Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 16 November

Transcription

1. 16 November 2018 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 6,019.6 6,377.1 1,370.3 -2,065.7 6,640.0 H-1 7,287.7 7,060.3 530.8 -181.9 6,531.3 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,424 779 2,347 1,123 1,070 1,416 1,853 417 807 1 year return -18.6% 18.6% -10.6% 7.0% -7.7% 2.5% 16.9% -16.4% -10.1% 0.9% 0.8% 2.1% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% -0.2% 1.5% 0.9% -11.9% 13.1% -18.0% -1.6% -9.6% 2.5% 16.3% -15.9% -12.5% Di sepanjang perdagangan akhir pekan ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak menguat. Masih berlanjutnya trend penguatan nilai tukar rupiah seiring dengan keputusan Bank Indonesia yang menaikkan tingkat suku bunga menjadi 6% serta investor asing yang terus melakukan aksi beli di pasar saham menjadi sentimen positif di pasar. IHSG ditutup menguat +56 poin (+0,95%) di level 6.012. Sektor infrastruktur dan industri dasar yang masing-masing bertambah +22 poin (+2,09%) dan +13 poin (+1,70%) menjadi sektor yang memimpin kenaikan indeks hari ini. Nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat +53 poin (+0,36%) di level 14.611. Investor asing mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 1.678B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Top Gainer Penutupan 1 year return 5,956 3,055 1,694 1,639 2,088 35,261 26,103 21,804 5,825 85,973 25,289 2,925 7,038 -1.4% -8.6% -1.4% -3.1% -17.6% 6.5% -10.0% -2.4% -3.3% 21.4% 7.8% -6.9% -4.7% 1 day return 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% -0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 1.7% -0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.8% -0.6% 0.1% Ticker -6.3% -10.2% -5.7% -6.6% -15.0% 3.5% -12.8% -4.1% -5.4% 12.5% 2.3% -8.0% -8.5% GGRM 78.550 1.500 MAYA 6.700 575 GMTD 14.800 825 TAMU 2.400 300 SMGR 11.000 700 ITMG 22.775 300 BBC A IBST 24.825 8.600 650 600 UNTR YPAS 34.800 525 275 165 TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call IDR 2,017.7 485.9 318.3 +/- Daily % 1.34 0.00 0.00 chg 5.16% 0.00% -5.00% Latest Interest Inflation 6.22 13.65 5.75% 3.16% 2.25 2.50% 2.20% (0.07) 1.20% Real interest rate Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 56.5 489.3 1.51 11,183 19,401 1,213.4 104.2 146.5 3.3 8.3 6,198.0 2.4% -24.5% -22.2% -3.9% -0.1% -5.1% 6.8% -7.0% 7.8% -12.2% -8.0% 0.2 2.4 0.0 -47.5 77.0 2.5 0.8 8.1 0.0 0.1 90.5 NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot 383,5 155.508 BSDE 27,0 229.638 BBRI 255,0 724.880 ERAA 11,5 64.909 TLKM 239,2 590.703 WSKT 6,2 40.898 ASII 203,1 238.295 LSIP 5,4 50.726 BMRI 109,9 145.908 UNTR 4,9 1.455 Source : IPOT 0.03 2.23 (0.02) (0.09) +/- Last (Rp) Change(-) BBC A Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Ticker Source : IPOT Ticker Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Last (Rp) Change(+) Top Foreign Buy Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 27.29 0.033 0.022 14,787 Top Loser YT D return Ret 1 day (%) 0.37% 0.49% -1.10% -0.42% 0.40% 0.21% 0.77% 5.84% 0.00% 0.70% 1.48% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-) Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 8,550 1,460 895 1,465 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 14.62% 71.23% 45.25% 2.39% Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBNI BBTN BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,450 3,490 8,300 2,400 8,200 3,400 8,650 2,900 10.07% -2.58% 4.22% 20.83% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR HOLD SELL BUY 20,000 1,915 11,000 18,500 320 11,500 -7.50% -83.29% 4.55% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,375 1,520 1,530 1,225 336 326 1,600 2,100 2,300 1,600 500 440 16.36% 38.16% 50.33% 30.61% 48.81% 34.97% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Nippon Indosari Corpindo H.M. Sampoerna Mayora Indah Gudang Garam ICBP INDF ROTI HMSP MYOR GGRM BUY BUY HOLD BUY HOLD BUY 8,775 5,950 1,070 3,420 2,470 78,550 10,350 8,200 1,010 4,200 2,700 84,000 17.95% 37.82% -5.61% 22.81% 9.31% 6.94% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada Industri Jamu Farmasi Sido Muncul KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA SIDO HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY BUY 1,535 2,860 1,470 2,130 800 1,350 10,800 2,400 7,500 970 -12.05% 277.62% 63.27% 252.11% 21.25% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR BUY BUY BUY 4,000 2,070 880 6,150 2,500 1,580 53.75% 20.77% 79.55% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Salim Invomas Bisi International AALI LSIP SIMP BISI BUY HOLD SELL BUY 10,800 1,065 454 1,510 14,000 1,300 300 1,600 29.63% 22.07% -33.92% 5.96% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung Pakuwon Jati APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA PWON BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY 150 300 1,190 925 274 655 615 420 420 1,500 1,355 1,420 700 640 180.00% 40.00% 26.05% 46.49% 418.25% 6.87% 4.07% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL HOLD BUY BUY 2,180 4,050 2,200 2,500 4,100 3,000 14.68% 1.23% 36.36% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 494 4,050 4,550 6,400 821.05% 58.02% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Indo Tambangraya Megah United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA ITMG UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,545 4,740 22,775 34,800 3,280 755 2,500 5,800 29,000 47,500 4,500 1,250 61.81% 22.36% 27.33% 36.49% 37.20% 65.56% Retail : Ace Hardware Indonesia Matahari Department Store Ramayana Lestari Sentosa ACES LPPF RALS BUY BUY BUY 1,485 4,500 1,330 1,600 10,200 1,550 7.74% 126.67% 16.54% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP BUY BUY BUY BUY 442 129 139 525 630 250 200 655 42.53% 93.80% 43.88% 24.76%
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