Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 21 June

Transcription

1. 21 June 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,383.6 10,848.2 -2,043.4 -630.3 6,560.0 H-1 5,591.5 9,376.2 -2,450.1 -513.7 6,682.2 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan 1 year return 1,505 810 2,381 1,022 1,047 1,240 1,946 459 887 -14.3% 32.3% -6.9% 7.5% -11.2% -16.8% 38.3% -6.3% -2.9% Penutupan 1 year return Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade -2.0% 0.0% -2.4% -3.5% 0.6% 0.8% -0.2% -3.0% -1.8% -6.9% 17.5% -16.8% -10.5% -11.5% -10.2% 22.1% -7.3% -3.8% Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,884 3,316 1,710 1,664 2,364 35,547 29,696 22,278 6,275 72,123 24,658 3,059 7,627 1.1% 3.6% -3.7% 5.5% 0.3% 13.6% 15.6% 10.6% 10.0% 18.7% 15.2% -4.2% 2.4% 1 day return -1.8% 0.4% -0.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0% 1.1% 1.0% -0.2% 0.3% 0.3% YT D return -7.4% -2.6% -4.8% -5.1% -4.1% 4.4% -0.7% -0.9% 2.1% -5.6% -0.2% -3.7% -0.8% Dual Listing (US$) TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Closing US$ 26.37 0.053 0.039 #N/A N/A Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Top Gainer Ticker DSSA 21.000 3.500 TIM 17.800 BRPT-W BYAN TC ID #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! Daily +/% chg 0.46 1.78% 0.00 -8.00% -0.01 -26.09% Latest Interest Inflation 5.71 13.44 4.50% 3.23% 2.00 2.80% 1.90% (0.07) 0.60% Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 66.2 564.6 1.68 14,893 20,745 1,267.8 114.5 146.5 3.3 8.7 6,763.8 Ticker Last (Rp) Change(-) GGRM 67.550 1.425 800 ITMG 24.325 1.375 725 724 BRAM 7.000 400 11.350 16.900 700 400 SMGR MKPI 7.775 23.125 400 375 Top Foreign Buy Ticker Real interest rate 0.01 1.97 (0.02) (0.08) 53.2% -8.3% -31.5% 69.8% 5.7% 1.7% 41.7% -7.0% -4.4% -3.3% 20.1% +/1.2 -0.2 0.0 327.0 290.0 -6.9 -0.9 8.1 0.0 0.0 -68.3 NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot BTPS 32,0 203.915 BBRI 165,7 565.846 PGAS 24,9 118.923 TLKM 96,3 263.308 SWAT 23,4 570.647 ITMG 63,8 25.918 UNVR 16,2 3.647 ASII 41,8 61.809 ADRO 14,3 70.646 UNTR 36,0 10.825 Source : IPOT Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Top Loser Last (Rp) Change(+) Source : IPOT IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Indeks harga saham gabungan pada perdagangan hari ini sempat berada di zona positif sebelum kemudian bergerak turun. Menguatnya harga komoditas seperti minyak mentah, nikel dan timah menjadi katalis positif di awal sesi. Namun, masih adanya pengaruh dari faktor eksternal seperti hubungan dagang antara Amerika dan China yang semakin memanas membuat indeks kembali bergerak di teritori negatif. Selain itu, faktor domestik terkait pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah menambah sentimen negatif untuk indeks. IHSG ditutup terkoreksi -61 poin (-1,05%) di level 5.822. Sektor aneka industri dan properti yang masing-masing berkurang 38 poin (-3,05%) dan 8 poin (-1,85%) menjadi penekan utama pergerakan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan melemah -170 poin (-1,22%) di level 14.102. Investor asing mencatatkan jual bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar 709,3B di pasar reguler. Ret 1 day (%) 1.77% -0.04% 0.00% 2.24% 1.42% -0.54% -0.78% 5.84% 0.00% 0.06% -1.00% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Central Asia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBCA BBNI BBTN Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) 6,675 1,580 1,015 1,395 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 46.82% 58.23% 28.08% 7.53% BUY BUY HOLD BUY BUY 6,700 2,910 21,150 7,400 2,800 9,500 3,800 22,000 10,200 4,175 41.79% 30.58% 4.02% 37.84% 49.11% INTP SMBR SMGR SELL SELL HOLD 14,700 3,360 7,775 15,000 375 8,830 2.04% -88.84% 13.57% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,840 2,320 2,130 1,455 440 394 2,700 4,700 3,300 2,900 750 620 46.74% 102.59% 54.93% 99.31% 70.45% 57.36% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur H.M. Sampoerna Mayora Indah ICBP INDF HMSP MYOR BUY BUY HOLD HOLD 8,250 6,525 3,430 3,060 9,560 9,700 4,100 3,200 15.88% 48.66% 19.53% 4.58% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA SELL HOLD HOLD BUY 1,250 5,975 1,970 3,010 1,241 10,800 2,400 7,500 -0.72% 80.75% 21.83% 149.17% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR BUY HOLD BUY 4,420 2,090 1,145 6,150 2,270 1,580 39.14% 8.61% 37.99% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Bisi International AALI LSIP BISI BUY BUY BUY 11,550 1,050 1,800 18,500 1,900 2,100 60.17% 80.95% 16.67% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 193 356 1,615 1,020 336 915 420 420 2,400 1,355 1,420 1,340 117.62% 17.98% 48.61% 32.84% 322.62% 46.45% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL BUY BUY BUY 3,340 3,610 2,570 7,200 5,120 4,670 115.57% 41.83% 81.71% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 3,080 4,900 4,550 6,400 47.73% 30.61% Mining : Adaro Energy Indo Tambangraya Megah United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO ITMG UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 2,010 24,325 33,375 4,030 1,030 2,600 29,000 42,000 4,500 1,370 29.35% 19.22% 25.84% 11.66% 33.01% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 565 138 270 520 755 700 270 380 655 1,350 23.89% 95.65% 40.74% 25.96% 78.81% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.