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Pakistan: Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) - 10 January

IM Insights
By IM Insights
2 months ago
Pakistan: Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) - 10 January

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  1. Annexure-III Government of Pakistan Statistics Division Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Subject : Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended on 10-01-2019. The weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 covering 17 urban centres and 53 essential items for all income groups/quintiles and combined has been computed. 2. For the week ended on January 10, 2019, the SPI and percentage changes by income groups/quintiles and combined are given below: Income Group (Quintile) SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 SPI for week ended on 10-01-19 03-01-19 11-01-18 % change over 03-01-19 11-01-18 Q1 (Upto Rs. 8000) 221.23 220.11 213.92 0.51 3.42 Q2 (Rs. 8001-12000) 230.36 229.28 221.95 0.47 3.79 Q3 (Rs. 12001-18000) 232.01 230.97 223.51 0.45 3.80 Q4 (Rs. 18001-35000) 243.72 242.73 228.23 0.41 6.79 Q5 (Above Rs. 35000) 248.42 247.58 226.21 0.34 9.82 238.81 237.85 224.88 0.40 6.19 Combined 3. The trend of weekly SPI with base 2007-08=100 during the last 10 weeks as compared to the respective previous as well as corresponding weeks of last year is as under: SPI (53 items) 2007-08=100 Combined % change over SPI Pr. Week Cor. Week Week ended on SPI for lowest income group 08-11-2018 219.16 0.19 0.18 237.70 0.20 4.34 15-11-2018 220.05 0.41 1.69 238.70 0.42 5.71 22-11-2018 220.08 0.01 2.15 238.89 0.08 6.12 29-11-2018 220.26 0.08 2.19 239.25 0.15 6.24 06-12-2018 219.39 -0.39 1.98 237.94 -0.55 5.80 13-12-2018 219.40 0.00 1.78 237.83 -0.05 5.40 20-12-2018 219.77 0.17 1.90 238.12 0.12 5.36 27-12-2018 220.27 0.23 2.22 238.58 0.19 5.52 03-01-2019 220.11 -0.07 2.67 237.85 -0.31 5.53 10-01-2019 221.23 0.51 3.42 238.81 0.40 6.19 % change over Pr. Week Cor. Week 4. A statement showing citywise prices of essential items pertaining to 17 urban centres is placed at Appendix-A.
  2. 5 . The comparative changes in prices i.e. increase, decrease and unchanged for the week ended on 10-01-2019 over previous and corresponding weeks ended on 03-01-2019 and 11-01-2018 repectively are as follows: Sr. Items Units 10.01.19 1 2 i. 3 Prices in Rs. On 03.01.19 11.01.18 4 5 %change col.3 over 03.01.19 11.01.18 6 7 Weight of income group in % Lowest Combined Impact of income group in % points Lowest Combined 8 9 10 11 Average prices of the following 24 items registered INCREASE. 1 Garlic 1 kg 165.39 142.63 166.83 15.96 -0.86 0.3990 0.3599 0.0893 0.0746 2 Sugar, Refined 1 kg 58.73 56.50 53.60 3.95 9.57 3.7994 2.7340 0.1379 0.0918 3 Onions 1 kg 29.03 28.29 54.41 2.62 -46.65 1.7622 1.4179 0.0364 0.0271 4 Gur, Average Quality 1 kg 85.41 84.16 82.80 1.49 3.15 0.1879 0.0576 0.0032 0.0009 5 Eggs Hen, Farm Dozen 119.43 117.71 119.31 1.46 0.10 0.6588 1.1923 0.0104 0.0174 6 Cooking Oil, Tin, (SN) 2.5 Ltr 512.82 507.12 470.76 1.12 8.93 1.3472 2.2953 0.0110 0.0174 7 Beef With Bone, Average quality 1 kg 398.06 393.78 345.97 1.09 15.06 3.9344 4.2660 0.0620 0.0623 8 Pulse Masoor, Washed 1 kg 121.04 119.89 120.99 0.96 0.04 0.5529 0.4892 0.0040 0.0033 9 Bananas Dozen 69.28 68.69 70.30 0.86 -1.45 0.9748 1.3930 0.0074 0.0098 10 Mutton, Average Quality 1 kg 817.28 810.51 732.79 0.84 11.53 0.3616 2.0953 0.0047 0.0252 11 Pulse Gram, Washed 1 kg 126.70 125.67 119.74 0.82 5.81 0.8699 0.6180 0.0091 0.0060 12 Rice Basmati Broken, (AQ) 1 kg 78.50 77.90 72.07 0.77 8.92 2.6713 1.9032 0.0193 0.0127 13 Firewood Whole 40 kg 647.24 642.83 625.65 0.69 3.45 2.5384 0.5960 0.0230 0.0050 14 Rice Irri-6 (Punjab/Sindh) 1 kg 55.36 55.01 51.51 0.64 7.47 0.5103 0.1934 0.0028 0.0010 15 Vegetable Ghee, Tin, (SN) 2.5 kg 491.82 488.88 463.71 0.60 6.06 4.8228 2.7110 0.0206 0.0107 16 Tea, Lipton Yellow Label, Packet 200 gm 219.50 218.57 178.96 0.43 22.65 2.2005 2.1456 0.0139 0.0126 17 Vegetable Ghee, Loose/Pouch, (SN) 1 kg 157.70 157.14 145.64 0.36 8.28 4.8228 2.7110 0.0113 0.0059 18 Pulse Mash, Washed 1 kg 152.70 152.19 158.12 0.34 -3.43 0.6088 0.5492 0.0020 0.0017 19 Pulse Moong, Washed 1 kg 125.84 125.41 117.34 0.34 7.24 0.8244 0.6114 0.0031 0.0021 20 Curd (Dahi) 1 kg 102.79 102.49 98.82 0.29 4.02 0.9482 1.3491 0.0036 0.0048 21 Wheat 10 kg 351.76 350.81 342.35 0.27 2.75 1.6049 0.9101 0.0041 0.0022 22 Red Chilly Powder, Loose 1 kg 346.39 345.68 258.26 0.21 34.12 0.6191 0.4447 0.0014 0.0009 23 Wheat Flour, Bag 10 kg 395.10 394.34 389.18 0.19 1.52 17.4548 10.9014 0.0330 0.0191 24 Milk, Fresh, Unboiled 1 Ltr 86.74 86.59 82.50 0.17 5.14 17.0616 16.8368 0.0382 0.0349 71.5360 58.7814 0.5517 0.4491 TOTAL ii. Average prices of the following 4 items registered DECREASE. 1 LPG Cylinder, 11kg Each 1639.10 1667.71 1395.29 -1.72 17.47 0.2835 0.2712 -0.0055 -0.0049 2 Chicken Farm, Broiler, Live 1 kg 138.44 140.17 184.18 -1.23 -24.83 2.4935 3.5588 -0.0235 -0.0310 3 Potatoes 1 kg 23.85 24.01 34.36 -0.67 -30.59 1.6735 1.2501 -0.0080 -0.0055 4 Tomatoes 1 kg 46.68 46.98 45.91 -0.64 1.68 1.1881 1.1768 -0.0057 -0.0052 5.6386 6.2569 -0.0427 -0.0466 TOTAL iii. Average prices of the following 25 items remained UNCHANGED 1 Bread Plain, Medium Size Each 43.44 43.44 42.56 0.00 2.07 0.2055 1.2284 0.0000 0.0000 2 Powdered Milk, Nido, Polybag 400 gm 405.09 405.09 380.64 0.00 6.42 0.0752 0.1235 0.0000 0.0000 3 Mustard Oil, Average Quality 1 kg 189.36 189.36 184.49 0.00 2.64 0.1668 0.2492 0.0000 0.0000 4 Salt Powder, Loose, Lahori 1 kg 12.35 12.35 11.12 0.00 11.06 0.1937 0.1636 0.0000 0.0000 5 Cooked Beef, Average Hotel Plate 115.31 115.31 101.40 0.00 13.72 0.0965 0.3596 0.0000 0.0000 6 Cooked Daal, Average Hotel Plate 62.63 62.63 58.29 0.00 7.45 0.2085 0.4413 0.0000 0.0000 7 Tea Prepared, Average Hotel Cup 22.57 22.57 21.19 0.00 6.51 0.4048 0.7913 0.0000 0.0000 8 Cigarettes, K-2, 20's Packet 59.71 59.71 50.76 0.00 17.63 0.8822 1.5930 0.0000 0.0000 9 Long Cloth, 57", Gul Ahmed/Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 240.59 240.59 212.30 0.00 13.33 1.9718 1.8511 0.0000 0.0000 10 Shirting, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 180.50 180.50 169.55 0.00 6.46 0.5195 0.6499 0.0000 0.0000 11 Lawn Printed, Gul Ahmed / Al-Karam, (SN) 1 mtr 288.61 288.61 255.77 0.00 12.84 1.4477 1.4684 0.0000 0.0000 12 Georgette, Average Quality, (SN) 1 mtr 133.25 133.25 125.68 0.00 6.02 0.4174 0.6340 0.0000 0.0000 13 Gents Sandal, Bata Pair 699.00 699.00 699.00 0.00 0.00 0.3910 0.4931 0.0000 0.0000 14 Gents Chappal Spng, Bata Pair 199.00 199.00 179.09 0.00 11.12 0.2702 0.2649 0.0000 0.0000 15 Ladies Sandal, Bata Pair 599.00 599.00 502.39 0.00 19.23 0.6773 0.8130 0.0000 0.0000 16 Electricity Charges, Upto 50 Units Unit 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 9.3636 11.5128 0.0000 0.0000 17 Gas Charges, Upto 3.3719 MMBTU MMBTU 145.08 145.08 128.70 0.00 12.73 3.2199 4.1239 0.0000 0.0000 18 Kerosene Oil 1 Ltr 121.56 121.56 103.24 0.00 17.75 0.0415 0.0150 0.0000 0.0000 19 Electric Bulb, Energy Saver, 14 W Each 171.18 171.18 169.56 0.00 0.96 0.2003 0.2369 0.0000 0.0000 20 Washing Soap, 200-250 g, (SN) Cake 28.93 28.93 25.91 0.00 11.66 0.9514 0.7716 0.0000 0.0000 21 Match Box, Regular Each 2.47 2.47 2.24 0.00 10.27 0.1329 0.1183 0.0000 0.0000 22 Petrol, Super 1 Ltr 92.04 92.04 82.43 0.00 11.66 0.4649 5.1188 0.0000 0.0000 23 Hi Speed Diesel (HSD) 1 Ltr 107.70 107.70 90.77 0.00 18.65 0.0090 0.2767 0.0000 0.0000 24 Telephone Local Call Charges, 3 Minutes P/Call 4.65 4.65 3.94 0.00 18.02 0.1647 1.3095 0.0000 0.0000 25 Soap, LifeBuoy Each 40.47 40.47 41.29 0.00 -1.99 0.3491 0.3539 0.0000 0.0000 22.8254 34.9617 0.0000 0.0000 TOTAL
  3. 6 . Monthly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). Percentage change over previous month Percentage Change over corresponding month of previous year 208.76 -0.45 -0.40 August 209.88 0.54 -0.09 September 214.35 2.13 1.92 October 216.20 0.86 2.12 November 216.93 0.34 2.13 December 215.47 -0.67 2.24 January 213.22 -1.04 1.99 February 210.63 -1.21 0.54 March 209.37 -0.60 -1.82 April 210.31 0.45 -0.47 May* 210.00 -0.15 0.28 June 213.74 1.78 1.92 PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) July 2017-18 2018-19 July 216.24 1.17 3.58 August 216.72 0.22 3.26 September 216.60 -0.06 1.05 October 219.09 1.15 1.34 November 219.66 0.26 1.26 December 219.71 0.02 1.97 Percentage change over previous quarter Percentage Change over corresponding quarter of previous year 7. Quarterly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). PERIOD SPI - Q1 (lowest income group) 2016-17 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 209.99 1.94 1.89 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 211.62 0.77 0.81 3rd quarter (Jan-Mar) 210.61 -0.48 1.55 4th quarter (Apr-Jun) 210.15 -0.22 2.02 2017-18 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 211.00 0.40 0.48 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 216.20 2.47 2.17 3rd quarter(Jan-Mar) 211.07 -2.37 0.22 4th quarter(Apr-Jun) 211.35 0.13 0.57 2.45 1.37 2.62 1.52 2018-19 1st quarter (Jul-Sep) 2nd quarter (Oct-Dec) 216.52 219.49 8. Half yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI). SPI - Q1 Percentage change over PERIOD (lowest income group) previous Half year 2017-18 1st half (Jul-Dec) 213.60 1.53 2nd half (Jan-June) 211.21 -1.12 2018-19 1st half (Jul-Dec) 218.00 3.22 Page 3 Percentage Change over corresponding Half year of 1.33 0.40 2.06
  4. Yearly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) with base 2007-08=100 9. Period July to June SPI (Q1) Percentage Change over Previous Year 2008-09 121.14 21.14 2009-10 136.80 12.93 2010-11 159.47 16.57 2011-12 170.77 7.08 2012-13 184.04 7.77 2013-14 201.15 9.30 2014-15 204.66 1.74 2015-16 207.35 1.31 2016-17 210.59 1.56 2017-18 212.44 0.88 Consumer Price Index (CPI) with base 2007-08=100 by income groups 10. Combined Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Combined Q1 PERIOD 2018-19 (JUL-DEC) 231.71 226.19 229.99 230.10 233.55 233.21 6.05 INDEX NUMBER PERIOD Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 5.75 7.37 PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN 2018-19 OVER 2017-18 INDEX NUMBER 3.87 4.31 4.67 PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS MONTH JAN,17 210.94 210.39 213.03 212.50 213.64 209.45 0.18 -0.14 -0.06 0.00 0.07 0.36 FEB, 17 211.54 210.80 213.52 213.05 214.26 210.09 0.28 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.31 Mar,17 213.32 212.79 215.54 215.06 216.23 211.66 0.84 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.75 Apr,17 216.30 215.46 218.35 217.97 219.25 214.70 1.40 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.44 May,17 216.33 214.88 217.96 217.71 219.15 215.02 0.01 -0.27 -0.18 -0.12 -0.05 0.15 June, 17 215.45 213.80 216.94 216.60 217.97 214.37 -0.41 -0.50 -0.47 -0.51 -0.54 -0.30 July, 17 216.19 214.52 217.67 217.28 218.43 215.17 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.21 0.37 August, 17 216.61 215.47 218.41 217.88 218.88 215.41 0.19 0.44 0.34 0.28 0.21 0.11 Sep, 17 217.98 217.99 220.44 219.65 220.39 216.36 0.63 1.17 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.44 Oct, 17 219.61 219.48 221.92 221.11 222.08 218.13 0.75 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.77 0.82 Nov, 17 220.42 219.97 222.48 221.77 222.85 219.09 0.37 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.44 Dec, 17 220.20 219.18 221.92 221.30 222.54 219.10 -0.10 -0.36 -0.25 -0.21 -0.14 0.00 Jan,18 220.27 217.98 221.09 220.75 222.33 219.77 0.03 -0.55 -0.37 -0.25 -0.09 0.31 Feb,18 219.58 216.40 219.79 219.65 221.48 219.49 -0.31 -0.72 -0.59 -0.50 -0.38 -0.13 Mar,18 220.25 215.93 219.66 219.76 221.92 220.68 0.31 -0.22 -0.06 0.05 0.20 0.54 Apr, 18 224.25 219.49 223.43 223.65 225.90 224.81 1.82 1.65 1.72 1.77 1.79 1.87 May,18 225.40 220.40 224.48 224.79 227.10 225.99 0.51 0.41 0.47 0.51 0.53 0.52 June, 18 226.68 221.93 225.96 226.23 228.50 227.10 0.57 0.69 0.66 0.64 0.62 0.49 July, 18 228.80 224.62 228.31 228.41 230.50 229.15 0.94 1.21 1.04 0.96 0.88 0.90 Aug, 18 229.27 225.44 228.96 228.94 230.92 229.55 0.21 0.37 0.28 0.23 0.18 0.17 Sep, 18 229.14 225.07 228.61 228.64 230.69 229.59 -0.06 -0.16 -0.15 -0.13 -0.10 0.02 Oct, 18 234.49 228.12 231.96 232.03 236.71 236.82 2.33 1.36 1.47 1.48 2.61 3.15 Nov, 18 234.75 227.72 231.74 231.94 236.83 237.40 0.11 -0.18 -0.09 -0.04 0.05 0.24 Dec, 18 233.78 226.15 230.34 230.66 235.67 236.75 -0.41 -0.69 -0.60 -0.55 -0.49 -0.27 11. A review of the current average prices of Cement collected for the week ended on 10.01.2019 shows no change over previous week and an increase of 14.07% over corresponding week of the last year. Average retail prices of Fertilizers and Cement are given at Appendix-B. Member Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Dated: 10.01.2019 U.O.NO.PBS.PS.SPI-0708(01)/2011- Page 4