Indonesia: Evening Market Update - 1 April

Transcription

1. 1 April 2020 Evening Update Indonesia Market Wrap Equity | Indonesia | Research Daily I tem s A v g 2016 Te ra khi r H -1 5,296. 5 4,957. 8 65. 7 -150. 6 5,376. 3 4,364.0 6,626.7 -308.9 -120.0 5,060.4 2 ,761.2 4 ,088.4 -53.3 -110.2 4 ,921.7 Nil ai tra ns ak si (Rp milia r) Vo lu me tra n sak si (jt s hm) Ne t a sing (Rp milia r) Ne t a sing (jt sh m) Ka pita lisa si pa sa r (Rp tn) Sektora l I nde x Penutupan Ag ri Ba sic I ndust ry C onsume r F ina n ce In fra st uct ure M isc. In du st ry M ini ng P rop e rty T rad e 928 580 1,659 990 805 733 1,184 338 602 1 ye ar re turn 1 day re tur n -3 6.3% -3 3.3% -3 6.0% -2 1.7% -3 0.6% -4 2.7% -3 6.5% -2 8.4% -2 7.1% 3. 1% 4. 0% 6. 3% 1. 0% 2. 1% 2. 5% 2. 2% 0. 3% 5. 0% 1 ye ar re turn 1 day re tur n -2 9.7% -2 3.7% -1 7.1% -3 1.5% -1 9.1% -2 4.2% -2 0.2% -1 2.1% -1 8.9% -2 4.0% -1 6.5% -1 3.2% -2 2.5% 2. 8% 2. 7% 1. 7% 3. 5% 2. 2% 3. 6% 1. 8% -0. 9% -1. 6% -2. 2% -1. 8% 1. 1% 1. 9% IDR +/-0.54 0. 00 YTD return -39. 1% -40. 7% -19. 2% -26. 9% -29. 2% -40. 1% -23. 5% -32. 8% -21. 8% Indeks Saha m I nde x Nega ra JC I F S STI KL CI SE T KO S PI SE NS EX HS I NKY AS 30 IB O V D JI SX 5P UKX Ind on e sia S inga pura Ma lay sia Thai land Korse l Ind ia Hon gk o ng Je p an g A ustral ia B ra sil A merik a Ero pa Ing gris Penutupan 4,539 2,481 1,351 1,126 1,755 29,468 23,603 18,917 5,111 73,020 21,917 2,730 5,672 YTD return -27. 9% -23. 0% -15. 0% -28. 7% -19. 9% -28. 6% -16. 3% -21. 5% -22. 5% -36. 9% -23. 2% -19. 8% -24. 8% Dual Listing (US$ ) T LKM T I NS Cl osi ng U S$ 19.25 0.015 *Rp/US $ 1,572. 5 252. 3 Pada perdagangan hari ini indeks harga saham gabungan bergerak bervariasi dan akhirnya ditutup melemah. Diluncurkannya stimulus fiskal senilai Rp405,1 triliun oleh Presiden Jokowi untuk menangkal dampak negatif penyebaran Covid-19 terhadap perekonomian sempat menjadi katalis positif untuk indeks harga saham gabungan. Sementara itu terungkapnya dua skenario dampak negatif pandemi Covid-19 terhadap perekonomian yang dirilis oleh kementerian keuangan membuat indeks harga saham gabungan mengalami tekanan jual di sepanjang sesi dua perdagangan. Skenario pertama dampak Covid-19 tergolong berat maka ekonomi Indonesia akan tumbuh 2.3% yoy (asumsi APBN 5.3%) dengan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar di level Rp17,500, skenario kedua dampak Covid-19 tergolong sangat berat maka ekonomi Indonesia akan berkontraksi -0.4% yoy dengan nilai tukar rupiah Rp20,000. IHSG ditutup melemah -73 poin (-1.61%) pada level 4,466. Sektor properti dan aneka industri yang masing-masing terkoreksi -9 poin (-2.80%) dan -18 poin (-2.46%) menjadi penyumbang terbesar bagi pelemahan indeks hari ini. Sementara itu nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika diperdagangkan melemah -140 poin (-0.86%) ditutup pada level Rp16,450. Investor asing membukukan penjualan bersih (foreign net sell) sebesar Rp69.14 miliar di pasar reguler. Dai ly % c hg -2.7 3% 16.6 7% Top Gainer Ticker 16,338 Suku Bung a & Inflasi I tem s Lates t Inte res t I nfl ation D epo sito ID R 3 b ln 5.54 Kre di t Bank IDR 12.65 BI 7-D ay s RR 4.50% 2 .98% F ed F un ds T arg e t 0.25 2 .30% ECB Ma in Re fin a nci ng 0 .70% D ome st ic Ye n I nte rest C al l (0.07 ) 0 .40% Real interes t rate 0. 02 0. 23 (0. 01) (0. 07) Penutupan Re t 1 ye ar 20 .5 558 .9 11,435 14,667 1,577 .2 67 .9 146 .5 3 .2 8 .7 4,938 .8 -6 6.7% 1 4.1% -1 1.3% -3 1.6% 2 2.5% -2 6.8% -7.0% -2.7% 3.6% -2 3.9% Ticker 0.4 -9.1 170.5 116.0 -45.3 -1.1 8.1 0.0 0.0 178.3 Re t 1 da y ( %) 1.9 4% -1.6 0% 1.5 1% 0.8 0% -2.7 9% -1.6 7% 5.8 4% 0.0 0% 0.4 0% 3.7 4% Last (Rp) Change(-) 7,1 25 625 GGRM 40,050 1,050 CL AY 2,4 60 240 PO LL 10,150 750 PRDA 3,1 50 200 SMMA 12,800 700 ARTO INDS 9 15 1,4 50 180 130 INTP UNTR 12,175 16,625 325 275 Source : IPOT Top Foreign Buy + /- ( %) (in USD) M iny a k WT I / b bl C PO / t on Nik e l/ t on T ima h/ to n Ema s/tr. o z Ba tu Bara / t on T e pu ng Te rigu / t o n Ja gu ng/bus he l Ke dela i T e mba ga Top L oser Change(+) STTP Harga Komo ditas dl m US$ Last (Rp) Ticker NBVal (B) BBCA 73 BBNI Top Foreign Sell Ticker NSVal (B) 25,218 BBRI 61 20 3,502 42 110,035 TLKM 38 12 0,028 BMRI 30 63,039 I NDF 30 4 6,358 HMSP 13 91,857 KLBF 22 18 8,028 ADRO 8 79,039 MDKA 14 13 9,391 Source : IPOT S um b e r : Blo o m b erg Refer to Important disclosures on the last of this report NBLot NSLot
2. Head Office PT INDO PREMIER SEKURITAS Pacific Century Place 16th Floor SCBD Lot 10 Jl . Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jakarta Selatan 12190 - Indonesia p +62.21.5088.7200 INVESTMENT RATINGS BUY : Expected total return of 10% or more within a 12-month period HOLD : Expected total return between -10% and 10% within a 12-month period SELL : Expected total return of -10% or worse within a 12-month period ANALYSTS CERTIFICATION. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst;s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. DISCLAIMERS This reserch is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warraty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accruracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendations contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, finacial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell any securities. PT. Indo Premier Sekuritas or its affiliates may seek or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the companies in this report.