Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 10 April

Transcription

1. 10 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,361.7 4,741.0 -110.5 -258.7 6,963.7 H-1 5,966.0 4,073.8 -259.1 7.7 6,884.5 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,737 760 2,629 1,117 1,094 1,304 1,871 511 927 -6.2% 23.9% 7.3% 25.5% -0.2% -10.9% 20.2% 4.5% 0.6% Penutupan 1 year return 6,246 3,450 1,850 1,751 2,444 33,789 30,230 21,678 5,905 83,307 23,979 3,013 7,195 10.7% 8.4% 6.3% 10.8% 14.6% 14.2% 24.6% 15.3% -0.7% 28.9% 16.1% -4.6% -2.1% Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 1.3% 7.5% 10.3% -8.1% -2.1% -7.6% -5.6% 17.4% 3.2% 0.5% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 1 day return Indeks harga saham gabungan pada hari ini bergerak melanjutkan penguatannya dipicu oleh meredanya ketegangan antara Amerika dengan China setelah Presiden Xi Jinping memberi nada lunak terkait perang dagang dalam pidatonya di Boao Forum Asia hari ini waktu setempat. Selain itu, berlanjutnya kenaikan harga komoditas minyak mentah, nikel dan batubara turut menambah katalis positif untuk indeks. IHSG ditutup menguat +79 poin (+1,28%) di level 6.326. Sektor keuangan dan infrastruktur yang masing-masing bertambah +20 poin (+1,85%) dan +19 poin (+1,73%) menyumbang kenaikan terbesar untuk indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +10 poin (+0,07%) di level 13.751. sedangkan investor asing berhasil mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 188,1B di pasar reguler. YT D return 1.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% -1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% -1.7% 1.4% 2.9% -0.1% -1.7% -0.8% 1.0% -5.3% -4.3% 9.0% -3.0% -5.2% -6.4% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) GGRM 77.500 3.300 PTSP 7.000 300 UNTR 35.650 1.175 DUTI 4.100 300 ITMG 28.450 1.025 SMAR 3.700 290 FIRE-W BBC A 2.550 23.300 575 525 MARI LPPF 1.290 11.050 210 150 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.97 0.065 0.049 13,778 IDR 1,858.0 900.1 679.3 +/- Daily % chg 1.66% 3.92% 48.15% 0.44 0.00 0.02 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.69 13.82 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.20% 1.40% (0.06) 1.50% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.07) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 63.4 637.7 1.74 13,390 21,220 1,336.4 94.2 146.5 3.7 10.2 6,790.3 21.4% -7.4% -43.7% 32.3% 4.7% 6.5% 6.8% -7.0% 7.7% 10.5% 17.1% +/1.4 -10.6 0.0 170.0 130.0 2.7 0.3 8.1 0.0 0.1 60.8 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BBC A 92,7 39.895 HMSP 47,0 113.647 BBNI 76,6 87.737 SMGR 37,9 37.284 GGRM 54,1 7.069 ASII 31,3 40.498 TLKM 53,3 137.733 LPPF 28,7 26.000 C PIN 27,4 73.616 INDF 21,5 29.877 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 2.19% -1.64% 0.00% 1.29% 0.62% 0.20% 0.32% 5.84% 0.55% 1.10% 0.90% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,825 1,595 835 1,405 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 25.24% 56.74% 55.69% 6.76% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 18,900 3,500 10,250 15,000 375 11,500 -20.63% -89.29% 12.20% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,180 2,770 2,540 1,750 515 454 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 23.85% 69.68% 29.92% 65.71% 45.63% 36.56% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,425 7,250 52,000 4,140 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 10.39% 33.79% 12.12% -0.97% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,525 8,225 2,080 3,440 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 21.31% 31.31% 15.38% 118.02% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,650 2,370 1,115 6,150 2,100 1,580 32.26% -11.39% 41.70% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 13,750 1,380 1,935 18,500 1,900 2,100 34.55% 37.68% 8.53% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 228 390 1,760 1,215 484 945 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 84.21% 7.69% 36.36% 11.52% 193.39% 41.80% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 4,800 3,860 2,730 7,200 5,120 4,670 50.00% 32.64% 71.06% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,440 5,675 4,550 6,400 32.27% 12.78% Mining : Adaro Energy United Tractors Vale Indonesia ADRO UNTR INCO BUY BUY BUY 2,110 35,650 3,060 2,900 40,000 4,500 37.44% 12.20% 47.06% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 11,050 9,900 -10.41% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 560 170 294 585 840 750 270 380 655 1,350 33.93% 58.82% 29.25% 11.97% 60.71% source : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.