Rp880, Resist: Rp910) TKIM (Buy, Support: Rp11.150, Resist: Rp11.500) Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl C PO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Sumber : Blo o mberg Penutupan 59.0 770.7 1.64 14,116 17,209 1,562.3 70.9 146.5 3.8 9.4 6,172.3 Ret 1 year (%) +/- Ret 1 day (%) 14.4% 44.9% -22.2% 26.1% -14.9% 21.1% -27.5% -7.0% 8.0% 9.2% 4.5% -0.5 5.9 0.0 108.0 -31.0 10.0 2.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 19.8 -0.87% 0.77% -1.10% 0.77% -0.18% 0.65% 2.83% 5.84% 0.80% 0.21% 0.32% ETFs    XPLQ (Buy, Support: Rp507, Resist: Rp512) XPID (Buy, Support: Rp549, Resist: Rp553) XPDV (Buy, Support: Rp489, Resist: Rp495) News Highlight PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) telah melampaui target marketing sales 2019 sebesar Rp6,1 triliun atau meningkat 1,66% dari target penuh senilai Rp6 triliun. Adapun kontribusi terbesar datang dari proyek residensial yang menyasar level kelas menengah dan menengah bawah. Pada Oktober lalu, perseroan mampu meraup Rp900 miliar dari proyek di Citra Garden Puri Jakarta dan di proyek Losari Makassar. Sebagai informasi, CTRA mencatatkan pertumbuhan sebesar 6,98% ke level Rp1.050 per saham selama 2019. Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLKM) tengah dalam proses pembicaraan kerja sama dengan para penyedia layanan konten, termasuk Netflix. Hal tersebut dilakukan demi memperkaya konten yang dapat diakses melalui jaringan TLKM, baik Telkomsel maupun IndiHome. Sebagai informasi saja, perseroan mulai memblokir Netflix dari jaringannya sejak 2016 lalu. Saat itu, perseroan mengatakan bahwa layanan streaming asal Amerika Serikat (AS) tersebut belum memenuhi syarat dan ketentuan konten di Indonesia.
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Pacific Century Place 16th Floor SCBD Lot 10 Jl . Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jakarta Selatan 12190 - Indonesia p +62.21.5088.7200 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.