Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 26 April

Transcription

1. 26 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 5,863.2 5,722.0 -659.4 -74.3 6,945.3 H-1 6,211.2 5,307.3 -1,022.9 -330.6 7,032.9 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,691 781 2,488 1,075 1,073 1,243 1,877 492 933 -7.3% 27.4% 1.3% 19.7% -6.9% -18.2% 22.3% -3.5% 0.4% Penutupan 1 year return 6,080 3,568 1,852 1,780 2,449 34,501 30,328 22,215 6,009 85,044 24,084 3,040 7,379 6.2% 12.4% 4.7% 13.5% 10.9% 14.5% 23.4% 15.2% 1.8% 31.1% 14.8% -4.9% 1.2% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 13.4% -13.0% -5.8% -9.3% -10.0% 17.8% -0.8% 1.3% Indeks harga saham gabungan pada hari ini bergerak melemah. Berlanjutnya kekhawatiran akan kenaikan suku bunga the Fed seiring dengan yield obligasi di Amerika yang berada di atas level 3 persen serta bertambahnya aksi jual investor asing di pasar saham menjadi katalis negatif penurunan indeks. IHSG ditutup melemah -170 poin (-2,81%) di level 5.909. Sektor tambang dan keuangan yang masing-masing terkoreksi -65 poin (-3,46%) dan -34 poin (-3,19%) menjadi penekan utama indeks hari ini. Sementara itu Nilai tukar rupiah kembali diperdagangkan menguat +30 poin (+0,22%) di level 13.891. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 1.599,7B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Top Gainer 1 day return 0.0% -0.5% -0.7% -0.5% -0.6% -0.3% -1.0% -0.3% 0.6% -0.5% 0.2% -0.7% -0.6% YT D return -4.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1% 1.3% 1.4% -2.0% -2.6% 11.3% -2.6% -4.3% -4.0% Ticker TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ 1,891.7 862.2 676.2 +/- Daily % chg -0.37 -1.34% 0.00 -3.77% 0.01 33.33% Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.65 13.90 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.40% 1.30% (0.07) 1.10% Real interest rate 1.075 GGRM 68.050 2.750 INAF 4.800 420 UNTR 34.975 1.825 LPPF 10.775 325 JEC C 4.960 1.240 NIKL SSTM 4.200 650 310 130 BLTZ UNVR 9.000 45.000 1.050 1.000 Source : IPOT Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 68.1 611.7 1.74 14,086 21,465 1,323.1 93.5 146.5 3.6 10.0 6,969.8 38.3% -3.6% -31.5% 51.9% 9.1% 4.2% 11.4% -7.0% 4.9% 8.1% 22.8% Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 39.345 BMRI 568,9 837.983 PTBA 20,8 64.813 BBRI 469,8 1.500.000 UNVR 19,9 4.456 BBC A 101,6 47.563 LPPF 8,9 8.471 ASII 94,1 132.119 ISAT 7,4 18.216 BBTN 57,3 175.653 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) 0.4 0.0 0.0 162.5 100.0 -7.3 0.2 8.1 0.1 0.0 -0.3 Top Foreign Sell NBLot 48,3 Source : IPOT +/- NBVal (B) INKP Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Last (Rp) Change(-) 5.975 Top Foreign Buy IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Ticker MREI Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 27.24 0.062 0.049 13,889 Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ret 1 day (%) 0.59% 0.00% 0.00% 1.17% 0.47% -0.55% 0.21% 5.84% 1.39% 0.30% 0.00% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,075 1,740 1,190 1,460 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 38.52% 43.68% 9.24% 2.74% BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,775 21,350 7,900 3,190 9,500 22,000 10,200 4,175 40.22% 3.04% 29.11% 30.88% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,500 3,750 9,275 15,000 375 11,500 -14.29% -90.00% 23.99% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,900 2,430 2,260 1,560 488 406 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 42.11% 93.42% 46.02% 85.90% 53.69% 52.71% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,050 6,750 45,000 3,650 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 15.53% 43.70% 29.56% 12.33% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,470 7,600 1,900 3,300 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 25.85% 42.11% 26.32% 127.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,220 2,210 1,160 6,150 2,100 1,580 45.73% -4.98% 36.21% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 12,600 1,260 1,920 18,500 1,900 2,100 46.83% 50.79% 9.38% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 214 358 1,720 1,100 450 905 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 96.26% 17.32% 39.53% 23.18% 215.56% 48.07% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,000 3,650 2,210 7,200 5,120 4,670 80.00% 40.27% 111.31% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,150 5,275 4,550 6,400 44.44% 21.33% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,995 3,060 34,975 3,200 1,175 2,900 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 45.36% 27.45% 20.09% 40.63% 16.60% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,775 9,900 -8.12% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 535 169 264 585 810 750 270 380 655 1,350 40.19% 59.76% 43.94% 11.97% 66.67% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.