Indonesia: Market Evening Update - 27 April

Transcription

1. 27 April 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,766.4 8,348.4 -1,305.7 94.4 6,588.1 H-1 5,835.6 5,953.8 -1,958.2 -376.1 6,778.4 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,649 772 2,412 1,040 1,040 1,225 1,812 477 910 1 year return -9.3% 26.3% -2.1% 17.1% -9.5% -19.1% 17.2% -6.1% -1.8% -2.5% -1.2% -3.1% -3.2% -3.1% -1.4% -3.5% -3.0% -2.5% 2.0% 12.0% -15.7% -8.8% -12.2% -11.3% 13.7% -3.7% -1.3% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 1 year return 5,909 3,570 1,852 1,773 2,476 34,714 30,008 22,320 6,003 86,383 24,322 3,067 7,421 3.5% 12.6% 4.8% 13.2% 12.0% 15.6% 21.5% 15.9% 1.0% 33.6% 15.9% -3.9% 2.5% 1 day return Di perdagangan akhir pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak dengan dibuka menguat merespon sentimen positif dari kenaikan indeks bursa global dan regional serta adanya indikasi terkait kenaikan suku bunga BI. Namun indeks berbalik arah dan bergerak bervariasi hingga akhir perdagangan dipicu oleh penurunan saham di sektor konsumsi dan tambang setelah melaporkan kinerja keuangan perusahaan yang berada di bawah ekspektasi pasar. IHSG akhirnya ditutup menguat tipis +10 poin (+0,17%) di level 5.919. Sektor aneka industri dan keuangan yang masing-masing menguat +20 poin (+1,67%) dan +8 poin (+0,77%) menjadi penopang pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah tipis -2 poin (-0,01%) di level 13.893. sedangkan investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 415,4B di pasar reguler. YT D return -2.8% 0.1% 0.0% -0.4% 1.1% 0.6% -1.1% 0.5% -0.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% -7.0% 4.9% 3.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 0.3% -1.7% -2.2% 13.1% -1.6% -3.5% -3.5% Top Gainer Ticker Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) JEC C 6.200 1.240 ITMG 23.600 1.225 UNVR 46.150 1.150 MLBI 16.200 800 MAPI 8.200 525 UNTR 34.350 625 INPS DFAM-W 2.610 424 520 423 BYAN SILO 10.500 7.200 500 400 Source : IPOT Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.83 0.059 0.034 13,921 IDR 1,867.5 825.7 471.8 +/- Daily % chg -1.51% -3.92% -30.00% -0.41 0.00 -0.01 Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 5.70 13.86 4.25% 3.40% 1.75 2.40% 1.30% (0.07) 1.10% Real interest rate 0.01 1.73 (0.01) (0.08) Top Foreign Buy Ticker Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 68.2 609.2 1.74 14,181 21,555 1,316.9 93.5 146.5 3.6 10.0 6,928.5 37.4% -5.0% -31.5% 54.5% 8.0% 4.2% 11.6% -7.0% 6.7% 9.2% 21.8% +/0.1 -2.0 0.0 95.5 90.0 -6.2 0.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 -41.3 Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BMRI 31,3 46.026 BBC A 111,7 52.144 PTBA 28,8 92.098 ADRO 82,2 433.527 INKP 26,6 21.156 PGAS 64,1 303.116 MNC N 10,5 82.319 UNTR 63,7 18.572 8,5 8.027 BBRI 60,5 192.562 LPPF Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga NBVal (B) Ret 1 day (%) 0.21% -0.33% 0.00% 0.68% 0.42% -0.47% 0.05% 5.84% 0.00% -0.20% -0.59% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 7,225 1,660 1,140 1,460 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 35.64% 50.60% 14.04% 2.74% BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,925 21,500 8,150 3,050 9,500 22,000 10,200 4,175 37.18% 2.33% 25.15% 36.89% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 17,725 3,940 9,450 15,000 375 11,500 -15.37% -90.48% 21.69% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,870 2,390 2,160 1,560 474 404 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 44.39% 96.65% 52.78% 85.90% 58.23% 53.47% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Unilever Indonesia H.M. Sampoerna ICBP INDF UNVR HMSP HOLD BUY HOLD HOLD 8,175 6,775 46,150 3,530 9,300 9,700 58,300 4,100 13.76% 43.17% 26.33% 16.15% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY 1,505 7,200 1,945 3,300 1,850 10,800 2,400 7,500 22.92% 50.00% 23.39% 127.27% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR HOLD SELL BUY 4,210 2,070 1,150 6,150 2,100 1,580 46.08% 1.45% 37.39% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 12,600 1,265 1,925 18,500 1,900 2,100 46.83% 50.20% 9.09% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 214 358 1,655 1,050 448 900 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 96.26% 17.32% 45.02% 29.05% 216.96% 48.89% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,900 3,730 2,160 7,200 5,120 4,670 84.62% 37.27% 116.20% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,050 5,600 4,550 6,400 49.18% 14.29% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,830 3,140 34,350 3,230 1,195 2,600 3,900 42,000 4,500 1,370 42.08% 24.20% 22.27% 39.32% 14.64% Retail : Matahari Department Store LPPF SELL 10,750 9,900 -7.91% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 530 170 264 585 825 750 270 380 655 1,350 41.51% 58.82% 43.94% 11.97% 63.64% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.