Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 11 January

Transcription

1. 11 January 2019 Evening Update Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Terakhir 4,269.8 4,961.9 942.3 -135.4 5,012.9 Negara Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 2,283 518 2,257 763 1,128 1,375 1,348 559 926 1 year 11.9% 0.3% 18.7% 27.8% 16.5% 15.8% -1.2% 47.0% 17.4% 1 day 0.5% -0.8% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% YTD Index Penutupan -2.9% Agri -4.7% Basic Industry 3.6% Consumer 4.2% Finance -2.8% Infrastucture 5.2% Misc. Industry -1.5% Mining 6.4% Property 5.3% Trade 2,253 520 2,295 740 1,127 1,357 1,331 554 896 1 year 16.6% 3.8% 23.8% 29.5% 20.0% 18.8% -0.9% 54.6% 15.9% Terakhir 4,031.3 4,946.8 647.5 88.6 4,950.5 1 day 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% -2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% Indonesia Market Wrap H-1 4,768.2 6,872.1 776.6 -910.3 4,934.4 YTD -4.2% -4.3% 5.4% 1.1% -2.9% 3.9% -2.8% 5.5% 2.0% Indeks Saham Penutupan 5,343 3,419 1,789 1,613 1,942 28,805 24,422 17,944 5,708 49,533 17,972 3,259 6,828 1 year 19.0% 12.5% -1.5% 23.0% 0.8% 42.6% 10.2% 23.5% 7.3% 3.6% 12.1% 11.8% 2.5% 1 day 0.1% -0.7% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% 1.0% 0.4% -0.2% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% YTD Index 2.2% JCI 1.6% FSSTI 1.6% KLCI 7.7% SET 1.8% KOSPI 4.7% SENSEX 3.5% HSI 2.8% NKY 7.7% AS30 -0.9% IBOV 0.8% DJI 8.5% SX5P 4.0% UKX Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 45.31 0.073 0.072 12,723 Negara Penutupan Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris 5,277 3,412 1,803 1,590 1,952 29,571 24,807 17,768 5,511 48,591 17,387 3,234 6,812 1 year 21.5% 11.4% 1.2% 25.0% 1.9% 43.0% 13.0% 18.6% 6.2% 1.6% 9.2% 13.0% 3.6% 1 day 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 1.0% -0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% -1.6% -0.8% -0.6% YTD 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 6.2% 1.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 2.1% -2.8% -2.4% 7.7% 3.7% Dual Listing (US$) IDR 2,882.4 928.7 914.2 Daily +/% chg 0.81 1.82% TLKM 0.00 -4.48% TINS 0.00 -1.56% ANTM *Rp/US$ Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Latest Interest Inflation 7.44 14.87 7.75 6.96% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.60% 0.07 2.40% Closing US$ 45.62 0.083 0.074 12,469 IDR 2,844.2 1,033.3 920.1 Daily +/% chg 0.79 1.76% 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.56% Suku Bunga & Inflasi Real interest rate 7.68 0.24 0.06 0.05 Harga Komoditas Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily Avg 2014 3,717.6 4,641.5 176.0 -23.4 4,545.6 Sektoral Penutupan Indeks Saham Index Statistik Perdagangan Saham di BEI H-1 Items 4,704.8 Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) 4,715.9 Volume transaksi (jt shm) 605.5 Net asing (Rp miliar) 494.4 Net asing (jt shm) 5,006.4 Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Sektoral Index Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl 51.2 -49.0% CPO/ ton 638.9 -12.9% Karet/ kg 1.89 -13.7% Nikel/ ton 14,648 2.0% Timah/ ton 17,981 -20.1% Emas/tr. oz 1,222.2 -6.2% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 269.6 -7.5% Jagung/bushel 3.8 -12.6% Ethanol/gal 1,436.0 -27.3% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.7 -48.0% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg Items Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI Rate (%) Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call Latest Interest Inflation 7.50 14.54 7.75 8.36% 0.25 0.80% 0.05 -0.20% 0.07 2.40% Real interest rate 7.67 0.24 0.05 0.05 Harga Komoditas +/- Ret 1 day 2.4 4.5 0.0 -42.5 352.0 3.1 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 dlm US$ Penutupan Ret 1 (in USD) 4.9% Minyak WTI / bbl 46.2 -51.7% 0.7% CPO/ ton 603.7 -14.8% 0.7% Karet/ kg 1.74 -25.3% -0.3% Nikel/ ton 14,731 4.5% 2.0% Timah/ ton 19,271 -11.8% 0.3% Emas/tr. oz 1,292.2 2.8% -1.0% Batu Bara/ ton** 61.8 -25.4% 0.0% Tepung Terigu/ ton*** 258.7 -15.7% -0.7% Jagung/bushel 3.7 -11.5% -0.7% Ethanol/gal 1,418.0 -19.3% 0.1% Gas Alam/ mmbtu 2.9 -42.1% *) Europe-CIF ARA, 90-days-forward price, **) Sumber www.globalcoal.com Sumber : Bloomberg +/- Ret 1 day 1.1 1.7 0.0 38.5 -292.0 10.9 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% -1.5% 0.8% -1.0% 0.0% -0.7% -2.1% -2.2% Items Nilai transaksi (Rp miliar) Volume transaksi (jt shm) Net asing (Rp miliar) Net asing (jt shm) Kapitalisasi pasar (Rp tn) Avg 2016 5,296.5 4,957.8 65.7 -150.6 5,376.3 T erakhir 10,560.4 7,385.6 836.8 -86.6 6,992.8 H-1 9,053.7 6,798.0 430.0 -248.9 6,982.4 1 day return YT D return Sektoral Index Penutupan Agri Basic Industry Consumer Finance Infrastucture Misc. Industry Mining Property Trade 1,613 854 2,568 1,196 1,093 1,389 1,803 467 795 1 year return -1.2% 23.7% -10.2% 5.5% -6.3% 0.9% 4.0% -8.2% -14.2% 1.8% 0.1% -1.1% 0.7% -0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 3.1% -0.1% -0.1% 1.7% 2.7% -0.4% 1.5% 4.2% 1.4% Indeks harga saham gabungan mengawali perdagangan di teritori positif dan terus bertahan hingga penutupan. Menguatnya indeks bursa global dan naiknya beberapa harga komoditas serta berlanjutnya trend penguatan rupiah terhadap dolar menjadi katalis positif utama yang menopang penguatan indeks. IHSG ditutup menguat +32 poin (+0,52%) di level 6.361. Sektor industri dasar dan aneka industri yang masing-masing membukukan kenaikan +12 poin (+1,48%) dan +17 poin (+1,29%) menjadi penopang kenaikan terbesar indeks hari ini. Nilai tukar rupiah diperdagangkan menguat tipis +5 poin (+0,04%) di level 14.047. Sementara itu, investor asing mencatatkan beli bersih (foreign net buy) sebesar 878,5B di pasar reguler. Indeks Saham Index Negara JCI FSSTI KLCI SET KOSPI SENSEX HSI NKY AS30 IBOV DJI SX5P UKX Indonesia Singapura Malaysia Thailand Korsel India Hongkong Jepang Australia Brasil Amerika Eropa Inggris Penutupan 1 year return 6,272 3,158 1,668 1,591 2,065 36,213 26,462 20,427 5,838 93,613 23,879 2,817 6,907 -1.6% -10.3% -8.5% -11.4% -17.4% 5.2% -14.8% -14.1% -5.9% 19.7% -5.9% -13.2% -10.9% 1 day return YT D return 0.1% 1.1% -0.3% -0.2% 1.9% 0.6% 2.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 2.9% -1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 2.4% 1.5% 2.3% 6.5% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% Top Gainer Ticker TLKM TINS ANTM *Rp/US$ Deposito IDR 3 bln Kredit Bank IDR BI 7-Days RR Fed Funds Target ECB Main Refinancing Domestic Yen Interest Call 1,888.8 686.4 621.1 Daily +/% -0.46 0.00 0.00 chg -1.69% 10.53% 0.00% Latest Interest Inflation 6.35 13.95 6.00% 3.13% 2.50 2.20% 1.60% (0.06) 0.80% Real interest rate Penutupan Ret 1 year (%) 52.4 532.0 1.55 11,184 20,095 1,293.6 98.1 146.5 3.6 8.7 5,936.8 -17.6% -16.0% -22.2% -11.5% 0.6% -1.8% -8.3% -7.0% 10.2% -7.1% -15.9% 2.6 1.0 0.0 71.5 150.0 8.4 0.3 8.1 0.0 0.1 50.3 Change(-) 2,200 BAYU 1,875 625 GMTD 18,000 1,500 POLI 1,840 610 GGRM 83,275 925 UNTR 27,800 425 INTP ITMG 18,050 22,525 900 525 SMGR FISH 11,575 3,750 350 250 Source : IPOT Ticker NBVal (B) Top Foreign Sell NBLot Ticker NSVal (B) NSLot TLKM 220.6 574,418 BBRI 93.3 250,621 BMRI 146.0 189,245 BNLI 23.3 358,508 BBCA 135.5 51,525 BJTM 18.6 262,555 BBNI 134.0 149,924 PNLF 16.4 610,127 ASII 84.9 102,657 TOWR 10.0 146,907 Source : IPOT 0.03 2.48 (0.02) (0.07) +/- Last (Rp) 20,000 Harga Komoditas dlm US$ (in USD) Minyak WTI / bbl CPO/ ton Karet/ kg Nikel/ ton Timah/ ton Emas/tr. oz Batu Bara/ ton Tepung Terigu/ ton Jagung/bushel Kedelai Tembaga Ticker Top Foreign Buy IDR Suku Bunga & Inflasi Items Top Loser Change(+) MKPI Dual Listing (US$) Closing US$ 26.70 0.049 0.044 14,148 Last (Rp) Ret 1 day (%) 5.18% 0.18% -1.10% 0.64% 0.75% 0.65% 0.31% 5.84% 0.57% 0.63% 0.85% Sumber : Bloomberg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report
2. Emiten T icker Recommendation Automotive : Astra International Astra Otoparts Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Selamat Sempurna ASII AUTO MPMX SMSM BUY BUY BUY BUY 8,300 1,580 925 1,410 9,800 2,500 1,300 1,500 18.07% 58.23% 40.54% 6.38% Banks : Bank Mandiri Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Negara Indonesia Bank Tabungan Negara BMRI BBRI BBNI BBTN BUY BUY BUY BUY 7,700 3,730 8,925 2,730 8,200 3,400 8,650 2,900 6.49% -8.85% -3.08% 6.23% Cement : Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Semen Baturaja Semen Indonesia INTP SMBR SMGR HOLD SELL BUY 18,050 1,715 11,575 18,500 320 11,500 2.49% -81.34% -0.65% Construction : Adhi Karya Pembangunan Perumahan Waskita Karya Wijaya Karya Wijaya Karya Beton Waskita Beton Precast ADHI PTPP WSKT WIKA WTON WSBP BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,730 2,140 1,960 1,860 408 386 1,750 2,100 2,300 1,600 500 440 1.16% -1.87% 17.35% -13.98% 22.55% 13.99% Consumer : Indofood CBP Indofood Sukses Makmur Nippon Indosari Corpindo H.M. Sampoerna Mayora Indah Gudang Garam ICBP INDF ROTI HMSP MYOR GGRM BUY BUY HOLD BUY HOLD BUY 10,150 7,475 1,200 3,850 2,680 83,275 10,350 8,200 1,010 4,200 2,700 84,000 1.97% 9.70% -15.83% 9.09% 0.75% 0.87% Healtcare : Kalbe Farma Siloam International Hospitals Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Prodia Widyahusada Industri Jamu Farmasi Sido Muncul KLBF SILO MIKA PRDA SIDO HOLD HOLD HOLD BUY BUY 1,620 3,480 1,720 2,170 855 1,350 10,800 2,400 7,500 970 -16.67% 210.34% 39.53% 245.62% 13.45% Infrastructure : Jasa Marga Perusahaan Gas Negara Cikarang Listrindo JSMR PGAS POWR BUY BUY BUY 4,930 2,300 850 6,150 2,500 1,580 24.75% 8.70% 85.88% Plantation : Astra Agro Lestari PP London Sumatera Salim Invomas Bisi International AALI LSIP SIMP BISI BUY HOLD SELL BUY 12,425 1,350 494 1,495 14,000 1,300 300 1,600 12.68% -3.70% -39.27% 7.02% Property : Agung Podomoroland Alam Sutera realty Bumi Serpong Damai Ciputra Development Lippo Karawaci Summarecon Agung Pakuwon Jati APLN ASRI BSDE CTRA LPKR SMRA PWON BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY HOLD BUY 167 348 1,480 1,060 264 1,020 675 420 420 1,500 1,355 1,420 700 640 151.50% 20.69% 1.35% 27.83% 437.88% -31.37% -5.19% T elecommunication : Indosat Telkom Indonesia XL Axiata ISAT TLKM EXCL HOLD HOLD BUY 1,975 3,860 2,200 2,500 4,000 3,000 26.58% 3.63% 36.36% T elecommunication T ower : Sarana Menara Nusantara Tower Bersama TOWR TBIG HOLD HOLD 680 4,500 4,550 6,400 569.12% 42.22% Mining : Adaro Energy Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Indo Tambangraya Megah United Tractors Vale Indonesia Medco Energi Internasional ADRO PTBA ITMG UNTR INCO MEDC BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 1,405 4,330 22,525 27,800 3,440 835 2,500 5,800 29,000 47,500 4,500 1,250 77.94% 33.95% 28.75% 70.86% 30.81% 49.70% Retail : Ace Hardware Indonesia Matahari Department Store Ramayana Lestari Sentosa ACES LPPF RALS BUY BUY BUY 1,690 6,000 1,520 1,600 10,200 1,550 -5.33% 70.00% 1.97% Industrial Estate : Surya Semesta Internusa Pura Delta Lestari Bekasi Fadjar Multi Pinasthika Jaya Real Property SSIA DMAS BEST MMLP JRPT BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY 492 187 234 500 665 630 250 200 655 1,350 28.05% 33.69% -14.53% 31.00% 103.01% sourc e : Fundamental IPOT Current price T arget Price Upside (+)/Downside (-)
3. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Wisma GKBI 7 /F Suite 718 Jl. Jend. Sudirman No.28 Jakarta 10210 – Indonesia p +62.21.5793.1168 f +62.21.5793.1167 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.