National Bank of Kazakhstan: The Results of the Population Survey on Inflationary Expectations - September 2017

Transcription

1. Graphics on the results of the population survey on inflationary expectations (based on the GfK Kazakhstan data) I. Inflation expectations 1. In your opinion, in what way prices of food, non-food products and services changed in the last month? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Decreased Did not change Increased moderately Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Increased significantly 1а. In your opinion, what prices of goods and services increased faster in the last month? Do not know This question was added since January 2017 Paid services Non-food products Food Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 In your opinion, in what way prices of food, non-food products and services will change in the next month? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Will decrease Will not change Will increase moderately Will increase significantly Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 2.
2. In your opinion , in what way prices of food, non-food products and services were changing in the last 12 months? 3. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Decreased Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Did not change Were increasing slower than before Were increasing the same way as before Were increasing faster than before In your opinion, in what extent prices of food, non-food products and services increased in the last 12 months? 4. Do not know 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Increased by more than 20% Increased by 16-20% Increased by 11-15% Increased by 6-10% Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Increased by 1-5% 5. In your opinion, in what way prices of food, non-food products and for services will be changing in the next 12 months? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Will decrease Will remain at the current level / unchanged Will be increasing slower than now Will be increasing the same way as now Will be increasing faster than now
3. 6 . In your opinion, in what extent prices of food, non-food products and services will increase in the next 12 months? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Will increase by more than 20% Will increase by 16-20% Will increase by 11-15% Will increase by 6-10% Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Will increase by 1-5% II. 7. Consumer and saving behavior of the population Please name all sources of your family income during the last month 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Other sources Alimony, financial help from relatives, close people Government aid, including pensions and scholarships Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Salary Please name the group, which corresponds to the average monthly income of your family over the past month 100 Do not know 90 More than 300 001 tenge 80 70 150 001 - 300 000 tenge 60 50 100 001 - 150 000 tenge 40 30 70 001 - 100 000 tenge 20 40 001 - 70 000 tenge 10 Up to 40 000 tenge 0 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 8. Most likely will get worse
4. In what way the financial status of your family changed in the last 12 months ? 9. 100 Do not know 80 Most likely got worse 60 40 Did not change 20 Most likely improved Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 10. In your opinion, in what way financial status of your family will change in the next 12 months? 100 80 Do not know 60 Most likely will get worse 40 Will remain unchanged 20 0 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Most likely will improve 11. Could you please tell me, whether you have any personal savings, money savings? 100 80 No, I do not have 60 40 Yes, I have 20 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 12. Could you please tell me, in what way you are keeping your personal savings, money savings? Do not know 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Other Contributuin to business\ farm \ production Commodity\ a product that does not spoil Precious metals Gold Cash Sep.17 Aug.17 Jul.17 Jun.17 May.17 Apr.17 Mar.17 Jan.17 Feb.17 Dec.16 Nov.16 Oct.16 Sep.16 Aug.16 Jul.16 Jun.16 May.16 Apr.16 Mar.16 Feb.16 Jan.16 Real estate Securities Bank deposit
5. 13 . Could you please tell me, in which currency you are keeping your cash savings? 140 120 Do not know 100 Russian ruble 80 Euro 60 40 US dollar 20 Tenge Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 14. In what way your savings changed in the last 12 months? 100 Do not know 80 60 Decreased 40 Remained unchanged 20 Increased Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 15. Could you please tell me, whether you managed to save any sum of money over the last month? 100 80 No, I did not 60 40 Yes, I did 20 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 16. You said you managed to save a certain sum of money over the last month. This sum of money, that you managed to save, can be described as: 100 80 Less than usual 60 As much as usual 40 20 More than usual Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0
6. 17 . In your opinion, which of the following is the best way for keeping, accumulating and multiplying money savings at present moment? Do not know 100 90 Other 80 50 Contributuin to business\ farm \ production Commodity\ a product that does not spoil Precious metals 40 Gold 70 60 30 Cash 20 Real estate 0 Securities Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 10 Bank deposit 18. In your opinion, what sum of money can be considered as savings today? Do not know 100 More than 1 000 000 000 tenge 90 500 000 001 – 1 000 000 000 tenge 80 100 000 001 – 500 000 000 tenge 70 50 000 001 – 100 000 000 tenge 60 20 000 001 – 50 000 000 tenge 50 10 000 001 – 20 000 000 tenge 40 5 000 001 – 10 000 000 tenge 30 2 000 001 – 5 000 000 tenge 20 1 000 001 – 2 000 000 tenge 10 500 001 - 1 000 000 tenge 0 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 300 001 – 500 000 tenge 100 001 – 300 000 tenge Up to 100 000 tenge 19. Generally speaking, is it a good time or a bad time for saving money? 100 Do not know 80 60 A bad time 40 Neither a good time, nor a bad time Good time 20 Sep.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Jun.17 May.17 Apr.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Jan.17 Dec.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Sep.16 Aug.16 Jul.16 Jun.16 May.16 Apr.16 Mar.16 Feb.16 Jan.16 0
7. 20 . Could you please tell me, whether you are planning to buy anything on credit or to take a bank loan in the next 12 month? 100 80 Do not know 60 No 40 20 Yes Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 21. Could you please tell me, whether you have any kind of credit right now? If yes, what kind of credit? 100 Other kinds of credit 90 80 Consumer credit (purchase of home appliances and other goods) Credit for car purchase 70 60 50 40 30 Mortgage 20 10 Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 I do not have any credit 22. Please specify the range of monthly payments on your credits: Do not know 100 90 More than 100 000 tenge 80 90 001 – 100 000 tenge 70 80 001 – 90 000 tenge 60 70 001 – 80 000 tenge 50 60 001 – 70 000 tenge 40 50 001 – 60 000 tenge 30 40 001 – 50 000 tenge 20 30 001 – 40 000 tenge 10 20 001 – 30 000 tenge Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 10 001 – 20 000 tenge 5 001- 10 000 tenge Up to 5 000 tenge
8. III . Economic outlook and perception of exchange rate dynamics 23. What are your expectations regarding the exchange rate of tenge to US dollar? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know Will get cheaper Will remain unchanged Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 Will get more expensive 24. Talking about economic situation in our country in general, in your opinion, the next 12 months will be a good time or a bad time for our economy, or something else? 100 Do not know 90 80 A bad time 70 60 A bad time, but not in every aspect 50 Neither a good time, nor a bad time 40 30 A good time, but not in every aspect 20 10 A good time Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 25. Talking about the next 5 years, in your opinion, they will be a good time or a bad time for the economy of our country? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know A bad time Neither a good time, nor a bad time Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 A good time
9. 26 . Talking about important purchases for a house (such as furniture, refrigerator, home appliances, TV etc.), in your opinion, it is a good time of a bad time for making such purchases? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Do not know A bad time Neither a good time, nor a bad time Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 A good time 27. Could you please tell me, whether you pay attention to the changes in the global prices of oil? 100 80 60 40 20 This question was excluded since April 2017 Do not know No, I do not Yes, I do Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 28. Could you please tell me, in what way changes in price of oil affect your life? 100 80 60 40 20 This question was excluded since April 2017 Do not know Negatively Do not affect Positively Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0 29. In your opinion, in the next 12 months unemployment rate: 100 Do not know 80 Will decrease 60 40 Remain unchanged 20 Will increase Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17 Jul.17 Aug.17 Sep.17 0