Indonesia: Markets Evening Update - 27 March

Transcription

1. 27 March 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,216.9 5,325.7 -906.4 80.9 6,912.5 H-1 7,554.4 6,124.4 -1,060.0 39.1 6,924.2 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,671 740 2,586 1,149 1,064 1,231 1,845 503 913 -8.2% 27.5% 6.8% 32.3% -2.3% -14.9% 23.6% 0.2% 1.6% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 0.5% 0.9% -0.6% -0.3% -0.6% -0.5% 1.2% 0.3% -0.4% 3.4% 7.3% -9.6% 0.7% -10.1% -10.9% 15.7% 1.5% -1.0% Top Gainer Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Ticker Penutupan 1 year return 6,200 3,412 1,860 1,801 2,437 33,066 30,549 20,766 5,901 85,088 24,203 2,895 6,889 11.9% 9.1% 6.6% 14.7% 13.1% 13.1% 26.3% 9.4% 1.9% 32.3% 17.8% -7.2% -5.6% 1 day return -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% -0.5% 0.8% 2.8% -0.6% -0.5% YT D return INAF -2.4% 0.3% 3.5% 2.7% -0.7% -2.9% 2.1% -7.7% -3.7% 11.4% -2.1% -8.9% -10.4% HELI-W Closing US$ 26.44 0.061 0.046 13,782 Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call IDR 1,822.0 840.8 634.9 +/- Daily % chg 0.34 1.30% 0.00 4.26% 0.01 37.04% Latest Interest Inflation 5.67 13.75 4.25% 3.18% 1.75 2.20% 1.10% (0.06) 1.50% Real interest rate Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 65.6 625.8 1.74 12,904 20,920 1,353.4 96.6 146.5 3.5 9.9 6,556.0 38.5% -11.6% -43.7% 31.6% 5.2% 7.9% 19.3% -7.0% 3.3% 3.5% 13.5% MKPI 27.000 850 710 709 UNVR 50.000 350 NIKL 3.700 630 MAPI 7.500 300 ITMG TKIM 29.575 6.925 525 500 TBMS MERK 1.175 6.300 215 200 Source : IPOT +/- NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot ADRO 29,0 141.726 TLKM 177,4 494.413 WSKT 28,8 112.572 BBRI 170,4 472.978 INDY 20,3 56.669 UNTR 135,5 42.669 JSMR 11,8 26.031 BBNI 90,7 98.821 POWR 11,8 99.815 BMRI 90,1 111.993 Source : IPOT 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) -0.3 1.5 0.0 1.5 75.0 6.2 -0.1 8.1 0.0 -0.1 -61.8 Last (Rp) Change(-) 790 Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Ticker 5.000 Ticker Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Top Foreign Buy Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Meredanya kekhawatiran akan perang dagang antara Amerika dan China berhasil memberikan katalis positif untuk pergerakan indeks harga saham gabungan meskipun sempat masuk teritori negatif akibat berlanjutnya aksi jual saham oleh asing. IHSG ditutup menguat tipis +9 poin (+0,15%) di level 6.209. Sektor aneka industri dan konsumsi yang masing-masing bertambah +9 poin (+0,79%) dan +18 poin (+0,71%) menopang kenaikan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah tipis -4 poin (-0,03%) di level 13.742. Investor asing tercatat melakukan aksi jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 826,3B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) -0.43% 0.25% 0.00% 0.01% 0.36% 0.46% -0.16% 5.84% -0.85% -0.75% -0.93% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,300 1,595 830 1,285 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 34.25% 56.74% 56.63% 16.73% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,400 3,640 9,900 15,000 375 11,500 -13.79% -89.70% 16.16% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,140 2,740 2,560 1,695 520 426 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 26.17% 71.53% 28.91% 71.09% 44.23% 45.54% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,375 7,150 50,000 4,140 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 11.04% 35.66% 16.60% -0.97% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,440 8,100 2,150 3,430 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 28.47% 33.33% 11.63% 118.66% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,550 2,380 1,170 6,150 2,100 1,580 35.16% -11.76% 35.04% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,825 1,305 1,825 18,500 1,900 2,100 33.82% 45.59% 15.07% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 218 384 1,730 1,145 480 910 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 92.66% 9.38% 38.73% 18.34% 195.83% 47.25% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,940 3,560 2,520 7,200 5,120 4,670 45.75% 43.82% 85.32% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,470 5,600 4,550 6,400 31.12% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,040 32,000 2,830 2,900 40,000 4,500 42.16% 25.00% 59.01% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,925 9,900 -9.38% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 550 173 286 585 830 825 270 380 655 1,350 50.00% 56.07% 32.87% 11.97% 62.65% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.