Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 4 May

Transcription

1. 4 May 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,111.0 6,620.5 -771.9 -344.4 6,531.8 H-1 6,780.6 6,583.0 -511.5 -416.3 6,703.0 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,573 778 2,355 1,049 1,028 1,252 1,764 458 893 1 year return -12.3% 28.7% -4.3% 16.0% -9.6% -15.8% 22.2% -7.6% -1.4% -2.4% -2.0% -2.9% -2.7% -3.2% -1.4% -3.0% -2.8% -1.5% -2.7% 12.9% -17.7% -8.0% -13.1% -9.4% 10.6% -7.5% -3.1% Indeks harga saham gabungan pada perdagangan akhir pekan bergerak melanjutkan pelemahannya. Kembali memanasnya tensi perang dagang Amerika dengan China, kekhawatiran investor terkait dengan dipertahankannya tingkat suku bunga BI serta melemahnya harga komoditas CPO, nikel dan batubara menjadi faktor utama yang mendorong penurunan indeks. IHSG ditutup terkoreksi -66 poin (-1,13%) di level 5.792. Sektor keuangan dan perkebunan yang masing-masing berkurang 23 poin (-2,20%) dan 26 poin (-1,66%) menjadi penekan utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -6 poin (-0,04%) di level 13.945. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 734,7B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 1 year return 5,859 3,576 1,852 1,791 2,487 35,103 30,313 22,508 6,187 83,288 23,930 3,072 7,503 3.3% 10.7% 5.3% 13.8% 11.0% 16.5% 22.8% 15.7% 4.8% 28.4% 14.2% -4.8% 3.5% 1 day return YT D return -2.6% -1.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.7% -0.2% -1.3% 0.2% 0.8% -1.5% 0.0% -0.8% -0.5% -7.8% 5.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3% 3.1% 1.3% -1.3% 0.5% 9.0% -3.2% -3.3% -2.4% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) INDR 2.350 470 GGRM 67.200 1.775 RDTX 5.500 300 BLTZ 8.500 700 IMAS 2.610 250 FISH 1.760 540 LPPF PDES 9.600 1.325 225 220 SILO INDF 6.000 6.350 375 375 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.63 0.054 0.049 13,948 IDR 1,857.2 752.2 685.3 +/- Daily % chg -2.95% -8.16% 36.67% -0.81 0.00 0.01 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.75 13.81 4.25% 3.41% 1.75 2.40% 1.20% (0.08) 1.10% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.09) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 68.4 592.3 1.74 13,725 21,345 1,312.1 100.1 146.5 3.8 10.2 6,791.8 43.1% -7.5% -31.5% 49.6% 7.0% 6.8% 28.3% -7.0% 8.0% 8.3% 22.0% +/0.5 -7.9 0.0 -210.5 140.0 7.2 -0.9 8.1 0.0 0.1 7.3 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot INKP 21,4 15.399 BBRI 185,1 608.581 PTBA 21,2 63.471 ADRO 98,0 591.877 UNVR 18,4 4.063 TLKM 81,5 220.475 PTPP 12,9 58.102 ASII 66,8 92.406 BBC A 11,7 5.310 BBNI 53,3 71.775 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 0.74% -1.31% 0.00% -1.51% 0.66% 0.55% -0.89% 5.84% 0.80% 1.01% 0.11% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,250 1,615 1,065 1,455 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 35.17% 54.80% 22.07% 3.09% BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,625 3,030 22,025 7,475 2,650 9,500 3,800 22,000 10,200 4,175 43.40% 25.41% -0.11% 36.45% 57.55% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,000 3,650 9,000 15,000 375 8,830 -11.76% -89.73% -1.89% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,810 2,220 1,950 1,370 460 370 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 49.17% 111.71% 69.23% 111.68% 63.04% 67.57% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,200 6,350 45,350 3,280 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 13.41% 52.76% 28.56% 25.00% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,390 6,000 1,780 3,300 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 33.09% 80.00% 34.83% 127.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD HOLD BUY 4,120 1,930 1,180 6,150 2,270 1,580 49.27% 17.62% 33.90% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 11,700 1,145 1,870 18,500 1,900 2,100 58.12% 65.94% 12.30% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 206 352 1,595 975 420 890 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 103.88% 19.32% 50.47% 38.97% 238.10% 50.56% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,700 3,730 1,830 7,200 5,120 4,670 94.59% 37.27% 155.19% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 2,980 5,300 4,550 6,400 52.68% 20.75% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,640 3,350 33,625 3,090 1,085 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 58.54% 16.42% 24.91% 45.63% 26.27% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 9,600 9,900 3.13% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 492 151 252 580 815 750 270 380 655 1,350 52.44% 78.81% 50.79% 12.93% 65.64% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.