Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 7 May

Transcription

1. 7 May 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 5,238.9 5,211.7 -842.5 -78.3 6,457.8 H-1 6,111.0 6,620.5 -771.9 -344.4 6,531.8 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,547 771 2,332 1,026 1,026 1,252 1,738 454 892 -13.9% 27.4% -6.1% 13.1% -9.4% -14.9% 22.6% -9.6% -2.2% Penutupan 1 year return Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -1.7% -0.9% -1.0% -2.2% -0.2% 0.0% -1.4% -1.0% -0.1% -4.3% 11.8% -18.5% -10.0% -13.3% -9.4% 9.0% -8.5% -3.2% Indeks harga saham gabungan mengawali perdagangan di teritori positif dan terus bertahan hingga akhir perdagangan. Kenaikan indeks bursa global, harga komoditas minyak mentah, nikel dan batubara serta data GDP kuartal pertama yang tumbuh 5,06% yoy atau lebih tinggi dibandingkan 1Q-2017 di level 5,01% menjadi katalis positif yang mendorong penguatan tersebut. IHSG ditutup menguat +92 poin (+1,60%) di level 5.885. Sektor konsumsi dan tambang yang masing-masing bertambah 118 poin (+5,09%) dan 23 poin (+1,37%) menjadi pendorong utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -56 poin (-0,40%) di level 14.001. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 439,8B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,792 3,545 1,842 1,780 2,487 34,915 29,927 22,473 6,155 83,118 24,263 3,097 7,567 1.9% 9.8% 4.5% 13.4% 11.0% 16.9% 22.3% 15.6% 5.0% 26.5% 15.5% -4.6% 3.7% 1 day return YT D return -1.1% -0.8% -0.5% -0.6% -0.7% -0.5% -1.3% -0.2% -0.5% -0.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.9% -8.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.5% -0.2% 2.5% 0.0% -1.7% 0.4% 8.8% -1.8% -2.5% -1.6% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) GGRM 70.000 2.800 UNTR 32.800 825 UNVR 47.900 2.550 SONA 2.700 500 ITMG 23.350 875 PTSP 6.875 225 INDR BLTZ 2.930 9.000 580 500 MREI LPPF 5.500 9.400 200 200 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.45 0.054 0.048 13,939 IDR 1,843.4 750.4 667.0 +/- Daily % chg -0.68% 0.00% -2.44% -0.18 0.00 0.00 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.66 13.34 4.25% 3.41% 1.75 2.40% 1.20% (0.08) 1.10% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.09) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 69.7 594.1 1.73 13,974 21,345 1,315.4 100.6 146.5 3.8 10.1 6,790.0 53.2% -7.7% -31.5% 55.8% 7.2% 7.7% 28.9% -7.0% 10.3% 7.3% 23.1% +/1.3 2.0 0.0 249.0 0.0 3.2 0.5 8.1 0.0 -0.1 -1.8 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot HMSP 62,7 179.733 ADRO 77,5 466.360 UNVR 34,3 7.240 BBNI 65,7 88.910 BMRI 14,0 20.728 UNTR 63,8 19.297 BBTN 4,5 15.493 ASII 60,7 85.504 JSMR 4,3 10.262 TLKM 55,6 146.644 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 1.89% 0.34% 0.00% 1.81% 0.00% 0.25% 0.45% 5.84% -0.53% -1.05% -0.03% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,075 1,610 1,070 1,505 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 38.52% 55.28% 21.50% -0.33% BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,800 3,050 22,300 7,325 2,890 9,500 3,800 22,000 10,200 4,175 39.71% 24.59% -1.35% 39.25% 44.46% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,000 3,550 9,125 15,000 375 8,830 -11.76% -89.44% -3.23% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,790 2,190 1,995 1,355 446 374 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 50.84% 114.61% 65.41% 114.02% 68.16% 65.78% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,575 6,375 47,900 3,550 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 8.45% 52.16% 21.71% 15.49% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,480 6,025 1,780 3,300 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 25.00% 79.25% 34.83% 127.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD HOLD BUY 4,180 1,890 1,150 6,150 2,270 1,580 47.13% 20.11% 37.39% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 11,900 1,130 1,880 18,500 1,900 2,100 55.46% 68.14% 11.70% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 204 360 1,565 985 412 890 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 105.88% 16.67% 53.35% 37.56% 244.66% 50.56% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,620 3,800 1,900 7,200 5,120 4,670 98.90% 34.74% 145.79% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 2,990 5,200 4,550 6,400 52.17% 23.08% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,710 3,270 32,800 3,100 1,155 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 52.05% 19.27% 28.05% 45.16% 18.61% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 9,400 9,900 5.32% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 498 156 258 585 820 700 270 380 655 1,350 40.56% 73.08% 47.29% 11.97% 64.63% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.